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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.518
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3865


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Miami, Ohio neutral 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390 0.00007
Mississippi State Mississippi State 39 24 0.619 0.564 0.451 0.00122
Mississippi State Mississippi State 39 24 0.619 0.564 0.451 0.00122
Mississippi State Mississippi State 39 24 0.619 0.564 0.451 0.00122
Santa Clara Santa Clara 26 30 0.464 0.491 0.355 -0.00059
Santa Clara Santa Clara 26 30 0.464 0.491 0.355 -0.00059
Santa Clara Santa Clara 26 30 0.464 0.491 0.355 -0.00059
Iowa neutral 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398 0.00022
Iowa neutral 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398 0.00022
Iowa neutral 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398 0.00022

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.35 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Butler 101.12 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Dayton 44.96 23 30 0.434 0.468 0.334
Eastern Kentucky 96.98 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
IPFW 140.92 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Indiana 107.44 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Kentucky 76.14 37 25 0.597 0.586 0.445
Louisville 92.81 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Miami, Ohio 28.97 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Morehead State 87.34 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Northern Kentucky 7.48 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Ohio 129.40 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Ohio State 99.88 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Wright State 51.68 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Xavier 2.44 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 207.87 28 29 0.491 0.469 0.363
Appalachian State 253.81 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Austin Peay State 236.90 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Belmont 240.79 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Bowling Green State 162.38 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Bradley 290.11 22 27 0.449 0.504 0.351
Chicago State 241.65 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
East Tennessee State 227.46 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Eastern Illinois 197.54 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Eastern Michigan 220.81 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
Evansville 181.58 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Illinois 208.76 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 256.55 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Illinois-Chicago 250.70 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Indiana State 157.03 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Kent State 217.42 35 23 0.603 0.456 0.415
Lipscomb 243.68 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Marshall 164.75 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Michigan 220.56 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Michigan State 248.90 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400
Middle Tennessee State 248.24 31 27 0.534 0.535 0.401
Murray State 270.19 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337
North Carolina-Asheville 265.07 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
Northern Illinois 296.20 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Northwestern 262.70 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294
Notre Dame 198.95 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Oakland 254.12 12 33 0.267 0.484 0.255
Pittsburgh 257.93 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337
Purdue 157.43 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Radford 256.09 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
Southern Illinois 273.16 26 31 0.456 0.464 0.344
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.58 20 32 0.385 0.469 0.310
Tennessee 222.05 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
Tennessee Tech 211.17 39 19 0.672 0.441 0.446
Toledo 180.14 22 32 0.407 0.488 0.326
VMI 289.57 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Valparaiso 208.69 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Vanderbilt 241.50 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Virginia Tech 258.38 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
West Virginia 244.45 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Carolina 274.48 37 18 0.673 0.493 0.460
Western Kentucky 182.24 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381
Western Michigan 225.33 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Youngstown State 245.32 17 38 0.309 0.478 0.274

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation