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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.543
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.541
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Appalachian State Arkansas 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00194
Appalachian State Arkansas 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00194
Appalachian State Arkansas 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00194
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00202
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00202
Eastern Illinois Arkansas 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00202
South Alabama Arkansas 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00104
South Alabama Arkansas 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00104
South Alabama Arkansas 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00104
San Francisco neutral 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00094
Tulane neutral 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361 -0.00092
California California 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00082
California California 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00082
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00172
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00172
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00172
Grambling State Arkansas 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00304
Grambling State Arkansas 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00304
Alabama Arkansas 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00104
Alabama Arkansas 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00104
Alabama Arkansas 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00104
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00476
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00476
Mississippi Valley State neutral 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00476
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00096
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00096
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00096
Nebraska Arkansas 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00104
Nebraska Arkansas 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00104
South Carolina Arkansas 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00194
South Carolina Arkansas 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00194
South Carolina Arkansas 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00194
Nevada-Las Vegas Arkansas 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00070
Nevada-Las Vegas Arkansas 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00070
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00186
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00186
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00186
Stephen F. Austin State Arkansas 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00182
Vanderbilt Arkansas 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00204
Vanderbilt Arkansas 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00204
Vanderbilt Arkansas 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00204
Northwestern State Arkansas 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 -0.00012
Northwestern State Arkansas 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 -0.00012
Auburn Arkansas 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00002
Auburn Arkansas 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00002
Auburn Arkansas 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00002
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00112
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00180
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00180
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00180

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 138.65 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Central Arkansas 117.64 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Missouri State 94.45 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Oral Roberts 98.71 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 197.02 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 177.31 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Dallas Baptist 279.46 31 17 0.646 0.537 0.457
Grambling State 257.73 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255
Kansas 208.84 30 20 0.600 0.547 0.437
Kansas State 254.46 24 25 0.490 0.538 0.380
Louisiana Tech 258.53 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303
Louisiana-Monroe 271.55 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Memphis 247.98 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Mississippi 287.39 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Missouri 223.40 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Oklahoma 192.77 26 23 0.531 0.546 0.402
Oklahoma State 161.00 35 13 0.729 0.517 0.494
Southeast Missouri State 271.69 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 296.94 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.91 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 280.98 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee-Martin 296.75 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Texas Christian 294.37 34 13 0.723 0.567 0.503
Texas-Arlington 284.91 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366
Wichita State 206.83 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation