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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.602
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.530
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4335


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland-Eastern Shore Alabama 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00391
Maryland-Eastern Shore Alabama 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00391
Maryland-Eastern Shore Alabama 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277 -0.00391
Houston Houston 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00074
Houston Houston 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00074
Houston Houston 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00074
Savannah State Alabama 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00361
Savannah State Alabama 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00361
Louisiana-Lafayette Alabama 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00061
Louisiana-Lafayette Alabama 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00061
Louisiana-Lafayette Alabama 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00061
Auburn neutral 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00086
Lipscomb Alabama 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00054
Lipscomb Alabama 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00054
Lipscomb Alabama 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00054
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00079
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00079
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00079
Samford Alabama 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 -0.00041
Texas A&M Alabama 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00301
Texas A&M Alabama 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00301
Texas A&M Alabama 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00301
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 -0.00001
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00204
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00204
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00204
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 -0.00016
Louisiana State Alabama 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00331
Louisiana State Alabama 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00331
Louisiana State Alabama 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00331
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 -0.00041
Georgia Alabama 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383 -0.00126
Georgia Alabama 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383 -0.00126
Georgia Alabama 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383 -0.00126
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 -0.00016
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00031
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00031
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00031
Mississippi Valley State Alabama 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00569
Mississippi Valley State Alabama 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00569
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00066
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00066
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00066

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama State 93.17 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Auburn 125.96 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Jacksonville State 110.18 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Mississippi 139.47 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 74.64 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Samford 46.41 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Troy 134.08 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212
Arkansas State 254.82 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 18 15 0.545 0.413 0.376
Austin Peay State 230.46 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 207.49 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Clemson 287.41 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Florida A&M 270.91 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida State 269.31 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Georgia 244.70 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia State 190.84 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 185.44 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jackson State 166.95 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Kennesaw State 179.50 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Lipscomb 204.55 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisiana State 288.54 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345
Memphis 189.21 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mercer 226.58 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 240.24 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
New Orleans 264.38 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286
South Alabama 177.77 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487
Southern 283.08 12 18 0.400 0.398 0.299
Southern Mississippi 166.67 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427
Tennessee 279.43 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 235.38 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Tulane 271.48 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445
Vanderbilt 207.20 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Carolina 287.89 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Western Kentucky 268.06 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation