Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:41 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.554
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.549
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland Alabama 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 -0.00007
Maryland Alabama 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 -0.00007
Maryland Alabama 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 -0.00007
Nicholls State Alabama 26 30 0.464 0.494 0.356 -0.00100
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.448 0.192 -0.00383
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.448 0.192 -0.00383
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.448 0.192 -0.00383
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 -0.00011
Notre Dame neutral 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00049
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00257
North Carolina State neutral 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00100
Brown neutral 15 24 0.385 0.465 0.309 -0.00181
Houston Alabama 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00046
Houston Alabama 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00046
Houston Alabama 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00046
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477 0.00108
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 17 0.712 0.597 0.505 0.00156
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 17 0.712 0.597 0.505 0.00156
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 17 0.712 0.597 0.505 0.00156
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330 -0.00145
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00037
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00037
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00037
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00114
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00038
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00038
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00038
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00306
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00306
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418 0.00006
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418 0.00006
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418 0.00006
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330 -0.00145
Mississippi Alabama 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00165
Mississippi Alabama 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00165
Mississippi Alabama 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00165
Troy Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 -0.00011
South Alabama Alabama 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00093
Texas A&M Texas A&M 43 14 0.754 0.587 0.524 0.00189
Texas A&M Texas A&M 43 14 0.754 0.587 0.524 0.00189
Texas A&M Texas A&M 43 14 0.754 0.587 0.524 0.00189
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 -0.00006
Mississippi State Alabama 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00153
Mississippi State Alabama 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00153
Mississippi State Alabama 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00153
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00114
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00114
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00114
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00069
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00069
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00069
Samford Alabama 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 -0.00006
South Carolina Alabama 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00165
South Carolina Alabama 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00165
South Carolina Alabama 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00165
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418 0.00006
Mississippi State neutral 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00153
Florida neutral 46 12 0.793 0.601 0.547 0.00229

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama State 93.17 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330
Auburn 125.96 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348
Jacksonville State 110.18 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428
Mississippi 139.47 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510
Mississippi State 74.64 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503
Samford 46.41 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411
Troy 134.08 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Arkansas State 254.82 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Austin Peay State 230.46 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Belmont 207.49 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Clemson 287.41 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491
Florida A&M 270.91 31 21 0.596 0.484 0.419
Florida State 269.31 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476
Georgia 244.70 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392
Georgia State 190.84 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 185.44 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jackson State 166.95 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Kennesaw State 179.50 29 27 0.518 0.490 0.382
Lipscomb 204.55 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisiana State 288.54 42 17 0.712 0.597 0.505
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320
Memphis 189.21 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304
Mercer 226.58 37 21 0.638 0.484 0.440
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Murray State 240.24 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
New Orleans 264.38 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407
South Alabama 177.77 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468
Southern 283.08 10 31 0.244 0.421 0.227
Southern Mississippi 166.67 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477
Tennessee 279.43 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 235.38 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294
Tulane 271.48 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475
Vanderbilt 207.20 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Western Carolina 287.89 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376
Western Kentucky 268.06 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation