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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.496
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.377


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516 0.00339
Virginia neutral 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456 0.00193
Old Dominion neutral 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00156
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00415
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 23 0.425 0.424 0.319 -0.00141
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 23 0.425 0.424 0.319 -0.00141
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 23 0.425 0.424 0.319 -0.00141
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 23 0.425 0.424 0.319 -0.00141
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329 -0.00117
Stony Brook neutral 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356 -0.00051
Bowling Green State neutral 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00202
Elon Elon 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364 -0.00032
North Carolina-Asheville neutral 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277 -0.00244
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00095
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00095
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00095
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236 -0.00344
Texas State Texas State 22 20 0.524 0.487 0.384 0.00017
Texas State Texas State 22 20 0.524 0.487 0.384 0.00017
Texas State Texas State 22 20 0.524 0.487 0.384 0.00017
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277 -0.00244
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00139
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00139
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00139
North Carolina Central Appalachian State 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329 -0.00117
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00044
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00044
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00044
Campbell neutral 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382 0.00012
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00093
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00093
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00093
Tennessee Tennessee 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425 0.00117
South Alabama Appalachian State 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00293
South Alabama Appalachian State 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00293
South Alabama Appalachian State 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00293
Wake Forest Appalachian State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00176
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00068
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00068
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00068
Wake Forest neutral 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00176

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Davidson 68.31 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
East Tennessee State 38.00 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Elon 122.12 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
Furman 98.59 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
Gardner-Webb 66.90 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
High Point 96.18 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
Marshall 147.72 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
North Carolina 149.50 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 107.28 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
Presbyterian 121.28 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Radford 90.44 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 126.18 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Virginia Tech 98.89 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
Wake Forest 80.57 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Western Carolina 104.48 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Winthrop 95.31 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 87.56 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Belmont 283.89 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Campbell 174.69 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Charleston Southern 241.46 15 26 0.366 0.485 0.304
Cincinnati 253.81 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Coastal Carolina 234.77 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
College of Charleston 257.10 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427
Dayton 279.14 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Duke 154.16 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Carolina 245.79 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
Georgia 183.62 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia Southern 261.36 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416
Georgia State 227.70 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349
Georgia Tech 227.29 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471
Jacksonville State 283.81 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455
James Madison 218.61 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Kennesaw State 222.00 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358
Kentucky 199.06 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Liberty 159.87 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Lipscomb 284.91 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Longwood 197.21 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Louisville 262.87 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Mercer 259.01 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433
Miami, Ohio 281.96 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Morehead State 166.84 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
North Carolina Central 156.43 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 170.98 29 11 0.725 0.603 0.513
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Northern Kentucky 246.72 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Ohio 216.27 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 272.21 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Richmond 248.07 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
Savannah State 291.40 10 32 0.238 0.468 0.236
South Carolina 158.10 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
Tennessee Tech 213.02 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
The Citadel 256.09 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305
VMI 165.47 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Vanderbilt 285.27 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia 216.15 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 255.20 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Kentucky 269.77 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
William and Mary 284.48 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373
Wright State 278.16 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 253.73 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation