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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Bucknell

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.474
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.467
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00358
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00358
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00358
Delaware State Delaware State 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412 0.00139
Iona neutral 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257 -0.00230
Niagara neutral 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00157
Niagara neutral 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00157
Niagara neutral 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00157
Niagara neutral 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00157
Illinois State neutral 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00210
Yale neutral 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337 -0.00040
Central Michigan neutral 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00122
Bowling Green State neutral 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00039
Bowling Green State neutral 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00039
Northwestern neutral 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00204
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00102
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00102
Penn State Bucknell 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00102
Penn State Bucknell 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00102
Navy Bucknell 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340 -0.00033
Navy Bucknell 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340 -0.00033
Navy Bucknell 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340 -0.00033
Navy Bucknell 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340 -0.00033
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00078
Lehigh Bucknell 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364 0.00024
Lehigh Bucknell 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364 0.00024
Lehigh Bucknell 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364 0.00024
Lehigh Bucknell 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364 0.00024
Binghamton Binghamton 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361 0.00017
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00212
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00212
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00212
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00212
Towson Towson 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 0.00020
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00121
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00121
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00121
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00121
Holy Cross Bucknell 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00178
Holy Cross Bucknell 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00178
Holy Cross Bucknell 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00178
Holy Cross Bucknell 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00178

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 92.07 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Coppin State 124.62 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Cornell 105.25 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Delaware 107.51 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 141.34 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
Fairleigh Dickinson 149.53 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
George Mason 148.03 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 145.60 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 133.44 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
LaSalle 111.12 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 87.68 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 84.22 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Maryland 135.63 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 117.99 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Mount St. Mary's 91.18 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 137.42 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
New Jersey Tech 143.02 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
Penn State 51.12 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 113.22 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 124.81 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Rider 121.65 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 131.48 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Seton Hall 138.95 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
St. Bonaventure 113.46 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
St. Joseph's 108.87 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 147.03 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Temple 104.22 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Towson 108.60 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Villanova 101.77 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Wagner 148.74 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 240.97 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Albany 197.94 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 155.74 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Brown 291.29 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295
Bryant 285.16 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488
Buffalo 171.27 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Canisius 169.42 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Central Connecticut State 220.43 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 155.50 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Connecticut 247.30 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Fairfield 189.84 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fordham 157.24 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 224.36 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Hofstra 172.87 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Holy Cross 277.14 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279
Iona 163.06 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
James Madison 202.70 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kent State 232.26 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
LIU Brooklyn 153.31 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
Liberty 277.20 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 265.32 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Manhattan 156.44 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 162.31 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Maryland-Eastern Shore 199.94 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Massachusetts 245.76 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Monmouth 158.21 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New York Tech 172.12 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Niagara 184.43 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Norfolk State 285.69 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
Ohio 297.58 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 282.83 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Pittsburgh 164.82 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Quinnipiac 210.48 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Rhode Island 280.63 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252
Richmond 235.65 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Sacred Heart 193.54 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Siena 202.62 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. John's 162.78 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
Stony Brook 196.70 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
VMI 257.25 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 218.63 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 235.55 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 186.15 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
William and Mary 253.19 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Yale 206.10 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337
Youngstown State 202.03 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation