Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00060
Indiana State neutral 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00209
Auburn neutral 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00060
Wichita State neutral 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00017
George Mason neutral 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00085
Illinois neutral 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00115
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00032
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00032
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00032
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00240
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00240
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00240
Sacred Heart Connecticut 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378 -0.00004
St. Peter's neutral 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00279
LaSalle LaSalle 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00238
Villanova Villanova 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00211
Harvard neutral 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259 -0.00257
Central Connecticut State neutral 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00023
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00011
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00011
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00011
Hartford Hartford 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00085
Rutgers Connecticut 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00026
Rutgers Connecticut 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00026
Boston College Boston College 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00094
Yale Connecticut 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337 -0.00091
Bryant Connecticut 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488 0.00230
Stony Brook Connecticut 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434 0.00115
Bryant Connecticut 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488 0.00230
Northeastern Northeastern 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00051
Brown Connecticut 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295 -0.00181
Cincinnati Cincinnati 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00087
Cincinnati Cincinnati 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00087
Cincinnati Cincinnati 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00087
Temple Connecticut 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00223
Temple Connecticut 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00223
Temple Connecticut 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00223
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391 0.00023
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00247
Quinnipiac Quinnipiac 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305 -0.00160
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00306
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00306
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00306
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00247
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00017
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00017
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00017

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 92.14 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Boston College 67.11 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336
Brown 44.47 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295
Bryant 37.87 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488
Central Connecticut State 26.92 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 107.24 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Dartmouth 131.39 17 19 0.472 0.491 0.359
Fairfield 68.00 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 106.40 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 23.62 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Harvard 69.85 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259
Hofstra 102.09 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Holy Cross 38.09 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279
Iona 99.42 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
Manhattan 105.82 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 86.63 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Massachusetts 43.20 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354
Monmouth 139.32 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 123.12 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 97.79 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Northeastern 69.37 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356
Quinnipiac 41.99 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Rhode Island 43.03 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252
Rutgers 143.76 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Sacred Heart 64.86 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 126.65 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 99.28 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. John's 109.05 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Peter's 120.89 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 75.40 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
Wagner 123.73 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
Yale 49.69 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Bucknell 247.30 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Coppin State 297.18 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Cornell 220.94 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Delaware 234.93 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 250.04 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
LaSalle 194.17 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 171.31 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 181.83 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Maine 280.10 16 25 0.390 0.465 0.311
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Navy 295.80 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Penn State 298.28 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 199.97 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 160.01 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Rider 166.83 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
St. Joseph's 199.75 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
Temple 190.45 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Towson 282.53 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Villanova 196.09 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation