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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.527
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00102
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00102
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00102
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00113
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00087
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00087
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00087
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00107
Youngstown State neutral 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00336
Michigan neutral 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00049
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00200
Campbell neutral 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00140
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00278
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00278
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00278
Notre Dame Appalachian State 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00200
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00118
Michigan neutral 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00049
Kent State neutral 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00067
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00084
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00084
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00084
North Carolina-Greensboro Appalachian State 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00031
North Carolina-Greensboro Appalachian State 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00031
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00253
East Tennessee State Appalachian State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 -0.00020
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00051
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00051
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00051
High Point Appalachian State 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00091
The Citadel Appalachian State 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00131
The Citadel Appalachian State 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00131
The Citadel Appalachian State 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00131
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00033
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00038
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00038
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00038
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00102
Gardner-Webb Appalachian State 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00131
Davidson Appalachian State 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00133
Davidson Appalachian State 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00133
Davidson Appalachian State 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00133
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00173
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00173
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00173

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 68.31 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 38.00 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 122.12 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Furman 98.59 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 66.90 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 96.18 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Marshall 147.72 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
North Carolina 149.50 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 107.28 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Presbyterian 121.28 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Radford 90.44 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 126.18 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Virginia Tech 98.89 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 80.57 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Western Carolina 104.48 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Winthrop 95.31 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 87.56 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Belmont 283.89 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Campbell 174.69 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Charleston Southern 241.46 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Cincinnati 253.81 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Coastal Carolina 234.77 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 257.10 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Dayton 279.14 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Duke 154.16 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 245.79 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Georgia 183.62 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 261.36 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Georgia State 227.70 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 227.29 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jacksonville State 283.81 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
James Madison 218.61 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kennesaw State 222.00 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kentucky 199.06 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Liberty 159.87 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 284.91 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Longwood 197.21 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Louisville 262.87 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Mercer 259.01 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Miami, Ohio 281.96 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Morehead State 166.84 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
North Carolina Central 156.43 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 170.98 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Northern Kentucky 246.72 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 216.27 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 272.21 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Richmond 248.07 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Savannah State 291.40 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 158.10 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
Tennessee Tech 213.02 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
The Citadel 256.09 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
VMI 165.47 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Vanderbilt 285.27 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia 216.15 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 255.20 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Kentucky 269.77 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
William and Mary 284.48 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Wright State 278.16 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 253.73 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation