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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal State Fullerton

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.533
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.529
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Washington State Cal State Fullerton 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00074
Washington State Cal State Fullerton 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00074
Washington State Cal State Fullerton 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00074
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00037
San Francisco Cal State Fullerton 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00088
San Francisco Cal State Fullerton 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00088
San Francisco Cal State Fullerton 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00088
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00198
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00198
Oregon Oregon 34 14 0.708 0.528 0.486 0.00198
Baylor Baylor 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00072
Baylor Baylor 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00072
Baylor Baylor 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00072
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00116
St. Mary's Cal State Fullerton 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00295
St. Mary's Cal State Fullerton 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00295
St. Mary's Cal State Fullerton 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00295
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00098
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00024
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00024
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00024
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00134
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00134
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00134
UCLA Cal State Fullerton 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00036
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00128
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00128
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00128
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00294
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00294
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00294
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 -0.00018
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00099
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00099
Hawaii Cal State Fullerton 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00099
San Diego Cal State Fullerton 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00116
Fresno State Cal State Fullerton 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 -0.00018
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 -0.00006
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00036

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 122.49 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal State Northridge 44.24 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316
Long Beach State 16.34 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396
Loyola Marymount 31.48 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413
Pepperdine 48.48 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482
San Diego 86.81 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450
San Diego State 89.87 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459
Southern California 25.04 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415
UC Irvine 16.39 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484
UC Riverside 29.37 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380
UC Santa Barbara 118.32 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455
UCLA 34.98 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 186.08 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Fresno State 228.02 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391
Nevada-Las Vegas 218.23 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation