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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.571
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.532
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4185


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
St. Louis Alabama 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 -0.00026
St. Louis Alabama 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 -0.00026
St. Louis Alabama 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 -0.00026
Stephen F. Austin State Alabama 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00209
Stephen F. Austin State Alabama 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00209
Stephen F. Austin State Alabama 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00209
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 -0.00001
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00285
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00285
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00285
Auburn neutral 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 -0.00021
Mississippi Valley State Alabama 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00509
Mississippi Valley State Alabama 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00509
Mississippi Valley State Alabama 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00509
Samford Alabama 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00021
Kentucky Alabama 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00068
Kentucky Alabama 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00068
Kentucky Alabama 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00068
Alcorn State Alabama 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214 -0.00417
Alcorn State Alabama 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214 -0.00417
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00036
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00036
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00036
Troy neutral 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00150
Mississippi Alabama 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00160
Mississippi Alabama 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00160
Mississippi Alabama 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00160
Louisiana-Monroe Alabama 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00168
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00060
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00060
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00060
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00058
Auburn Alabama 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 -0.00021
Auburn Alabama 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 -0.00021
Auburn Alabama 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 -0.00021
Jackson State Alabama 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338 -0.00164
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00058
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00046
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00046
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00046
Southern Mississippi Alabama 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 -0.00001
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00174
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00174
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00174
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00021
Florida Alabama 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00152
Florida Alabama 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00152
Florida Alabama 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00152
Jacksonville State Alabama 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 -0.00034

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama State 93.17 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Auburn 125.96 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Jacksonville State 110.18 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Mississippi 139.47 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 74.64 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Samford 46.41 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Troy 134.08 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Arkansas State 254.82 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Austin Peay State 230.46 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 207.49 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Clemson 287.41 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Florida A&M 270.91 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356
Florida State 269.31 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526
Georgia 244.70 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia State 190.84 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 185.44 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jackson State 166.95 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Kennesaw State 179.50 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Lipscomb 204.55 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisiana State 288.54 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Memphis 189.21 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Mercer 226.58 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 240.24 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
New Orleans 264.38 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247
South Alabama 177.77 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413
Southern 283.08 10 25 0.286 0.385 0.239
Southern Mississippi 166.67 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
Tennessee 279.43 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 235.38 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Tulane 271.48 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361
Vanderbilt 207.20 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Carolina 287.89 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Kentucky 268.06 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation