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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.538
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00165
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00165
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00165
Western Kentucky neutral 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 -0.00078
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00016
South Alabama neutral 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00108
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00016
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00218
Ball State neutral 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00023
Ball State neutral 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00023
Mississippi neutral 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00167
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00031
Canisius Cincinnati 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00035
Canisius Cincinnati 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00035
Canisius Cincinnati 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00035
Canisius Cincinnati 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00035
Miami, Ohio Cincinnati 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00075
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00244
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00244
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00244
Xavier Cincinnati 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00010
Xavier Cincinnati 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00010
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00010
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00018
South Florida Cincinnati 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00101
South Florida Cincinnati 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00101
South Florida Cincinnati 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00101
Wright State Cincinnati 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00152
Indiana Cincinnati 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00018
Connecticut Cincinnati 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00056
Connecticut Cincinnati 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00056
Connecticut Cincinnati 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00056
Wright State neutral 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00152
Xavier neutral 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00010
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00117
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00117
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00117
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00129
Memphis Cincinnati 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
Memphis Cincinnati 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
Memphis Cincinnati 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00093
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00093
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00243
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00078
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00078
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00078
Houston Cincinnati 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00072
Houston Cincinnati 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00072
Houston Cincinnati 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00072
Western Carolina Cincinnati 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00028
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00164
Houston neutral 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00072
Central Florida neutral 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00078

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.35 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Butler 101.12 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Dayton 44.96 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 96.98 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
IPFW 140.92 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 107.44 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Kentucky 76.14 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 92.81 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 28.97 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 87.34 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 7.48 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 129.40 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 99.88 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Wright State 51.68 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 2.44 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 207.87 0.000
Appalachian State 253.81 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 236.90 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 240.79 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 162.38 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Bradley 290.11 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 241.65 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
East Tennessee State 227.46 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 197.54 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 220.81 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 181.58 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois 208.76 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 256.55 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 250.70 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 157.03 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kent State 217.42 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Lipscomb 243.68 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 164.75 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 220.56 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 248.90 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 248.24 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 270.19 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina-Asheville 265.07 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northern Illinois 296.20 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 262.70 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 198.95 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 254.12 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Pittsburgh 257.93 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 157.43 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 256.09 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Southern Illinois 273.16 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.58 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
Tennessee 222.05 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 211.17 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Toledo 180.14 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
VMI 289.57 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 208.69 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 241.50 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 258.38 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 244.45 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 274.48 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Kentucky 182.24 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 225.33 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Youngstown State 245.32 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation