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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.510
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Elon neutral 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00055
Elon neutral 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00055
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00051
Radford neutral 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00084
Missouri neutral 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00065
Massachusetts-Lowell neutral 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354 -0.00063
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00085
Massachusetts-Lowell neutral 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354 -0.00063
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00085
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00155
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00155
Youngstown State Cincinnati 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00318
Youngstown State Cincinnati 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00318
Eastern Michigan Cincinnati 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00249
Dayton Dayton 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337 -0.00101
Akron Cincinnati 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00034
Akron Cincinnati 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00034
Akron Cincinnati 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00034
Wright State Cincinnati 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00095
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00133
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00133
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00133
South Florida Cincinnati 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00006
South Florida Cincinnati 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00006
South Florida Cincinnati 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00006
Miami, Ohio Cincinnati 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00018
Temple Temple 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00238
Temple Temple 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00238
Temple Temple 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00238
Wright State neutral 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00095
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00018
Connecticut Cincinnati 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00025
Connecticut Cincinnati 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00025
Connecticut Cincinnati 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00025
Xavier Cincinnati 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00013
Rutgers Rutgers 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00022
Rutgers Rutgers 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00022
Rutgers Rutgers 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00022
Houston Cincinnati 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00291
Houston Cincinnati 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00291
Houston Cincinnati 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00291
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00013
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00135
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00135
Army Army 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00135

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.35 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Butler 101.12 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Dayton 44.96 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 96.98 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
IPFW 140.92 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Indiana 107.44 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Kentucky 76.14 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 92.81 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 28.97 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 87.34 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 7.48 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 129.40 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 99.88 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Wright State 51.68 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 2.44 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 207.87 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Appalachian State 253.81 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Austin Peay State 236.90 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 240.79 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 162.38 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Bradley 290.11 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Chicago State 241.65 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
East Tennessee State 227.46 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 197.54 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 220.81 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 181.58 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois 208.76 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 256.55 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 250.70 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana State 157.03 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kent State 217.42 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Lipscomb 243.68 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 164.75 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Michigan 220.56 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 248.90 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Middle Tennessee State 248.24 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 270.19 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 265.07 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Northern Illinois 296.20 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 262.70 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 198.95 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 254.12 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Pittsburgh 257.93 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 157.43 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 256.09 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Southern Illinois 273.16 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.58 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
Tennessee 222.05 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 211.17 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Toledo 180.14 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
VMI 289.57 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Valparaiso 208.69 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 241.50 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 258.38 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
West Virginia 244.45 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 274.48 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Kentucky 182.24 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Western Michigan 225.33 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Youngstown State 245.32 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation