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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Bucknell

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.413
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.453
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.31975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00193
Georgetown neutral 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381 0.00146
Virginia Commonwealth neutral 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00215
Virginia Commonwealth neutral 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00215
Virginia Commonwealth neutral 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00215
Buffalo neutral 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00107
Buffalo neutral 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00107
Illinois State neutral 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368 0.00115
Dartmouth neutral 16 19 0.457 0.493 0.352 0.00077
Bowling Green State neutral 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313 -0.00016
Maine neutral 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00040
LIU Brooklyn neutral 12 25 0.324 0.411 0.265 -0.00130
Butler neutral 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00104
Butler neutral 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00104
St. Joseph's Bucknell 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 0.00046
Cornell Bucknell 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256 -0.00152
Cornell Bucknell 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256 -0.00152
Cornell Bucknell 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256 -0.00152
Cornell Bucknell 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256 -0.00152
Binghamton Bucknell 12 15 0.444 0.480 0.342 0.00053
Mount St. Mary's Bucknell 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203 -0.00278
Navy Navy 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00215
Navy Navy 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00215
Navy Navy 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00215
Navy Navy 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00215
Lehigh Lehigh 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302 -0.00042
Lehigh Lehigh 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302 -0.00042
Lehigh Lehigh 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302 -0.00042
Lehigh Lehigh 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302 -0.00042
Penn State Penn State 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00009
Army Bucknell 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339 0.00046
Army Bucknell 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339 0.00046
Army Bucknell 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339 0.00046
Army Bucknell 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339 0.00046
Penn State Penn State 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00009
Lafayette Bucknell 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00042
Lafayette Bucknell 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00042
Lafayette Bucknell 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00042
Lafayette Bucknell 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00042
St. Bonaventure Bucknell 14 15 0.483 0.402 0.342 0.00053
St. Bonaventure Bucknell 14 15 0.483 0.402 0.342 0.00053
Towson Bucknell 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00114
Holy Cross Holy Cross 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 0.00115
Holy Cross Holy Cross 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 0.00115
Holy Cross Holy Cross 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 0.00115
Holy Cross Holy Cross 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368 0.00115

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 92.07 12 15 0.444 0.480 0.342
Coppin State 124.62 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Cornell 105.25 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256
Delaware 107.51 16 14 0.533 0.465 0.383
Delaware State 141.34 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
Fairleigh Dickinson 149.53 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294
George Mason 148.03 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 145.60 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 133.44 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
LaSalle 111.12 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358
Lafayette 87.68 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302
Lehigh 84.22 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302
Maryland 135.63 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 117.99 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Mount St. Mary's 91.18 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 137.42 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
New Jersey Tech 143.02 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379
Penn State 51.12 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316
Pennsylvania 113.22 20 12 0.625 0.377 0.407
Princeton 124.81 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230
Rider 121.65 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363
Rutgers 131.48 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311
Seton Hall 138.95 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386
St. Bonaventure 113.46 14 15 0.483 0.402 0.342
St. Joseph's 108.87 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339
St. Peter's 147.03 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228
Temple 104.22 0.000
Towson 108.60 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Villanova 101.77 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319
Wagner 148.74 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 240.97 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Albany 197.94 11 16 0.407 0.460 0.319
Army 155.74 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339
Brown 291.29 10 27 0.270 0.475 0.254
Bryant 285.16 16 16 0.500 0.431 0.358
Buffalo 171.27 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275
Canisius 169.42 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327
Central Connecticut State 220.43 12 21 0.364 0.393 0.280
Columbia 155.50 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444
Connecticut 247.30 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459
Fairfield 189.84 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250
Fordham 157.24 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331
Hartford 224.36 14 22 0.389 0.430 0.302
Hofstra 172.87 15 23 0.395 0.474 0.316
Holy Cross 277.14 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368
Iona 163.06 12 26 0.316 0.420 0.263
James Madison 202.70 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kent State 232.26 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
LIU Brooklyn 153.31 12 25 0.324 0.411 0.265
Liberty 277.20 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 265.32 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Manhattan 156.44 11 26 0.297 0.408 0.251
Marist 162.31 11 19 0.367 0.441 0.294
Maryland-Eastern Shore 199.94 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Massachusetts 245.76 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323
Monmouth 158.21 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321
New York Tech 172.12 10 20 0.333 0.440 0.277
Niagara 184.43 9 20 0.310 0.395 0.254
Norfolk State 285.69 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
Ohio 297.58 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 282.83 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Pittsburgh 164.82 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Quinnipiac 210.48 19 18 0.514 0.423 0.363
Rhode Island 280.63 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384
Richmond 235.65 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Sacred Heart 193.54 14 19 0.424 0.446 0.324
Siena 202.62 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312
St. John's 162.78 23 13 0.639 0.486 0.441
Stony Brook 196.70 20 12 0.625 0.500 0.438
VMI 257.25 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 218.63 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 235.55 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 186.15 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
William and Mary 253.19 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Yale 206.10 12 22 0.353 0.429 0.284
Youngstown State 202.03 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation