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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.541
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00183
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00183
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00183
Western Kentucky neutral 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357 -0.00077
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393 -0.00013
South Alabama neutral 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462 0.00110
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00013
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00192
Ball State neutral 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391 -0.00017
Ball State neutral 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391 -0.00017
Mississippi neutral 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00192
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419 0.00033
Canisius Cincinnati 31 25 0.554 0.431 0.385 -0.00027
Canisius Cincinnati 31 25 0.554 0.431 0.385 -0.00027
Canisius Cincinnati 31 25 0.554 0.431 0.385 -0.00027
Canisius Cincinnati 31 25 0.554 0.431 0.385 -0.00027
Miami, Ohio Cincinnati 27 27 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00059
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264 -0.00243
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264 -0.00243
Northwestern Cincinnati 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264 -0.00243
Xavier Cincinnati 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00040
Xavier Cincinnati 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00040
Xavier Xavier 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00040
Indiana Indiana 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00019
South Florida Cincinnati 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00088
South Florida Cincinnati 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00088
South Florida Cincinnati 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00088
Wright State Cincinnati 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00146
Indiana Cincinnati 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411 0.00019
Connecticut Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00057
Connecticut Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00057
Connecticut Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00057
Wright State neutral 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00146
Xavier neutral 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00040
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00137
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00137
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00137
Ohio State Ohio State 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00126
Memphis Cincinnati 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
Memphis Cincinnati 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
Memphis Cincinnati 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00096
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00096
Louisville Louisville 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00282
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00072
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00072
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00072
Houston Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00064
Houston Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00064
Houston Cincinnati 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00064
Western Carolina Cincinnati 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00054
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00192
Houston neutral 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00064
Central Florida neutral 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00072

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.35 32 25 0.561 0.441 0.391
Butler 101.12 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Dayton 44.96 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 96.98 24 31 0.436 0.477 0.337
IPFW 140.92 28 24 0.538 0.403 0.370
Indiana 107.44 31 23 0.574 0.496 0.411
Kentucky 76.14 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419
Louisville 92.81 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Miami, Ohio 28.97 27 27 0.500 0.470 0.367
Morehead State 87.34 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
Northern Kentucky 7.48 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Ohio 129.40 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 99.88 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471
Wright State 51.68 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482
Xavier 2.44 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 207.87 0.000
Appalachian State 253.81 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Austin Peay State 236.90 33 21 0.611 0.497 0.430
Belmont 240.79 31 26 0.544 0.450 0.385
Bowling Green State 162.38 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Bradley 290.11 24 19 0.558 0.478 0.399
Chicago State 241.65 12 41 0.226 0.437 0.222
East Tennessee State 227.46 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 197.54 12 39 0.235 0.484 0.238
Eastern Michigan 220.81 20 35 0.364 0.503 0.308
Evansville 181.58 26 26 0.500 0.505 0.376
Illinois 208.76 28 23 0.549 0.548 0.412
Illinois State 256.55 17 36 0.321 0.515 0.289
Illinois-Chicago 250.70 24 28 0.462 0.477 0.350
Indiana State 157.03 34 20 0.630 0.514 0.444
Kent State 217.42 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499
Lipscomb 243.68 31 25 0.554 0.456 0.391
Marshall 164.75 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Michigan 220.56 35 20 0.636 0.524 0.449
Michigan State 248.90 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Middle Tennessee State 248.24 20 35 0.364 0.548 0.319
Murray State 270.19 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 265.07 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Northern Illinois 296.20 24 31 0.436 0.465 0.334
Northwestern 262.70 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264
Notre Dame 198.95 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 254.12 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Pittsburgh 257.93 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 157.43 10 44 0.185 0.526 0.224
Radford 256.09 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Southern Illinois 273.16 31 23 0.574 0.507 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 296.58 9 40 0.184 0.497 0.216
Tennessee 222.05 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 211.17 31 23 0.574 0.443 0.398
Toledo 180.14 19 36 0.345 0.501 0.298
VMI 289.57 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Valparaiso 208.69 27 26 0.509 0.486 0.376
Vanderbilt 241.50 43 15 0.741 0.568 0.512
Virginia Tech 258.38 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
West Virginia 244.45 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Western Carolina 274.48 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
Western Kentucky 182.24 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357
Western Michigan 225.33 19 31 0.380 0.460 0.305
Youngstown State 245.32 14 38 0.269 0.503 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation