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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Sat Jun 25 06:47:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00107
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00107
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329 -0.00107
Mississippi Mississippi 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00174
Morehead State neutral 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00003
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00104
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00104
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00044
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 -0.00016
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 -0.00016
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 -0.00016
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 -0.00016
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00001
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00001
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00001
Southern Illinois Arkansas State 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00022
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00094
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00094
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00094
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444 0.00091
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00060
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00060
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00060
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00145
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00150
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00150
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00150
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00100
South Alabama South Alabama 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00117
South Alabama South Alabama 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00117
South Alabama South Alabama 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00117
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00100
Troy Arkansas State 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00027
Troy Arkansas State 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00027
Troy Arkansas State 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00027
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00022
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00125
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas State 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334 -0.00099
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00175
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00175
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00175
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00058
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00058
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00058
Memphis Arkansas State 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00145
Texas State Arkansas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Texas State Arkansas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Texas State Arkansas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Mississippi Arkansas State 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00174
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00033
Louisiana-Lafayette neutral 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00150
Troy neutral 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00027
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Louisiana-Lafayette neutral 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00150

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
Central Arkansas 113.66 29 27 0.518 0.525 0.390
Memphis 66.06 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Mississippi 120.88 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Murray State 141.68 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama A&M 241.94 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Alcorn State 275.42 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Arkansas 197.02 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Austin Peay State 190.84 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 218.17 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Eastern Illinois 285.66 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Evansville 227.41 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Grambling State 257.17 17 27 0.386 0.392 0.291
Jackson State 246.47 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Lipscomb 217.10 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisiana Tech 255.38 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Mississippi State 195.90 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Missouri 232.54 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Missouri State 173.09 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444
Oral Roberts 295.66 38 21 0.644 0.502 0.448
Samford 274.65 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
Southern Illinois 151.54 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 194.41 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Tennessee Tech 289.01 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Vanderbilt 216.80 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 246.84 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation