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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal State Fullerton

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.541
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stanford Stanford 21 18 0.538 0.537 0.403 0.00002
Stanford Stanford 21 18 0.538 0.537 0.403 0.00002
Stanford Stanford 21 18 0.538 0.537 0.403 0.00002
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00051
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00051
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00051
Arizona Arizona 28 16 0.636 0.550 0.456 0.00125
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.564 0.502 0.00232
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.564 0.502 0.00232
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.564 0.502 0.00232
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 26 15 0.634 0.538 0.452 0.00116
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 26 15 0.634 0.538 0.452 0.00116
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00182
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00182
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00182
San Diego State Cal State Fullerton 13 30 0.302 0.559 0.291 -0.00259
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00041
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00041
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00041
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00066
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00099
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00099
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00099
UCLA UCLA 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391 -0.00026
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423 0.00048
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423 0.00048
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423 0.00048
San Diego Cal State Fullerton 23 25 0.479 0.531 0.372 -0.00070
Cal Poly Cal Poly 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429 0.00062
Cal Poly Cal Poly 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429 0.00062
Cal Poly Cal Poly 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429 0.00062
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294 -0.00252
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294 -0.00252
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294 -0.00252
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243 -0.00370
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 20 24 0.455 0.525 0.359 -0.00101
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 20 24 0.455 0.525 0.359 -0.00101
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 20 24 0.455 0.525 0.359 -0.00101
UCLA Cal State Fullerton 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391 -0.00026
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00027
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00027
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414 0.00027
San Diego State San Diego State 13 30 0.302 0.559 0.291 -0.00259

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 122.49 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243
Cal State Northridge 44.24 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423
Long Beach State 16.34 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445
Loyola Marymount 31.48 24 21 0.533 0.490 0.389
Pepperdine 48.48 20 19 0.513 0.538 0.391
San Diego 86.81 23 25 0.479 0.531 0.372
San Diego State 89.87 13 30 0.302 0.559 0.291
Southern California 25.04 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374
UC Irvine 16.39 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414
UC Riverside 29.37 20 21 0.488 0.482 0.364
UC Santa Barbara 118.32 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514
UCLA 34.98 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 186.08 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429
Fresno State 228.02 30 16 0.652 0.509 0.453
Nevada-Las Vegas 218.23 20 24 0.455 0.525 0.359

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation