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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal State Fullerton

Last updated: Fri Jun 24 06:43:17 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.544
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00021
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00021
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00021
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00009
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00009
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00009
Arizona Arizona 46 22 0.676 0.564 0.479 0.00128
Texas Tech Texas Tech 47 19 0.712 0.569 0.498 0.00160
Texas Tech Texas Tech 47 19 0.712 0.569 0.498 0.00160
Texas Tech Texas Tech 47 19 0.712 0.569 0.498 0.00160
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 36 23 0.610 0.548 0.442 0.00065
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 36 23 0.610 0.548 0.442 0.00065
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 21 37 0.362 0.551 0.319 -0.00144
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 21 37 0.362 0.551 0.319 -0.00144
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 21 37 0.362 0.551 0.319 -0.00144
San Diego State Cal State Fullerton 21 38 0.356 0.537 0.312 -0.00156
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00000
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00000
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00000
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.554 0.389 -0.00025
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00067
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00016
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00016
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00016
San Diego Cal State Fullerton 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00056
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00001
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00001
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 -0.00001
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00193
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00193
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00193
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293 -0.00188
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 24 32 0.429 0.539 0.349 -0.00093
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 24 32 0.429 0.539 0.349 -0.00093
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 24 32 0.429 0.539 0.349 -0.00093
UCLA Cal State Fullerton 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00067
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00006
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00006
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00006
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.537 0.312 -0.00156
UC Riverside Cal State Fullerton 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00071
UC Riverside Cal State Fullerton 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00071
UC Riverside Cal State Fullerton 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362 -0.00071
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00129
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00129
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00129
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00094
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00094
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00094
Southern California Cal State Fullerton 28 28 0.500 0.554 0.389 -0.00025
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00080
Louisiana Tech neutral 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00107
Mississippi State neutral 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00158
Louisiana Tech neutral 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 122.49 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293
Cal State Northridge 44.24 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413
Long Beach State 16.34 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451
Loyola Marymount 31.48 26 27 0.491 0.509 0.373
Pepperdine 48.48 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407
San Diego 86.81 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371
San Diego State 89.87 21 38 0.356 0.537 0.312
Southern California 25.04 28 28 0.500 0.554 0.389
UC Irvine 16.39 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400
UC Riverside 29.37 26 29 0.473 0.502 0.362
UC Santa Barbara 118.32 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480
UCLA 34.98 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 186.08 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Fresno State 228.02 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Nevada-Las Vegas 218.23 24 32 0.429 0.539 0.349

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation