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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Bowling Green State

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.476
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.473
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 29 0.482 0.428 0.348 -0.00016
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 29 0.482 0.428 0.348 -0.00016
Seattle Seattle 36 19 0.655 0.461 0.443 0.00164
Seattle Seattle 36 19 0.655 0.461 0.443 0.00164
Seattle Seattle 36 19 0.655 0.461 0.443 0.00164
Seattle Seattle 36 19 0.655 0.461 0.443 0.00164
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00004
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00123
Stony Brook neutral 25 26 0.490 0.479 0.365 0.00017
Alabama State neutral 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00194
Alabama State neutral 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00194
Presbyterian neutral 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354 -0.00004
Savannah State neutral 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00242
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00022
Presbyterian neutral 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354 -0.00004
Central Michigan Bowling Green State 21 36 0.368 0.489 0.306 -0.00095
Western Michigan Western Michigan 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00085
Western Michigan Western Michigan 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00085
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00085
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00085
Central Michigan Central Michigan 21 36 0.368 0.489 0.306 -0.00095
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 21 35 0.375 0.502 0.313 -0.00082
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 21 35 0.375 0.502 0.313 -0.00082
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 21 35 0.375 0.502 0.313 -0.00082
Toledo Bowling Green State 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00114
Toledo Bowling Green State 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00114
Toledo Bowling Green State 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00114
Michigan Michigan 36 20 0.643 0.525 0.453 0.00183
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362 0.00011
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362 0.00011
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362 0.00011
Dayton Bowling Green State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00117
Ohio Bowling Green State 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Ohio Bowling Green State 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Ohio Bowling Green State 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00046
Wright State Wright State 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484 0.00241
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386 0.00056
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386 0.00056
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386 0.00056
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00180
Northern Illinois Bowling Green State 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00050
Northern Illinois Bowling Green State 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00050
Northern Illinois Bowling Green State 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00050
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00226
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00226
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00226
Youngstown State Bowling Green State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00180
Kent State Bowling Green State 42 12 0.778 0.448 0.501 0.00273
Kent State Bowling Green State 42 12 0.778 0.448 0.501 0.00273
Kent State Bowling Green State 42 12 0.778 0.448 0.501 0.00273
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00078
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00078
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315 -0.00078

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 112.06 0.000
Ball State 123.47 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386
Dayton 117.66 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Eastern Michigan 60.59 21 35 0.375 0.502 0.313
IPFW 78.71 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Kent State 119.95 42 12 0.778 0.448 0.501
Miami, Ohio 141.49 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362
Michigan 61.57 36 20 0.643 0.525 0.453
Michigan State 103.25 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Notre Dame 136.18 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 91.86 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340
Ohio State 99.87 39 17 0.696 0.491 0.471
Toledo 18.08 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296
Western Michigan 119.28 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wright State 112.40 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484
Youngstown State 149.58 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 272.02 21 31 0.404 0.453 0.315
Butler 170.22 12 40 0.231 0.500 0.240
Canisius 266.59 32 25 0.561 0.431 0.388
Central Michigan 162.65 21 36 0.368 0.489 0.306
Chicago State 207.01 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Cincinnati 162.38 26 30 0.464 0.543 0.368
Eastern Illinois 273.06 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 254.35 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Illinois 256.61 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois State 286.53 17 37 0.315 0.516 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 210.29 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343
Indiana 215.32 32 23 0.582 0.498 0.415
Indiana State 238.59 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445
Kentucky 236.24 32 25 0.561 0.551 0.418
Louisville 246.87 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Marshall 234.88 33 20 0.623 0.523 0.442
Morehead State 220.50 31 25 0.554 0.503 0.403
Niagara 263.71 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265
Northern Illinois 268.60 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 168.43 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Northwestern 214.84 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Ohio 163.05 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Pittsburgh 201.85 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 184.82 10 44 0.185 0.525 0.224
St. Bonaventure 269.48 26 22 0.542 0.410 0.373
Valparaiso 176.43 28 27 0.509 0.487 0.376
West Virginia 225.61 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 249.96 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392
Xavier 160.45 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation