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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.513
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.494
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Missouri State Central Arkansas 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00066
Missouri State Central Arkansas 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00066
Missouri State Central Arkansas 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00066
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00018
Abilene Christian Abilene Christian 10 25 0.286 0.497 0.267 -0.00257
New Jersey Tech neutral 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298 -0.00186
New Jersey Tech neutral 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298 -0.00186
North Dakota Central Arkansas 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00291
North Dakota Central Arkansas 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00291
Illinois State Central Arkansas 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00141
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00018
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00018
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00018
Creighton Central Arkansas 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00141
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00050
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00050
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00050
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00118
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00118
Sam Houston State Central Arkansas 34 14 0.708 0.493 0.477 0.00220
Sam Houston State Central Arkansas 34 14 0.708 0.493 0.477 0.00220
Sam Houston State Central Arkansas 34 14 0.708 0.493 0.477 0.00220
Stephen F. Austin State Stephen F. Austin State 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00145
Stephen F. Austin State Stephen F. Austin State 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00145
Stephen F. Austin State Stephen F. Austin State 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00145
Arkansas-Little Rock Central Arkansas 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00059
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413 0.00075
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413 0.00075
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413 0.00075
Arkansas State Arkansas State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00105
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 0.00020
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 0.00020
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 0.00020
McNeese State Central Arkansas 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00043
McNeese State Central Arkansas 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00043
McNeese State Central Arkansas 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00043
Arkansas State Central Arkansas 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00105
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00059
Northwestern State Northwestern State 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 0.00048
Northwestern State Northwestern State 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 0.00048
Northwestern State Northwestern State 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 0.00048
Oral Roberts Central Arkansas 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406 0.00059
Oral Roberts Central Arkansas 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406 0.00059
Oral Roberts Central Arkansas 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406 0.00059

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 117.64 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436
Arkansas State 113.66 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Little Rock 25.54 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.70 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Memphis 143.28 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 234.36 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Grambling State 177.31 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255
Jackson State 232.23 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Louisiana Tech 176.74 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303
Louisiana-Monroe 177.71 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Mississippi 173.74 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 237.33 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Missouri 266.28 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Missouri State 154.00 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Murray State 255.20 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Northwestern State 233.38 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401
Oklahoma 281.80 26 23 0.531 0.546 0.402
Oklahoma State 268.47 35 13 0.729 0.517 0.494
Oral Roberts 207.11 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406
Southeast Missouri State 224.28 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 255.42 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 289.94 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 274.61 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Stephen F. Austin State 270.56 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316
Tennessee-Martin 219.33 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation