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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.526
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.514
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3915


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331 -0.00112
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331 -0.00112
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331 -0.00112
Mississippi Mississippi 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505 0.00210
Morehead State neutral 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00012
St. Louis neutral 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00094
St. Louis neutral 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00094
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 26 0.519 0.473 0.378 -0.00025
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 -0.00006
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 -0.00006
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 -0.00006
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 -0.00006
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00010
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00010
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 29 26 0.527 0.532 0.397 0.00010
Southern Illinois Arkansas State 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00034
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00097
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00097
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339 -0.00097
Missouri State Missouri State 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00090
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00053
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00053
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420 0.00053
Memphis Memphis 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295 -0.00179
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00151
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00151
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00151
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00110
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00144
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00144
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00144
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00110
Troy Arkansas State 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00049
Troy Arkansas State 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00049
Troy Arkansas State 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00049
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00034
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00132
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00132
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00132
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas State 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00106
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00184
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00184
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00184
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00084
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00084
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00084
Memphis Arkansas State 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295 -0.00179
Texas State Arkansas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00005
Texas State Arkansas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00005
Texas State Arkansas State 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 -0.00005
Mississippi Arkansas State 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505 0.00210
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00016
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00016
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00016
Louisiana-Lafayette neutral 37 19 0.661 0.571 0.473 0.00151

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Central Arkansas 113.66 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396
Memphis 66.06 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295
Mississippi 120.88 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505
Murray State 141.68 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 32 24 0.571 0.549 0.423
Alabama A&M 241.94 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331
Alcorn State 275.42 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237
Arkansas 197.02 26 29 0.473 0.552 0.374
Austin Peay State 190.84 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425
Belmont 218.17 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Eastern Illinois 285.66 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Evansville 227.41 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Grambling State 257.17 17 27 0.386 0.396 0.292
Jackson State 246.47 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Lipscomb 217.10 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Louisiana Tech 255.38 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320
Mississippi State 195.90 40 14 0.741 0.570 0.513
Missouri 232.54 26 30 0.464 0.548 0.369
Missouri State 173.09 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440
Oral Roberts 295.66 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452
Samford 274.65 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Southern Illinois 151.54 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 194.41 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Tennessee Tech 289.01 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Vanderbilt 216.80 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509
Western Kentucky 246.84 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

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