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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Florida

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.554
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.409


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Siena Central Florida 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00226
Siena Central Florida 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00226
Siena Central Florida 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00226
Bethune-Cookman Central Florida 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00307
Arkansas neutral 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00079
Maryland neutral 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00160
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00056
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00307
Mississippi Central Florida 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00005
Mississippi Central Florida 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00005
Mississippi Central Florida 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00005
Florida Central Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00247
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00247
Columbia Central Florida 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00081
Columbia Central Florida 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00081
Columbia Central Florida 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00081
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00226
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00226
Fairfield Central Florida 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00370
Fairfield Central Florida 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00370
Fairfield Central Florida 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00370
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00307
Presbyterian Central Florida 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 -0.00026
Presbyterian Central Florida 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 -0.00026
Presbyterian Central Florida 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 -0.00026
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00109
Houston Central Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00126
Houston Central Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00126
Houston Central Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00126
Florida Atlantic Central Florida 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00249
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00263
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00263
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00263
Jacksonville Central Florida 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00109
Connecticut Central Florida 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00116
Connecticut Central Florida 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00116
Connecticut Central Florida 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00116
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00223
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00084
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00084
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00084
North Florida Central Florida 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479 0.00163
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00107
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00107
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bethune-Cookman 42.94 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277
Florida 100.16 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515
Jacksonville 122.85 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362
North Florida 116.60 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479
South Florida 82.77 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479
Stetson 29.09 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
College of Charleston 299.24 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Florida A&M 224.20 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida Atlantic 168.46 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516
Florida Gulf Coast 151.81 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Florida International 203.53 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343
Florida State 225.65 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Georgia Southern 266.22 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Miami, Florida 207.92 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505
Savannah State 236.16 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
The Citadel 298.05 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation