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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Thu Apr 28 06:53:23 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.584
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.424


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00133
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00133
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00133
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00023
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.437 0.327 -0.00249
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.437 0.327 -0.00249
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.437 0.327 -0.00249
Samford Samford 24 18 0.571 0.532 0.418 -0.00015
Troy Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00023
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 22 0.476 0.500 0.363 -0.00156
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 22 0.476 0.500 0.363 -0.00156
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 22 0.476 0.500 0.363 -0.00156
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.534 0.508 0.00215
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.534 0.508 0.00215
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.534 0.508 0.00215
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 31 11 0.738 0.596 0.518 0.00241
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 31 11 0.738 0.596 0.518 0.00241
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 24 13 0.649 0.509 0.452 0.00072
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 24 13 0.649 0.509 0.452 0.00072
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 24 13 0.649 0.509 0.452 0.00072
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 24 18 0.571 0.565 0.427 0.00008
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00159
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00159
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00159
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213 -0.00541
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.534 0.414 -0.00026
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.534 0.414 -0.00026
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.534 0.414 -0.00026
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 14 0.650 0.523 0.456 0.00082
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.585 0.475 0.00131
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.585 0.475 0.00131
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.585 0.475 0.00131
Alabama Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.565 0.427 0.00008
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.545 0.493 0.00177
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.545 0.493 0.00177
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.545 0.493 0.00177
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.564 0.336 -0.00226
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.564 0.336 -0.00226
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.564 0.336 -0.00226

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 24 18 0.571 0.565 0.427
Alabama A&M 88.95 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Alabama State 84.90 27 14 0.659 0.428 0.436
Auburn 98.97 18 23 0.439 0.592 0.367
Georgia State 146.29 17 20 0.459 0.449 0.342
Georgia Tech 140.31 27 14 0.659 0.565 0.471
Jacksonville State 63.45 26 14 0.650 0.523 0.456
Kennesaw State 133.15 20 22 0.476 0.500 0.363
Mississippi State 114.27 28 13 0.683 0.608 0.494
Samford 3.23 24 18 0.571 0.532 0.418
Troy 128.24 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 11 25 0.306 0.398 0.253
Arkansas State 272.04 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372
Austin Peay State 211.54 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 182.08 24 17 0.585 0.399 0.392
Clemson 240.73 26 14 0.650 0.590 0.473
Florida A&M 259.56 24 14 0.632 0.428 0.423
Florida State 257.91 28 11 0.718 0.625 0.515
Furman 268.04 17 24 0.415 0.557 0.347
Georgia 199.45 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Jackson State 213.66 14 21 0.400 0.392 0.298
Lipscomb 179.25 20 21 0.488 0.445 0.355
Memphis 209.05 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292
Mercer 188.62 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 16 25 0.390 0.564 0.336
Mississippi 166.54 31 11 0.738 0.596 0.518
Murray State 231.44 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 14 27 0.341 0.427 0.277
Presbyterian 290.99 21 19 0.525 0.465 0.379
South Alabama 210.55 31 11 0.738 0.511 0.497
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 28 13 0.683 0.505 0.468
Southern Mississippi 210.44 30 12 0.714 0.545 0.493
Tennessee 235.01 24 17 0.585 0.556 0.431
Tennessee Tech 198.58 21 17 0.553 0.414 0.380
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 12 26 0.316 0.490 0.280
Vanderbilt 182.06 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Western Carolina 241.20 21 18 0.538 0.502 0.395
Western Kentucky 240.93 23 18 0.561 0.534 0.414
Wofford 296.24 25 18 0.581 0.496 0.414

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation