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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.439
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.495
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 29 12 0.707 0.502 0.479 0.00302
Utah Valley neutral 26 18 0.591 0.462 0.411 0.00151
Utah neutral 16 23 0.410 0.564 0.346 0.00006
Utah Valley neutral 26 18 0.591 0.462 0.411 0.00151
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 0.00035
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359 0.00035
Kent State neutral 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485 0.00315
George Washington neutral 20 25 0.444 0.484 0.343 -0.00001
Mississippi neutral 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00382
Cincinnati neutral 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376 0.00073
Cincinnati neutral 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376 0.00073
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00331
Savannah State Savannah State 11 34 0.244 0.461 0.237 -0.00236
Savannah State Savannah State 11 34 0.244 0.461 0.237 -0.00236
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00284
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00284
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00284
Dayton Ball State 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298 -0.00101
Dayton Ball State 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298 -0.00101
Dayton Ball State 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298 -0.00101
Dayton Ball State 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298 -0.00101
Purdue Ball State 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00272
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00053
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00053
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367 0.00053
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 0.00053
Ohio Ball State 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 0.00006
Ohio Ball State 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 0.00006
Ohio Ball State 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 0.00006
Xavier Ball State 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00009
Western Michigan Ball State 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00136
Western Michigan Ball State 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00136
Western Michigan Ball State 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282 -0.00136
Indiana Indiana 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00179
Central Michigan Central Michigan 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00201
Central Michigan Central Michigan 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00201
Central Michigan Central Michigan 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253 -0.00201
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00272
Bowling Green State Ball State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00132
Bowling Green State Ball State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00132
Bowling Green State Ball State 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00132
Northern Kentucky Ball State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00107
Buffalo Buffalo 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00118
Buffalo Buffalo 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00118
Buffalo Buffalo 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00118

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Butler 47.10 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Cincinnati 89.35 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Dayton 72.63 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
IPFW 64.44 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 148.51 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401
Indiana 92.57 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 117.48 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Louisville 140.21 36 9 0.800 0.578 0.544
Miami, Ohio 60.86 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Northern Kentucky 96.67 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Notre Dame 110.49 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio State 127.40 28 15 0.651 0.454 0.439
Purdue 81.50 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Toledo 136.98 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
Valparaiso 120.27 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367
Western Michigan 143.12 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282
Wright State 78.64 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 89.23 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 0.000
Austin Peay State 275.01 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442
Belmont 291.05 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391
Bradley 221.94 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376
Central Michigan 234.40 11 32 0.256 0.498 0.253
Chicago State 154.00 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Eastern Illinois 155.03 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
Eastern Michigan 168.36 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Evansville 191.86 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416
Illinois State 189.47 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336
Kent State 222.94 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Kentucky 159.20 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Lipscomb 294.00 23 21 0.523 0.442 0.372
Marshall 240.59 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Michigan 166.35 30 12 0.714 0.521 0.487
Michigan State 180.30 30 11 0.732 0.488 0.488
Morehead State 176.00 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Murray State 293.66 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354
Northern Illinois 211.36 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333
Northwestern 174.08 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Oakland 204.66 17 17 0.500 0.465 0.366
Ohio 186.41 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Pittsburgh 287.71 22 17 0.564 0.558 0.421
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 30 13 0.698 0.486 0.470
Southern Illinois 267.95 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 278.88 19 25 0.432 0.439 0.326
Tennessee Tech 279.20 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
Vanderbilt 291.40 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523
West Virginia 290.61 24 19 0.558 0.499 0.404
Western Illinois 277.78 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Western Kentucky 230.40 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 19 20 0.487 0.464 0.359
Youngstown State 253.92 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation