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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.495
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kentucky neutral 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478 0.00549
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495 0.00643
High Point neutral 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348 -0.00174
Elon neutral 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00090
High Point neutral 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348 -0.00174
Elon neutral 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00090
Illinois neutral 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497 0.00654
Illinois neutral 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497 0.00654
West Virginia neutral 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405 0.00143
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466 0.00482
Maine neutral 8 13 0.381 0.599 0.340 -0.00218
Northwestern neutral 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234 -0.00807
Dartmouth neutral 1 6 0.143 0.745 0.258 -0.00674
Indiana neutral 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508 0.00715
Miami, Ohio Ball State 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225 -0.00857
Dayton Dayton 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262 -0.00651
Dayton Dayton 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262 -0.00651
Dayton Dayton 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262 -0.00651

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Butler 47.10 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Cincinnati 89.35 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Dayton 72.63 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262
IPFW 64.44 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Illinois 148.51 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497
Indiana 92.57 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Indiana State 117.48 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
Louisville 140.21 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465
Miami, Ohio 60.86 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Northern Kentucky 96.67 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Notre Dame 110.49 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Ohio State 127.40 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Purdue 81.50 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
Toledo 136.98 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270
Valparaiso 120.27 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
Western Michigan 143.12 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327
Wright State 78.64 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Xavier 89.23 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399
Austin Peay State 275.01 10 5 0.667 0.311 0.411
Belmont 291.05 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366
Bradley 221.94 13 3 0.812 0.541 0.541
Central Michigan 234.40 13 7 0.650 0.436 0.434
Chicago State 154.00 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
Eastern Illinois 155.03 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
Eastern Michigan 168.36 6 12 0.333 0.624 0.323
Evansville 191.86 7 8 0.467 0.444 0.345
Illinois State 189.47 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Kent State 222.94 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396
Kentucky 159.20 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Lipscomb 294.00 11 5 0.688 0.432 0.452
Marshall 240.59 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Michigan 166.35 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402
Michigan State 180.30 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Morehead State 176.00 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Murray State 293.66 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260
Northern Illinois 211.36 9 9 0.500 0.408 0.352
Northwestern 174.08 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Oakland 204.66 2 12 0.143 0.708 0.248
Ohio 186.41 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Pittsburgh 287.71 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 8 8 0.500 0.498 0.374
Southern Illinois 267.95 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 5 9 0.357 0.530 0.311
St. Louis 278.88 12 7 0.632 0.379 0.411
Tennessee Tech 279.20 8 8 0.500 0.506 0.377
Vanderbilt 291.40 16 4 0.800 0.545 0.536
West Virginia 290.61 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Illinois 277.78 3 10 0.231 0.558 0.255
Western Kentucky 230.40 9 9 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 10 4 0.714 0.540 0.492
Youngstown State 253.92 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation