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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:22 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.546
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.617 0.472 0.00163
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.617 0.472 0.00163
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 16 0.636 0.617 0.472 0.00163
Western Kentucky neutral 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405 0.00008
Georgia Georgia 22 22 0.500 0.644 0.411 0.00022
South Alabama neutral 32 11 0.744 0.508 0.499 0.00226
Tennessee Tennessee 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411 0.00022
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.586 0.507 0.00245
Ball State neutral 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00017
Ball State neutral 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00017
Mississippi neutral 33 12 0.733 0.597 0.516 0.00266
Kentucky Kentucky 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443 0.00096
Canisius Cincinnati 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 -0.00039
Canisius Cincinnati 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 -0.00039
Canisius Cincinnati 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 -0.00039
Canisius Cincinnati 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 -0.00039
Miami, Ohio Cincinnati 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371 -0.00072
Northwestern Cincinnati 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00365
Northwestern Cincinnati 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00365
Northwestern Cincinnati 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00365
Xavier Cincinnati 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00174
Xavier Cincinnati 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00174
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00174
Indiana Indiana 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00042
South Florida Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.514 0.372 -0.00069
South Florida Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.514 0.372 -0.00069
South Florida Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.514 0.372 -0.00069
Wright State Cincinnati 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00145
Indiana Cincinnati 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00042
Connecticut Cincinnati 24 18 0.571 0.528 0.417 0.00035
Connecticut Cincinnati 24 18 0.571 0.528 0.417 0.00035
Connecticut Cincinnati 24 18 0.571 0.528 0.417 0.00035
Wright State neutral 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00145
Xavier neutral 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00174
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00159
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00159
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00159
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444 0.00098
Memphis Cincinnati 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00276
Memphis Cincinnati 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00276
Memphis Cincinnati 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00276
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00131
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00131

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.35 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Butler 101.12 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Dayton 44.96 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 96.98 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
IPFW 140.92 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Indiana 107.44 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Kentucky 76.14 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Louisville 92.81 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 28.97 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Morehead State 87.34 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Northern Kentucky 7.48 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Ohio 129.40 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 99.88 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Wright State 51.68 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 2.44 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 207.87 0.000
Appalachian State 253.81 13 31 0.295 0.501 0.273
Austin Peay State 236.90 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442
Belmont 240.79 24 19 0.558 0.420 0.384
Bowling Green State 162.38 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Bradley 290.11 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Chicago State 241.65 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
East Tennessee State 227.46 18 24 0.429 0.424 0.321
Eastern Illinois 197.54 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Eastern Michigan 220.81 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Evansville 181.58 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
Illinois 208.76 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 256.55 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 250.70 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Indiana State 157.03 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Kent State 217.42 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Lipscomb 243.68 23 21 0.523 0.443 0.372
Marshall 164.75 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Michigan 220.56 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 248.90 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Middle Tennessee State 248.24 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Murray State 270.19 20 22 0.476 0.482 0.358
North Carolina-Asheville 265.07 14 27 0.341 0.430 0.278
Northern Illinois 296.20 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 262.70 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Notre Dame 198.95 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 254.12 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Pittsburgh 257.93 21 16 0.568 0.561 0.424
Purdue 157.43 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Radford 256.09 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Southern Illinois 273.16 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.58 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
Tennessee 222.05 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411
Tennessee Tech 211.17 22 19 0.537 0.418 0.373
Toledo 180.14 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
VMI 289.57 18 29 0.383 0.480 0.311
Valparaiso 208.69 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Vanderbilt 241.50 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517
Virginia Tech 258.38 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305
West Virginia 244.45 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 274.48 22 20 0.524 0.516 0.391
Western Kentucky 182.24 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405
Western Michigan 225.33 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Youngstown State 245.32 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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