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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:01 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.428
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.459
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.32875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00227
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00227
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00227
South Alabama South Alabama 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492 0.00363
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382 0.00118
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382 0.00118
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382 0.00118
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00283
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Bowling Green State neutral 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00099
Bowling Green State neutral 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00099
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00075
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00075
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00075
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00075
Samford Alabama State 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425 0.00214
Florida A&M Alabama State 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00178
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 0.00101
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00196
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00283
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217 -0.00248
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217 -0.00248
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217 -0.00248
South Alabama Alabama State 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492 0.00363
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00062
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425 0.00214
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 0.00101
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.411 0.162 -0.00371
Jacksonville State Alabama State 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456 0.00283
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 0.00169
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255 -0.00164

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 93.17 25 20 0.556 0.563 0.419
Alabama-Birmingham 84.90 18 24 0.429 0.583 0.360
Auburn 49.34 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374
Georgia State 148.14 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350
Georgia Tech 146.95 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483
Jacksonville State 105.40 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456
Samford 81.68 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425
Troy 43.50 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 168.05 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217
Alcorn State 285.74 12 28 0.300 0.421 0.255
Austin Peay State 294.90 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Belmont 262.87 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Clemson 254.71 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Florida 299.00 37 7 0.841 0.624 0.577
Florida A&M 178.51 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Florida State 176.89 29 13 0.690 0.617 0.499
Furman 283.21 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Georgia 200.50 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 262.95 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
Jackson State 228.48 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301
Kennesaw State 151.95 20 23 0.465 0.501 0.358
Lipscomb 260.16 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Memphis 282.03 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291
Mercer 156.73 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435
Middle Tennessee State 241.19 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Mississippi 232.57 33 12 0.733 0.595 0.515
Mississippi State 164.10 30 14 0.682 0.601 0.491
New Orleans 274.37 26 17 0.605 0.544 0.439
Presbyterian 293.50 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
South Alabama 160.56 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492
Southeastern Louisiana 277.75 31 13 0.705 0.498 0.477
Southern Mississippi 192.59 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483
Tennessee 282.21 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
Tennessee Tech 267.38 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
Tulane 281.13 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470
Vanderbilt 263.02 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Western Carolina 270.28 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation