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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.484
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tennessee-Martin Alabama-Birmingham 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00346
Tennessee-Martin Alabama-Birmingham 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00346
Tennessee-Martin Alabama-Birmingham 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00346
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00152
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00152
Youngstown State Alabama-Birmingham 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00293
Youngstown State Alabama-Birmingham 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00293
Youngstown State Alabama-Birmingham 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00293
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00120
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00113
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00113
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00113
Alabama State Alabama State 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00115
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 0.00022
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 0.00022
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 0.00022
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00061
Jacksonville State neutral 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00061
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00141
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00141
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00141
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00041
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00041
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00041
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00041
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00248
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00248
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00248
Troy Alabama-Birmingham 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00063
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303 -0.00154
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303 -0.00154
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303 -0.00154
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00185
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00096
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00096
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00096
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00185
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00243
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00243
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00243
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00115
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00115
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00115
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00152
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00152
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00152

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 88.95 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama State 84.90 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Auburn 98.97 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Georgia State 146.29 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 140.31 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jacksonville State 63.45 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kennesaw State 133.15 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Mississippi State 114.27 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Samford 3.23 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Troy 128.24 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Arkansas State 272.04 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Austin Peay State 211.54 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 182.08 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Clemson 240.73 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Florida A&M 259.56 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356
Florida State 257.91 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526
Furman 268.04 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Georgia 199.45 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Jackson State 213.66 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Lipscomb 179.25 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Memphis 209.05 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Mercer 188.62 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi 166.54 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Murray State 231.44 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Presbyterian 290.99 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Alabama 210.55 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413
Southern Mississippi 210.44 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
Tennessee 235.01 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 198.58 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Vanderbilt 182.06 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Carolina 241.20 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Kentucky 240.93 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wofford 296.24 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation