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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.539
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.495
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Missouri State Central Arkansas 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470 0.00202
Missouri State Central Arkansas 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470 0.00202
Missouri State Central Arkansas 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470 0.00202
Tennessee Tech Central Arkansas 21 18 0.538 0.411 0.372 -0.00056
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00511
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00511
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00511
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00511
Oklahoma Oklahoma 20 20 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00030
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484 0.00239
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484 0.00239
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484 0.00239
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 20 21 0.488 0.497 0.368 -0.00066
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 20 21 0.488 0.497 0.368 -0.00066
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 20 21 0.488 0.497 0.368 -0.00066
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00005
Lamar Lamar 29 10 0.744 0.518 0.502 0.00286
Lamar Lamar 29 10 0.744 0.518 0.502 0.00286
Lamar Lamar 29 10 0.744 0.518 0.502 0.00286
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 19 20 0.487 0.467 0.360 -0.00088
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 19 20 0.487 0.467 0.360 -0.00088
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 19 20 0.487 0.467 0.360 -0.00088
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323 -0.00185
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 27 17 0.614 0.492 0.430 0.00097
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 27 17 0.614 0.492 0.430 0.00097
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 27 17 0.614 0.492 0.430 0.00097
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323 -0.00185
Oregon State Oregon State 26 11 0.703 0.485 0.473 0.00210
Oregon State neutral 26 11 0.703 0.485 0.473 0.00210
Oregon State Oregon State 26 11 0.703 0.485 0.473 0.00210
Arkansas-Little Rock Central Arkansas 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00005
Nicholls State Nicholls State 17 24 0.415 0.481 0.328 -0.00172
Nicholls State Nicholls State 17 24 0.415 0.481 0.328 -0.00172
Nicholls State Nicholls State 17 24 0.415 0.481 0.328 -0.00172
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00313
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 22 18 0.550 0.582 0.420 0.00070
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 22 18 0.550 0.582 0.420 0.00070
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 22 18 0.550 0.582 0.420 0.00070
New Orleans New Orleans 25 15 0.625 0.558 0.452 0.00155

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 117.64 25 16 0.610 0.518 0.434
Arkansas State 113.66 19 21 0.475 0.541 0.373
Arkansas-Little Rock 25.54 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.70 17 21 0.447 0.398 0.323
Memphis 143.28 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 234.36 11 25 0.306 0.399 0.253
Grambling State 177.31 14 20 0.412 0.437 0.315
Jackson State 232.23 14 21 0.400 0.394 0.298
Louisiana Tech 176.74 25 13 0.658 0.511 0.457
Louisiana-Monroe 177.71 15 26 0.366 0.546 0.320
Mississippi 173.74 32 11 0.744 0.595 0.521
Mississippi State 237.33 29 13 0.690 0.607 0.497
Missouri 266.28 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391
Missouri State 154.00 28 11 0.718 0.445 0.470
Murray State 255.20 19 21 0.475 0.462 0.353
Northwestern State 233.38 22 18 0.550 0.582 0.420
Oklahoma 281.80 20 20 0.500 0.526 0.382
Oklahoma State 268.47 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456
Oral Roberts 207.11 25 13 0.658 0.504 0.455
Southeast Missouri State 224.28 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484
Southern Illinois 255.42 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 289.94 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246
St. Louis 274.61 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308
Stephen F. Austin State 270.56 20 21 0.488 0.497 0.368
Tennessee-Martin 219.33 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation