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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas-Little Rock

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.530
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.501
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Indiana State Arkansas-Little Rock 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00113
Kansas Arkansas-Little Rock 17 35 0.327 0.539 0.298 -0.00177
Indiana State Arkansas-Little Rock 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00113
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00049
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00049
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00049
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00049
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas-Little Rock 4 34 0.105 0.419 0.157 -0.00449
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452 0.00119
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452 0.00119
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452 0.00119
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452 0.00119
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00151
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00151
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00151
Central Arkansas Arkansas-Little Rock 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396 0.00011
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00159
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00159
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00159
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00108
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00053
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00053
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00053
Oklahoma Arkansas-Little Rock 28 25 0.528 0.549 0.401 0.00021
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00189
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00189
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00189
Louisiana Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474 0.00161
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00099
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00099
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00099
Central Arkansas Central Arkansas 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396 0.00011
Texas State Texas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00002
Texas State Texas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00002
Texas State Texas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00002
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00057
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00057
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00057
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00025
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00025
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00025
Stephen F. Austin State Stephen F. Austin State 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00027
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00013
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00013
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00013
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00135
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00135
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00135
Central Arkansas neutral 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396 0.00011
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00016
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00016
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00016
Georgia Southern neutral 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00057

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 138.65 26 29 0.473 0.552 0.374
Arkansas State 121.26 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 40.49 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Central Arkansas 25.54 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396
Memphis 138.65 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 294.03 32 24 0.571 0.549 0.423
Alcorn State 208.85 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237
Dallas Baptist 299.59 37 17 0.685 0.535 0.476
Grambling State 153.82 17 27 0.386 0.396 0.292
Jackson State 208.07 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Louisiana Tech 153.06 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474
Louisiana-Monroe 152.56 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Mississippi 161.42 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505
Mississippi State 220.41 40 14 0.741 0.570 0.513
Missouri 290.66 26 30 0.464 0.548 0.369
Missouri State 179.54 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440
Murray State 260.45 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Northwestern State 210.71 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437
Oklahoma 291.41 28 25 0.528 0.549 0.401
Oklahoma State 283.44 35 18 0.660 0.531 0.463
Oral Roberts 223.28 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452
Southeast Missouri State 237.15 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern 298.31 10 31 0.244 0.421 0.227
Southern Illinois 268.86 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Mississippi 291.66 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471
St. Louis 293.86 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Stephen F. Austin State 253.36 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Tennessee-Martin 224.16 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation