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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Bowling Green State

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.427
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.474
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.332


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00065
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00065
Seattle Seattle 25 15 0.625 0.479 0.432 0.00250
Seattle Seattle 25 15 0.625 0.479 0.432 0.00250
Seattle Seattle 25 15 0.625 0.479 0.432 0.00250
Seattle Seattle 25 15 0.625 0.479 0.432 0.00250
Elon Elon 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364 0.00080
Appalachian State neutral 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261 -0.00177
Stony Brook neutral 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356 0.00060
Alabama State neutral 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00273
Alabama State neutral 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00273
Presbyterian neutral 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 0.00098
Savannah State neutral 10 32 0.238 0.468 0.236 -0.00240
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 20 20 0.500 0.457 0.364 0.00080
Presbyterian neutral 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 0.00098
Central Michigan Bowling Green State 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00200
Western Michigan Western Michigan 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00145
Western Michigan Western Michigan 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00145
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00145
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00145
Central Michigan Central Michigan 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00200
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330 -0.00005
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330 -0.00005
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330 -0.00005
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00240
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00240
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00240
Michigan Michigan 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00410
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00090
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00090
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00090
Dayton Bowling Green State 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00120
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00012
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00012
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00012
Wright State Wright State 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00330
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00188
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00188
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00188
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258 -0.00185

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 112.06 0.000
Ball State 123.47 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407
Dayton 117.66 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Michigan 60.59 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
IPFW 78.71 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Kent State 119.95 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Miami, Ohio 141.49 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Michigan 61.57 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 103.25 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Notre Dame 136.18 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 91.86 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Ohio State 99.87 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Toledo 18.08 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
Western Michigan 119.28 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Wright State 112.40 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Youngstown State 149.58 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 272.02 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275
Butler 170.22 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Canisius 266.59 23 18 0.561 0.430 0.388
Central Michigan 162.65 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252
Chicago State 207.01 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
Cincinnati 162.38 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Eastern Illinois 273.06 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Kentucky 254.35 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
Illinois 256.61 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 286.53 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 210.29 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana 215.32 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Indiana State 238.59 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Kentucky 236.24 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Louisville 246.87 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Marshall 234.88 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Morehead State 220.50 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Niagara 263.71 12 26 0.316 0.479 0.278
Northern Illinois 268.60 15 25 0.375 0.469 0.305
Northern Kentucky 168.43 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Northwestern 214.84 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Ohio 163.05 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Pittsburgh 201.85 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 184.82 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
St. Bonaventure 269.48 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360
Valparaiso 176.43 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
West Virginia 225.61 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 249.96 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347
Xavier 160.45 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation