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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Butler

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:41 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.498
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00079
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00079
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00079
Samford Samford 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411 0.00079
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00125
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00125
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00125
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263 -0.00206
Indiana neutral 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00077
Boston College neutral 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00133
Central Michigan neutral 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312 -0.00112
Michigan State neutral 36 18 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00163
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00162
IPFW Butler 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 0.00010
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00073
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00073
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00073
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00077
Western Michigan Butler 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00113
Bradley Butler 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399 0.00056
Bradley Butler 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399 0.00056
Western Michigan Butler 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00113
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00131
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00137
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00137
Indiana State Butler 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00137
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294 -0.00146
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00108
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00108
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00108
IPFW IPFW 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 0.00010
Creighton Creighton 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Creighton Creighton 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Creighton Creighton 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Miami, Ohio Butler 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00025
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00037
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00037
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00037
Xavier Butler 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00033
Xavier Butler 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00033
Xavier Butler 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00033
St. John's St. John's 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00033
St. John's St. John's 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00033
St. John's St. John's 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00033
Mercer Butler 37 21 0.638 0.484 0.440 0.00135
Mercer Butler 37 21 0.638 0.484 0.440 0.00135
Mercer Butler 37 21 0.638 0.484 0.440 0.00135
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00254
Ball State Butler 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387 0.00033
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00131
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00131
Seton Hall Butler 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00131

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 47.10 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Chicago State 149.57 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222
Cincinnati 101.12 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 104.57 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294
Eastern Illinois 110.05 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Evansville 148.59 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
IPFW 104.23 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Illinois 110.55 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Indiana 49.84 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 71.08 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
Louisville 115.38 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Miami, Ohio 79.68 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 106.97 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Notre Dame 127.91 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Purdue 57.83 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Valparaiso 120.43 29 27 0.518 0.488 0.381
Wright State 112.61 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487
Xavier 102.14 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 259.03 0.000
Austin Peay State 237.51 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Belmont 257.99 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Bowling Green State 170.22 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Bradley 189.96 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399
Central Michigan 267.52 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312
Eastern Kentucky 177.07 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Eastern Michigan 212.10 22 35 0.386 0.498 0.318
Illinois State 156.49 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 159.58 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342
Kent State 268.72 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501
Kentucky 154.34 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418
Lipscomb 260.90 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Marshall 264.59 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446
Michigan 209.68 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452
Michigan State 217.63 36 18 0.667 0.487 0.455
Middle Tennessee State 276.21 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Morehead State 186.24 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
Murray State 251.35 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
Northern Illinois 198.64 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 172.94 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263
Oakland 248.47 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340
Ohio 219.07 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 166.84 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Southeast Missouri State 252.41 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern Illinois 221.19 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 218.16 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 232.87 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Tennessee 295.54 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 255.93 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 283.16 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294
Toledo 183.09 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Vanderbilt 258.17 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Western Illinois 242.51 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258
Western Kentucky 198.39 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356
Western Michigan 171.06 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 242.73 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383
Youngstown State 299.57 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation