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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.552
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.507
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Illinois State Arkansas State 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368 -0.00091
Illinois State Arkansas State 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368 -0.00091
Illinois State Arkansas State 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368 -0.00091
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00298
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00298
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00298
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00011
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 21 19 0.525 0.474 0.381 -0.00057
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 21 19 0.525 0.474 0.381 -0.00057
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 21 19 0.525 0.474 0.381 -0.00057
Texas-Arlington neutral 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00126
Texas-Arlington neutral 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00126
Texas-Arlington neutral 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00126
Missouri State Arkansas State 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00298
Georgia State Arkansas State 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00072
Georgia State Arkansas State 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00072
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00172
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00064
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00064
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00064
Murray State Murray State 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00339
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00074
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00145
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00145
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458 0.00145
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00074
Tennessee Arkansas State 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00123
South Alabama Arkansas State 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00080
South Alabama Arkansas State 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00080
South Alabama Arkansas State 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00080
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00418
Troy Troy 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 -0.00010
Troy Troy 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 -0.00010
Troy Troy 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 -0.00010
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00152
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00152
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00152
Murray State Arkansas State 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00339
Appalachian State Arkansas State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00344
Appalachian State Arkansas State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00344
Appalachian State Arkansas State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00344

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 18 15 0.545 0.413 0.376
Central Arkansas 113.66 20 15 0.571 0.501 0.411
Memphis 66.06 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mississippi 120.88 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Murray State 141.68 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama A&M 241.94 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Alcorn State 275.42 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212
Arkansas 197.02 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443
Austin Peay State 190.84 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 218.17 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Eastern Illinois 285.66 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Evansville 227.41 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Grambling State 257.17 7 26 0.212 0.403 0.207
Jackson State 246.47 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Lipscomb 217.10 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisiana Tech 255.38 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Mississippi State 195.90 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Missouri 232.54 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446
Missouri State 173.09 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516
Oral Roberts 295.66 28 12 0.700 0.514 0.478
Samford 274.65 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Southern Illinois 151.54 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 194.41 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Tennessee Tech 289.01 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Vanderbilt 216.80 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 246.84 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation