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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.518
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.543
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Central Michigan Arkansas 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00348
Central Michigan Arkansas 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00348
Central Michigan Arkansas 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00348
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas 4 30 0.118 0.393 0.157 -0.00580
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas 4 30 0.118 0.393 0.157 -0.00580
Rice neutral 25 13 0.658 0.586 0.476 0.00198
Houston neutral 23 16 0.590 0.543 0.431 0.00088
Texas Tech neutral 32 12 0.727 0.555 0.502 0.00262
Louisiana Tech Arkansas 25 13 0.658 0.511 0.457 0.00152
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00477
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00477
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00477
Gonzaga Arkansas 24 14 0.632 0.504 0.442 0.00115
Western Illinois Arkansas 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00302
Western Illinois Arkansas 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00302
Western Illinois Arkansas 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271 -0.00302
Grambling State Arkansas 14 20 0.412 0.437 0.315 -0.00195
Grambling State Arkansas 14 20 0.412 0.437 0.315 -0.00195
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00371
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00371
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00371
Auburn Arkansas 18 23 0.439 0.591 0.367 -0.00068
Auburn Arkansas 18 23 0.439 0.591 0.367 -0.00068
Auburn Arkansas 18 23 0.439 0.591 0.367 -0.00068
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456 0.00149
Missouri Arkansas 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391 -0.00009
Missouri Arkansas 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391 -0.00009
Missouri Arkansas 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391 -0.00009
Memphis Memphis 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00251
Mississippi Mississippi 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521 0.00308
Mississippi Mississippi 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521 0.00308
Mississippi Mississippi 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521 0.00308
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00182
Florida Arkansas 36 6 0.857 0.623 0.584 0.00462
Florida Arkansas 36 6 0.857 0.623 0.584 0.00462
Florida Arkansas 36 6 0.857 0.623 0.584 0.00462
Creighton Arkansas 27 9 0.750 0.533 0.508 0.00276
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460 0.00159
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460 0.00159
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460 0.00159
Oklahoma State Arkansas 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456 0.00149

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 138.65 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Central Arkansas 117.64 16 22 0.421 0.539 0.345
Missouri State 94.45 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470
Oral Roberts 98.71 25 13 0.658 0.504 0.455

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 197.02 19 21 0.475 0.541 0.373
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 177.31 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323
Dallas Baptist 279.46 27 12 0.692 0.539 0.481
Grambling State 257.73 14 20 0.412 0.437 0.315
Kansas 208.84 14 23 0.378 0.524 0.320
Kansas State 254.46 19 22 0.463 0.543 0.367
Louisiana Tech 258.53 25 13 0.658 0.511 0.457
Louisiana-Monroe 271.55 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320
Memphis 247.98 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292
Mississippi 287.39 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521
Missouri 223.40 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391
Oklahoma 192.77 20 20 0.500 0.526 0.382
Oklahoma State 161.00 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456
Southeast Missouri State 271.69 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484
Southern Illinois 296.94 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.91 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246
St. Louis 280.98 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308
Tennessee-Martin 296.75 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280
Texas Christian 294.37 29 10 0.744 0.536 0.506
Texas-Arlington 284.91 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Wichita State 206.83 15 25 0.375 0.575 0.331

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation