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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Mon May 23 07:00:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pacific Cal Poly 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324 -0.00113
Pacific Cal Poly 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324 -0.00113
Pacific Cal Poly 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324 -0.00113
Pacific Cal Poly 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324 -0.00113
UCLA Cal Poly 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381 -0.00005
Michigan Cal Poly 35 19 0.648 0.520 0.454 0.00133
UCLA Cal Poly 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381 -0.00005
UCLA Cal Poly 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381 -0.00005
Pepperdine Cal Poly 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420 0.00068
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00103
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00103
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329 -0.00103
Pepperdine Pepperdine 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420 0.00068
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.473 0.354 -0.00056
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.473 0.354 -0.00056
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.473 0.354 -0.00056
Sacramento State Sacramento State 28 26 0.519 0.470 0.377 -0.00013
Sacramento State Sacramento State 28 26 0.519 0.470 0.377 -0.00013
Sacramento State Sacramento State 28 26 0.519 0.470 0.377 -0.00013
Wichita State Wichita State 21 35 0.375 0.557 0.327 -0.00107
Wichita State Wichita State 21 35 0.375 0.557 0.327 -0.00107
Wichita State Wichita State 21 35 0.375 0.557 0.327 -0.00107
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294 -0.00169
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284 -0.00188
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284 -0.00188
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284 -0.00188
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347 -0.00069
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00142
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00142
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459 0.00142
California Cal Poly 29 19 0.604 0.517 0.431 0.00089
Hawaii Hawaii 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00054
Hawaii Hawaii 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00054
Hawaii Hawaii 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00054
Fresno State Cal Poly 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00114
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 34 16 0.680 0.550 0.478 0.00178
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 34 16 0.680 0.550 0.478 0.00178
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 34 16 0.680 0.550 0.478 0.00178
California California 29 19 0.604 0.517 0.431 0.00089
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00144
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00144
Long Beach State Long Beach State 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460 0.00144
Santa Clara Cal Poly 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347 -0.00069
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00083
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00083
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428 0.00083
Fresno State Fresno State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00114
UC Irvine Cal Poly 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 0.00033
UC Irvine Cal Poly 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 0.00033
UC Irvine Cal Poly 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401 0.00033
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294 -0.00169
UC Riverside UC Riverside 24 27 0.471 0.497 0.360 -0.00045
UC Riverside UC Riverside 24 27 0.471 0.497 0.360 -0.00045
UC Riverside UC Riverside 24 27 0.471 0.497 0.360 -0.00045

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 18 35 0.340 0.498 0.294
Cal State Northridge 141.86 32 19 0.627 0.458 0.428
Fresno State 115.81 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Pepperdine 141.38 28 21 0.571 0.539 0.420
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 34 16 0.680 0.550 0.478

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 33 18 0.647 0.541 0.459
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 0.000
California 197.99 29 19 0.604 0.517 0.431
Long Beach State 178.45 34 18 0.654 0.532 0.460
Loyola Marymount 157.41 26 27 0.491 0.519 0.375
Nevada 296.75 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422
Pacific 187.86 21 30 0.412 0.471 0.324
San Diego 265.17 27 29 0.482 0.529 0.373
San Diego State 269.77 19 36 0.345 0.549 0.310
San Francisco 197.23 22 34 0.393 0.528 0.329
San Jose State 154.28 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284
Santa Clara 157.69 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
Southern California 161.50 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
St. Mary's 192.58 29 22 0.569 0.536 0.418
Stanford 168.69 28 22 0.560 0.514 0.409
UC Davis 231.49 16 33 0.327 0.522 0.294
UC Irvine 197.08 29 23 0.558 0.489 0.401
UC Riverside 207.99 24 27 0.471 0.497 0.360
UCLA 152.13 25 27 0.481 0.561 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation