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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Thu Jul 28 06:48:56 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.547
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.545
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland Alabama 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 -0.00010
Maryland Alabama 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 -0.00010
Maryland Alabama 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 -0.00010
Nicholls State Alabama 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00096
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00377
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00377
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00377
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 -0.00005
Notre Dame neutral 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00043
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00250
North Carolina State neutral 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00106
Brown neutral 15 24 0.385 0.461 0.308 -0.00175
Houston Alabama 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00050
Houston Alabama 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00050
Houston Alabama 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00050
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00111
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00140
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00140
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00140
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00139
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00034
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00034
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00034
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00110
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00034
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00034
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00034
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00300
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00300
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00011
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00011
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00011
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00139
Mississippi Alabama 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00142
Mississippi Alabama 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00142
Mississippi Alabama 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00142
Troy Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 -0.00005
South Alabama Alabama 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00085
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00197
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00197
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00197
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00000
Mississippi State Alabama 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00150
Mississippi State Alabama 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00150
Mississippi State Alabama 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00150
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00110
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00110
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00110
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00065
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00065
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00065
Samford Alabama 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00000
South Carolina Alabama 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00157
South Carolina Alabama 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00157
South Carolina Alabama 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00157
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00011
Mississippi State neutral 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00150
Florida neutral 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00214

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama State 93.17 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Auburn 125.96 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Jacksonville State 110.18 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Mississippi 139.47 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 74.64 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Samford 46.41 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
Troy 134.08 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Arkansas State 254.82 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334
Austin Peay State 230.46 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 207.49 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Clemson 287.41 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Florida A&M 270.91 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417
Florida State 269.31 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476
Georgia 244.70 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia State 190.84 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 185.44 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Jackson State 166.95 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Kennesaw State 179.50 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Lipscomb 204.55 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisiana State 288.54 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Memphis 189.21 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Mercer 226.58 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 240.24 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
New Orleans 264.38 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406
South Alabama 177.77 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458
Southern 283.08 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226
Southern Mississippi 166.67 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
Tennessee 279.43 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 235.38 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Tulane 271.48 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464
Vanderbilt 207.20 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Carolina 287.89 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Kentucky 268.06 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation