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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for The Citadel

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.500
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.497
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia Tech The Citadel 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00122
Virginia Tech The Citadel 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00122
Virginia Tech The Citadel 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00122
Siena The Citadel 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00083
Siena The Citadel 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00083
Siena The Citadel 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00083
South Carolina The Citadel 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00215
College of Charleston The Citadel 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00062
College of Charleston College of Charleston 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00062
College of Charleston The Citadel 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00062
South Carolina-Upstate The Citadel 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00073
Richmond The Citadel 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00015
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00034
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00034
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00034
Clemson The Citadel 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00194
Clemson The Citadel 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00194
Presbyterian The Citadel 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00034
Presbyterian The Citadel 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00034
Presbyterian The Citadel 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00034
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00073
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00116
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00116
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00116
Charleston Southern The Citadel 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00119
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00249
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 -0.00004
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 -0.00004
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 -0.00004
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00119
North Carolina-Greensboro The Citadel 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00123
North Carolina-Greensboro The Citadel 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00123
North Carolina-Greensboro The Citadel 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00123
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00005
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00005
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00005
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00088
Georgia Southern The Citadel 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00088
Western Carolina The Citadel 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00015
Western Carolina The Citadel 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00015
Western Carolina The Citadel 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00015
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00053
Furman The Citadel 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00006
Furman The Citadel 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00006
Furman The Citadel 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00006
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00098
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00098
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00098
Winthrop The Citadel 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00000
Samford The Citadel 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00061
Samford The Citadel 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00061
Samford The Citadel 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00061
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00215
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00051
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00051
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00051
VMI neutral 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00116
Mercer neutral 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00098
East Tennessee State neutral 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 14.65 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Coastal Carolina 88.98 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 3.43 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Georgia Southern 108.84 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Savannah State 83.43 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 103.53 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 256.09 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Bethune-Cookman 255.11 29 27 0.518 0.484 0.380
Campbell 194.10 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Central Florida 298.05 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355
Clemson 211.04 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Davidson 194.10 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 228.99 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 243.83 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
East Tennessee State 278.95 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 230.66 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Florida 259.01 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534
Furman 204.79 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 195.67 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 212.70 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia State 257.10 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 264.95 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
High Point 220.02 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Jacksonville 194.43 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426
Kennesaw State 279.95 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Mercer 214.43 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
North Carolina 221.51 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 227.46 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 229.99 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 219.55 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Asheville 245.69 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.54 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 226.55 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 155.72 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
North Florida 196.25 39 19 0.672 0.509 0.463
Presbyterian 159.12 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina-Upstate 191.46 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Stetson 272.38 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372
Wake Forest 231.30 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Western Carolina 253.08 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 160.79 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 187.66 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation