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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.478
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.483
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00195
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 0.00016
Morehead State neutral 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 0.00021
Dayton neutral 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 -0.00051
Mississippi Valley State neutral 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00424
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00142
Iowa neutral 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00134
Northwestern neutral 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00204
Rider neutral 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00211
Rider neutral 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00211
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00347
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00347
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00205
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00205
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00205
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00207
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00207
IPFW neutral 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288 -0.00159
IPFW neutral 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288 -0.00159
IPFW neutral 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288 -0.00159
IPFW neutral 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288 -0.00159
Bowling Green State Ball State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00023
Bowling Green State Ball State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00023
Bowling Green State Ball State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00023
Buffalo neutral 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00078
Buffalo neutral 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00078
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00193
Eastern Michigan Ball State 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00199
Eastern Michigan Ball State 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00199
Eastern Michigan Ball State 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00199
Butler Butler 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00135
Toledo Toledo 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00057
Toledo Toledo 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00057
Toledo Toledo 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00057
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00107
Western Michigan Ball State 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00066
Western Michigan Ball State 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00066
Western Michigan Ball State 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00066
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00321
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00101
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00101
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00101
Akron Akron 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00016
Akron Akron 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00016
Akron Akron 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00016

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 47.10 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Cincinnati 89.35 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 72.63 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
IPFW 64.44 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 148.51 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Indiana 92.57 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 117.48 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Louisville 140.21 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 60.86 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Northern Kentucky 96.67 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Notre Dame 110.49 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Ohio State 127.40 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Purdue 81.50 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Toledo 136.98 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Valparaiso 120.27 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Michigan 143.12 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wright State 78.64 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 89.23 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Austin Peay State 275.01 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 291.05 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bradley 221.94 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Central Michigan 234.40 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Chicago State 154.00 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Eastern Illinois 155.03 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Eastern Michigan 168.36 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 191.86 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois State 189.47 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Kent State 222.94 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Kentucky 159.20 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Lipscomb 294.00 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 240.59 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Michigan 166.35 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 180.30 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Morehead State 176.00 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Murray State 293.66 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Northern Illinois 211.36 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 174.08 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Oakland 204.66 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio 186.41 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Pittsburgh 287.71 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 267.95 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 278.88 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee Tech 279.20 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Vanderbilt 291.40 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
West Virginia 290.61 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Illinois 277.78 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Western Kentucky 230.40 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Youngstown State 253.92 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation