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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.597
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.546
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.435


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Illinois State Arkansas State 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372 -0.00394
Illinois State Arkansas State 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372 -0.00394
Illinois State Arkansas State 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372 -0.00394
Louisville neutral 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465 0.00188
Louisville neutral 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465 0.00188
Louisville neutral 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465 0.00188
Mississippi Mississippi 10 9 0.526 0.743 0.449 0.00088
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 9 9 0.500 0.600 0.400 -0.00219
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 9 9 0.500 0.600 0.400 -0.00219
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 9 9 0.500 0.600 0.400 -0.00219
Texas-Arlington neutral 9 7 0.562 0.531 0.414 -0.00131
Texas-Arlington neutral 9 7 0.562 0.531 0.414 -0.00131
Texas-Arlington neutral 9 7 0.562 0.531 0.414 -0.00131
Missouri State Arkansas State 10 6 0.625 0.642 0.473 0.00237
Georgia State Arkansas State 12 6 0.667 0.468 0.451 0.00100
Georgia State Arkansas State 12 6 0.667 0.468 0.451 0.00100

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 6 8 0.429 0.527 0.346
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 6 8 0.429 0.436 0.324
Central Arkansas 113.66 11 3 0.786 0.475 0.512
Memphis 66.06 9 4 0.692 0.478 0.465
Mississippi 120.88 10 9 0.526 0.743 0.449
Murray State 141.68 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 8 8 0.500 0.498 0.374
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 3 11 0.214 0.436 0.216

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 11 7 0.611 0.614 0.459
Alabama A&M 241.94 11 7 0.611 0.471 0.423
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 10 7 0.588 0.572 0.437
Alcorn State 275.42 5 13 0.278 0.501 0.264
Arkansas 197.02 9 8 0.529 0.497 0.389
Austin Peay State 190.84 10 5 0.667 0.311 0.411
Belmont 218.17 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366
Eastern Illinois 285.66 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Evansville 227.41 7 8 0.467 0.444 0.345
Grambling State 257.17 3 14 0.176 0.458 0.203
Jackson State 246.47 6 7 0.462 0.444 0.342
Lipscomb 217.10 11 5 0.688 0.432 0.452
Louisiana Tech 255.38 8 9 0.471 0.614 0.389
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 10 7 0.588 0.377 0.388
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 11 6 0.647 0.543 0.459
Mississippi State 195.90 16 6 0.727 0.512 0.491
Missouri 232.54 14 4 0.778 0.475 0.508
Missouri State 173.09 10 6 0.625 0.642 0.473
Oral Roberts 295.66 9 8 0.529 0.591 0.412
Samford 274.65 6 10 0.375 0.601 0.338
Southern Illinois 151.54 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 5 9 0.357 0.530 0.311
St. Louis 194.41 12 7 0.632 0.379 0.411
Tennessee Tech 289.01 8 8 0.500 0.506 0.377
Vanderbilt 216.80 16 4 0.800 0.545 0.536
Western Kentucky 246.84 9 9 0.500 0.531 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation