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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:47 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.555
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.523
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00048
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00048
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00048
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 -0.00000
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00140
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00140
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00140
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00003
Troy Alabama-Birmingham 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 -0.00000
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382 -0.00048
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382 -0.00048
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382 -0.00048
Creighton Creighton 38 16 0.704 0.498 0.476 0.00123
Creighton Creighton 38 16 0.704 0.498 0.476 0.00123
Creighton Creighton 38 16 0.704 0.498 0.476 0.00123
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 43 17 0.717 0.585 0.505 0.00176
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 43 17 0.717 0.585 0.505 0.00176
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 40 18 0.690 0.509 0.472 0.00116
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 40 18 0.690 0.509 0.472 0.00116
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 40 18 0.690 0.509 0.472 0.00116
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414 0.00010
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 38 17 0.691 0.519 0.475 0.00121
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 38 17 0.691 0.519 0.475 0.00121
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 38 17 0.691 0.519 0.475 0.00121
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208 -0.00364
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356 -0.00095
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356 -0.00095
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356 -0.00095
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00043
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00085
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00085
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00085
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414 0.00010
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480 0.00130
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480 0.00130
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480 0.00130
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318 -0.00164
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318 -0.00164
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318 -0.00164
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416 0.00014
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416 0.00014
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416 0.00014
Ohio State Ohio State 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472 0.00116
Ohio State Ohio State 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472 0.00116
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00058
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00058
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00058
Samford Alabama-Birmingham 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00003
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 28 29 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00044
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 28 29 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00044
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 28 29 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00044
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348 -0.00110
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00117
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00117
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00117

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414
Alabama A&M 88.95 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Alabama State 84.90 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459
Auburn 98.97 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348
Georgia State 146.29 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 140.31 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 63.45 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432
Kennesaw State 133.15 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382
Mississippi State 114.27 41 16 0.719 0.571 0.502
Samford 3.23 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410
Troy 128.24 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Arkansas State 272.04 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382
Austin Peay State 211.54 34 23 0.596 0.501 0.423
Belmont 182.08 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Clemson 240.73 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493
Florida A&M 259.56 31 21 0.596 0.483 0.419
Florida State 257.91 37 19 0.661 0.598 0.480
Furman 268.04 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Georgia 199.45 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392
Jackson State 213.66 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Lipscomb 179.25 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Memphis 209.05 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307
Mercer 188.62 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Mississippi 166.54 43 17 0.717 0.585 0.505
Murray State 231.44 25 28 0.472 0.483 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Presbyterian 290.99 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Alabama 210.55 40 20 0.667 0.517 0.463
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470
Southern Mississippi 210.44 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480
Tennessee 235.01 29 28 0.509 0.551 0.392
Tennessee Tech 198.58 31 24 0.564 0.441 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293
Vanderbilt 182.06 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Western Carolina 241.20 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376
Western Kentucky 240.93 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356
Wofford 296.24 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation