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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:48 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.526
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.499
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Missouri State Central Arkansas 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00099
Missouri State Central Arkansas 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00099
Missouri State Central Arkansas 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00099
Tennessee Tech Central Arkansas 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00029
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00283
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00283
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00283
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00283
Oklahoma Oklahoma 28 25 0.528 0.549 0.401 0.00025
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00119
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00119
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00119
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00022
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00022
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00022
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00009
Lamar Lamar 35 17 0.673 0.508 0.464 0.00144
Lamar Lamar 35 17 0.673 0.508 0.464 0.00144
Lamar Lamar 35 17 0.673 0.508 0.464 0.00144
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00075
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00075
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00075
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00101
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 37 19 0.661 0.509 0.458 0.00133
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 37 19 0.661 0.509 0.458 0.00133
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 37 19 0.661 0.509 0.458 0.00133
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00101
Oregon State Oregon State 32 19 0.627 0.511 0.441 0.00100
Oregon State neutral 32 19 0.627 0.511 0.441 0.00100
Oregon State Oregon State 32 19 0.627 0.511 0.441 0.00100
Arkansas-Little Rock Central Arkansas 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00009
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.498 0.357 -0.00058
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.498 0.357 -0.00058
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.498 0.357 -0.00058
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508 0.00227
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00093
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00093
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00093
New Orleans New Orleans 30 24 0.556 0.539 0.413 0.00048
New Orleans New Orleans 30 24 0.556 0.539 0.413 0.00048
New Orleans New Orleans 30 24 0.556 0.539 0.413 0.00048
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00260
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00260
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00260
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00101
Mississippi Valley State Central Arkansas 4 34 0.105 0.419 0.157 -0.00435
McNeese State McNeese State 29 23 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00031
McNeese State McNeese State 29 23 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00031
McNeese State McNeese State 29 23 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00031
Arkansas-Little Rock neutral 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383 -0.00009
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 36 18 0.667 0.514 0.462 0.00140
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 36 18 0.667 0.514 0.462 0.00140
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 36 18 0.667 0.514 0.462 0.00140

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 117.64 26 29 0.473 0.553 0.375
Arkansas State 113.66 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Arkansas-Little Rock 25.54 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.70 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Memphis 143.28 19 37 0.339 0.504 0.295

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 234.36 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Grambling State 177.31 17 27 0.386 0.395 0.292
Jackson State 232.23 25 26 0.490 0.367 0.337
Louisiana Tech 176.74 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474
Louisiana-Monroe 177.71 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Mississippi 173.74 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503
Mississippi State 237.33 40 14 0.741 0.569 0.513
Missouri 266.28 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373
Missouri State 154.00 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440
Murray State 255.20 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
Northwestern State 233.38 33 22 0.600 0.547 0.437
Oklahoma 281.80 28 25 0.528 0.549 0.401
Oklahoma State 268.47 35 18 0.660 0.532 0.463
Oral Roberts 207.11 34 18 0.654 0.498 0.452
Southeast Missouri State 224.28 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 255.42 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 289.94 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 274.61 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341
Stephen F. Austin State 270.56 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Tennessee-Martin 219.33 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation