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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.409
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.453
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.31775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00195
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00195
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00195
South Alabama South Alabama 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00257
Winthrop Alabama State 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 0.00102
Winthrop Alabama State 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 0.00102
Winthrop Alabama State 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 0.00102
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00188
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00089
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00089
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00030
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00030
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00030
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00030
Samford Alabama State 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00168
Florida A&M Alabama State 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417 0.00180
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 0.00051
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00162
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00188
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
South Alabama Alabama State 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00257
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335 0.00031
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00168
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 0.00051
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00296
Jacksonville State Alabama State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00188
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00131
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Troy Alabama State 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00162
Alabama A&M neutral 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
Alabama A&M Alabama State 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
Alabama A&M Alabama State 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207 -0.00201
Southern neutral 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226 -0.00167
Alcorn State neutral 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00149
Southern neutral 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226 -0.00167
Texas Southern neutral 19 24 0.442 0.405 0.322 0.00008
Florida State neutral 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00288
South Alabama neutral 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00257

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 93.17 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama-Birmingham 84.90 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Auburn 49.34 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Georgia State 148.14 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 146.95 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Jacksonville State 105.40 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Samford 81.68 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
Troy 43.50 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 168.05 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alcorn State 285.74 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Austin Peay State 294.90 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 262.87 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Clemson 254.71 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Florida 299.00 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534
Florida A&M 178.51 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417
Florida State 176.89 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476
Furman 283.21 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Georgia 200.50 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 262.95 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Jackson State 228.48 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Kennesaw State 151.95 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Lipscomb 260.16 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Memphis 282.03 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Mercer 156.73 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Middle Tennessee State 241.19 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Mississippi 232.57 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 164.10 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
New Orleans 274.37 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406
Presbyterian 293.50 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Alabama 160.56 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459
Southeastern Louisiana 277.75 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458
Southern Mississippi 192.59 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
Tennessee 282.21 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 267.38 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Tulane 281.13 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464
Vanderbilt 263.02 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Carolina 270.28 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation