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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Buffalo

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:48 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.452
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.465
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Air Force neutral 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 0.00059
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00065
Marist neutral 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 0.00017
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00095
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00095
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00095
Kentucky Kentucky 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00157
Kentucky Kentucky 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00157
Kentucky Kentucky 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00157
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225 -0.00225
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225 -0.00225
Navy Navy 40 13 0.755 0.414 0.481 0.00267
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00078
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00078
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00078
Canisius Canisius 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 0.00073
Toledo Toledo 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00095
Toledo Toledo 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00095
Toledo Toledo 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00095
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00061
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00061
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00062
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00062
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00062
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00020
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00020
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00020
Canisius Canisius 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 0.00073
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00042
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00042
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00042
Canisius Buffalo 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 0.00073
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00004
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00004
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00004
St. Bonaventure Buffalo 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00061
Ball State Buffalo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00103
Ball State Buffalo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00103
Ball State Buffalo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00103
Canisius Buffalo 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 0.00073
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00296
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00296
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00296
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00149
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00149
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267 -0.00145
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267 -0.00145
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00149
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00149
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00141
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00141
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00141

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Canisius 6.33 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Cornell 122.84 14 22 0.389 0.450 0.307
Niagara 14.32 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
St. Bonaventure 64.98 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 192.97 0.000
Albany 252.06 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331
Army 270.65 16 32 0.333 0.493 0.290
Binghamton 155.82 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389
Bowling Green State 272.02 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Bucknell 171.27 18 34 0.346 0.474 0.291
Columbia 289.82 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Coppin State 286.34 14 37 0.275 0.367 0.229
Delaware 278.77 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
Eastern Michigan 252.60 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Fairleigh Dickinson 283.80 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 291.70 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367
George Mason 297.37 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 299.36 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 286.73 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Iona 294.89 11 39 0.220 0.464 0.226
Kent State 183.68 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
LIU Brooklyn 293.87 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292
LaSalle 277.45 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255
Lafayette 239.83 14 29 0.326 0.464 0.279
Lehigh 242.59 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 290.10 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331
Marist 262.67 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351
Maryland 292.81 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 280.28 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Michigan 257.10 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 289.56 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Mount St. Mary's 240.90 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
New Jersey Tech 283.58 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274
Oakland 225.53 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Penn State 158.15 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pennsylvania 280.87 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Pittsburgh 186.44 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Princeton 280.95 24 19 0.558 0.501 0.404
Rider 280.17 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
Rutgers 281.08 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Seton Hall 280.38 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449
Siena 255.52 23 30 0.434 0.418 0.322
St. Joseph's 276.38 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
St. Peter's 287.54 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 269.23 0.000
Toledo 263.05 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Towson 273.04 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Villanova 268.18 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
Wagner 291.52 19 33 0.365 0.463 0.298
West Virginia 239.31 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Youngstown State 159.04 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation