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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:07 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.443
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 35 19 0.648 0.510 0.452 0.00186
Utah Valley neutral 37 21 0.638 0.459 0.434 0.00155
Utah neutral 25 27 0.481 0.547 0.377 0.00056
Utah Valley neutral 37 21 0.638 0.459 0.434 0.00155
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.476 0.383 0.00067
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.476 0.383 0.00067
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00248
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00018
Mississippi neutral 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505 0.00277
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 0.00041
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 0.00041
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00289
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228 -0.00200
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228 -0.00200
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.599 0.500 0.00269
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.599 0.500 0.00269
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.599 0.500 0.00269
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00087
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00087
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00087
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00087
Purdue Ball State 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00209
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00024
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00024
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00024
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378 0.00058
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00023
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00023
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00023
Xavier Ball State 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392 0.00082
Western Michigan Ball State 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319 -0.00044
Western Michigan Ball State 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319 -0.00044
Western Michigan Ball State 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319 -0.00044
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00112
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00054
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00054
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00054
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00209
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00128
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00128
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00128
Northern Kentucky Ball State 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00073
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00052
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00052
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00052
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00040
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00040
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00040
Indiana State Ball State 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440 0.00165
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00088
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239 -0.00181
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00023
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00023
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00023
Western Michigan neutral 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319 -0.00044
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00054

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 47.10 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Cincinnati 89.35 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 72.63 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
IPFW 64.44 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Illinois 148.51 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Indiana 92.57 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 117.48 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Louisville 140.21 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Miami, Ohio 60.86 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Northern Kentucky 96.67 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Notre Dame 110.49 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Ohio State 127.40 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Purdue 81.50 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Toledo 136.98 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Valparaiso 120.27 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Western Michigan 143.12 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319
Wright State 78.64 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 89.23 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 0.000
Austin Peay State 275.01 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Belmont 291.05 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Bradley 221.94 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394
Central Michigan 234.40 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313
Chicago State 154.00 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Eastern Illinois 155.03 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Eastern Michigan 168.36 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321
Evansville 191.86 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Illinois State 189.47 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Kent State 222.94 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488
Kentucky 159.20 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Lipscomb 294.00 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Marshall 240.59 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Michigan 166.35 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447
Michigan State 180.30 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445
Morehead State 176.00 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Murray State 293.66 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356
Northern Illinois 211.36 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331
Northwestern 174.08 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Oakland 204.66 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Ohio 186.41 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Pittsburgh 287.71 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459
Southern Illinois 267.95 31 25 0.554 0.510 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
St. Louis 278.88 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331
Tennessee Tech 279.20 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
Vanderbilt 291.40 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
West Virginia 290.61 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Western Illinois 277.78 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258
Western Kentucky 230.40 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 29 26 0.527 0.476 0.383
Youngstown State 253.92 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation