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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Butler

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.495
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3685


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00080
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00080
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00080
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00080
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00124
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00124
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00124
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00205
Indiana neutral 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00078
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00145
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00107
Michigan State neutral 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00145
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00161
IPFW Butler 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367 -0.00003
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00072
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00072
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00072
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00078
Western Michigan Butler 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00103
Bradley Butler 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00047
Bradley Butler 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00047
Western Michigan Butler 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00103
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00130
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00138
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00138
Indiana State Butler 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00138
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00145
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00105
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00105
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00105
IPFW IPFW 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367 -0.00003
Creighton Creighton 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00193
Creighton Creighton 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00193
Creighton Creighton 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00193
Miami, Ohio Butler 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00022
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00036
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00036
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00036
Xavier Butler 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00047
Xavier Butler 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00047
Xavier Butler 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00047
St. John's St. John's 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00026
St. John's St. John's 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00026
St. John's St. John's 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00026
Mercer Butler 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00122
Mercer Butler 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00122
Mercer Butler 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00122
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00253
Ball State Butler 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00034
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00134
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00134
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00134

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 47.10 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Chicago State 149.57 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Cincinnati 101.12 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 104.57 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Illinois 110.05 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Evansville 148.59 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
IPFW 104.23 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 110.55 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Indiana 49.84 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 71.08 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Louisville 115.38 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 79.68 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 106.97 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Notre Dame 127.91 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 57.83 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Valparaiso 120.43 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Wright State 112.61 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 102.14 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 259.03 0.000
Austin Peay State 237.51 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 257.99 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 170.22 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Bradley 189.96 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Central Michigan 267.52 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Eastern Kentucky 177.07 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Eastern Michigan 212.10 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Illinois State 156.49 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 159.58 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Kent State 268.72 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Kentucky 154.34 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Lipscomb 260.90 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 264.59 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 209.68 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 217.63 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 276.21 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Morehead State 186.24 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Murray State 251.35 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northern Illinois 198.64 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 172.94 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Oakland 248.47 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio 219.07 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 166.84 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Southeast Missouri State 252.41 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 221.19 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 218.16 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 232.87 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Tennessee 295.54 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 255.93 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 283.16 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Toledo 183.09 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Vanderbilt 258.17 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Illinois 242.51 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Western Kentucky 198.39 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 171.06 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 242.73 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Youngstown State 299.57 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation