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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.541
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.584 0.364 -0.00084
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.584 0.364 -0.00084
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.584 0.364 -0.00084
Mississippi Mississippi 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521 0.00308
Morehead State neutral 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 0.00016
St. Louis neutral 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00224
St. Louis neutral 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00224
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 20 20 0.500 0.457 0.364 -0.00084
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00127
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00127
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00127
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00127
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 -0.00004
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 -0.00004
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 -0.00004
Southern Illinois Arkansas State 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00041
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00122
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00122
Georgia State Georgia State 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349 -0.00122
Missouri State Missouri State 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470 0.00181
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00046
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00046
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416 0.00046
Memphis Memphis 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00264
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 27 15 0.643 0.597 0.471 0.00183
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 27 15 0.643 0.597 0.471 0.00183
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 27 15 0.643 0.597 0.471 0.00183
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484 0.00216
South Alabama South Alabama 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00248
South Alabama South Alabama 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00248
South Alabama South Alabama 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497 0.00248
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484 0.00216
Troy Arkansas State 23 18 0.561 0.536 0.415 0.00043
Troy Arkansas State 23 18 0.561 0.536 0.415 0.00043
Troy Arkansas State 23 18 0.561 0.536 0.415 0.00043
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00041
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00194
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00194
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320 -0.00194
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas State 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323 -0.00187
Appalachian State Appalachian State 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261 -0.00342
Appalachian State Appalachian State 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261 -0.00342

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323
Central Arkansas 113.66 16 22 0.421 0.539 0.345
Memphis 66.06 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292
Mississippi 120.88 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521
Murray State 141.68 19 21 0.475 0.462 0.353
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 24 19 0.558 0.566 0.420
Alabama A&M 241.94 11 34 0.244 0.364 0.213
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 17 22 0.436 0.584 0.364
Alcorn State 275.42 11 25 0.306 0.399 0.253
Arkansas 197.02 25 16 0.610 0.518 0.434
Austin Peay State 190.84 25 14 0.641 0.529 0.453
Belmont 218.17 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Eastern Illinois 285.66 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Evansville 227.41 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Grambling State 257.17 14 20 0.412 0.437 0.315
Jackson State 246.47 14 21 0.400 0.394 0.298
Lipscomb 217.10 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Louisiana Tech 255.38 25 13 0.658 0.511 0.457
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Mississippi State 195.90 29 13 0.690 0.607 0.497
Missouri 232.54 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391
Missouri State 173.09 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470
Oral Roberts 295.66 25 13 0.658 0.504 0.455
Samford 274.65 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418
Southern Illinois 151.54 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246
St. Louis 194.41 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308
Tennessee Tech 289.01 21 18 0.538 0.411 0.372
Vanderbilt 216.80 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Western Kentucky 246.84 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation