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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Michigan

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:22 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.497
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.488
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3705


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas Arkansas 26 17 0.605 0.532 0.435 0.00154
Arkansas Arkansas 26 17 0.605 0.532 0.435 0.00154
Arkansas Arkansas 26 17 0.605 0.532 0.435 0.00154
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 20 20 0.500 0.483 0.371 0.00001
St. Mary's neutral 23 17 0.575 0.547 0.424 0.00127
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 20 20 0.500 0.483 0.371 0.00001
Tennessee neutral 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411 0.00096
Illinois neutral 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400 0.00070
Villanova neutral 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301 -0.00165
Stetson Stetson 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00015
Boston College neutral 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00118
Butler neutral 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244 -0.00301
North Dakota State neutral 20 18 0.526 0.481 0.383 0.00030
Illinois State neutral 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00213
St. Joseph's neutral 22 17 0.564 0.485 0.403 0.00077
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287 -0.00199
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00104
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00104
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00104
Bowling Green State Central Michigan 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287 -0.00199
Michigan State Michigan State 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00265
Kent State Central Michigan 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482 0.00265
Kent State Central Michigan 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482 0.00265
Kent State Central Michigan 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482 0.00265
Michigan Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00287
Missouri State Missouri State 28 13 0.683 0.453 0.455 0.00201
Missouri State Missouri State 28 13 0.683 0.453 0.455 0.00201
Missouri State Missouri State 28 13 0.683 0.453 0.455 0.00201
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00125
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00125
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00125
Michigan State neutral 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00265
Ball State Central Michigan 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00092
Ball State Central Michigan 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00092
Ball State Central Michigan 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00092
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00165
Toledo Central Michigan 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00339
Toledo Central Michigan 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00339
Toledo Central Michigan 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00339
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 -0.00011
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00063
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00063
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00063

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Eastern Michigan 107.61 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Michigan 104.55 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 60.17 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Notre Dame 149.32 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 100.73 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Toledo 146.66 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Western Michigan 98.50 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 240.32 0.000
Ball State 234.40 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Bowling Green State 162.65 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Butler 267.52 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Chicago State 192.81 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
Dayton 267.11 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
IPFW 170.62 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 298.82 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois-Chicago 187.57 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Kent State 243.31 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Miami, Ohio 280.77 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Niagara 290.98 14 26 0.350 0.470 0.292
Northern Illinois 232.43 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 180.69 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Ohio State 262.47 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Purdue 243.60 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Valparaiso 185.84 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 161.57 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360
Wright State 264.67 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Youngstown State 262.07 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation