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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.557
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.514
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.407


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Miami, Ohio Arkansas State 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00070
Miami, Ohio Arkansas State 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00070
Miami, Ohio Arkansas State 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00070
Illinois State Arkansas State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00074
Illinois State Arkansas State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00074
Illinois State Arkansas State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00074
Illinois State Arkansas State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00074
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00068
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00085
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00085
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00085
Creighton neutral 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00074
Creighton neutral 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00074
Creighton neutral 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00074
Murray State Murray State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00168
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas State 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00113
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas State 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00113
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas State 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00113
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00191
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00087
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00087
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00087
Memphis Arkansas State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00040
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00119
Texas State Arkansas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00015
Texas State Arkansas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00015
Texas State Arkansas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00015
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00068
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00002
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00002
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00002
Central Arkansas Arkansas State 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390 -0.00036
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00111
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00111
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00111
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00040
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00151
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00151
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00151
Central Arkansas Central Arkansas 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390 -0.00036
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00087
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00087
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00087
Murray State Arkansas State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00168
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00321
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00321
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00321

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Central Arkansas 113.66 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Memphis 66.06 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Mississippi 120.88 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Murray State 141.68 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 241.94 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Alcorn State 275.42 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Arkansas 197.02 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436
Austin Peay State 190.84 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 218.17 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Eastern Illinois 285.66 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Evansville 227.41 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Grambling State 257.17 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255
Jackson State 246.47 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Lipscomb 217.10 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisiana Tech 255.38 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi State 195.90 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Missouri 232.54 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Missouri State 173.09 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Oral Roberts 295.66 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406
Samford 274.65 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Southern Illinois 151.54 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 194.41 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee Tech 289.01 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Vanderbilt 216.80 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Kentucky 246.84 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation