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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.532
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.394


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00284
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00284
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00284
Siena neutral 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00191
Siena neutral 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00191
Siena neutral 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312 -0.00191
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00005
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00005
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00005
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00119
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00119
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00119
Sacred Heart neutral 14 19 0.424 0.446 0.324 -0.00163
Furman Furman 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00098
South Carolina-Upstate neutral 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00235
Michigan State neutral 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00074
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00016
William and Mary William and Mary 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00077
Seton Hall Seton Hall 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00019
Seton Hall Seton Hall 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00019
Seton Hall Seton Hall 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00019
Yale neutral 12 22 0.353 0.429 0.284 -0.00256
Central Connecticut State Central Connecticut State 12 21 0.364 0.393 0.280 -0.00265
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00119
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00119
Tulane Tulane 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00119
Boston College neutral 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00035
South Florida Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00198
South Florida Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00198
South Florida Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00198
Northeastern Connecticut 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00123
Hartford Hartford 14 22 0.389 0.430 0.302 -0.00214
Central Florida Central Florida 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00109
Central Florida Central Florida 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00109
Central Florida Central Florida 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00109
Fairfield Fairfield 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00335
Bryant Bryant 16 16 0.500 0.431 0.358 -0.00084
East Carolina Connecticut 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00142
East Carolina Connecticut 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00142
East Carolina Connecticut 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00142
Massachusetts Connecticut 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00165
Massachusetts-Lowell Connecticut 9 21 0.300 0.481 0.270 -0.00288
Memphis Connecticut 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00172
Memphis Connecticut 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00172
Memphis Connecticut 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00172

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 11 16 0.407 0.460 0.319
Army 92.14 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339
Boston College 67.11 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409
Brown 44.47 10 27 0.270 0.475 0.254
Bryant 37.87 16 16 0.500 0.431 0.358
Central Connecticut State 26.92 12 21 0.364 0.393 0.280
Columbia 107.24 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444
Dartmouth 131.39 16 19 0.457 0.493 0.352
Fairfield 68.00 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294
Fordham 106.40 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331
Hartford 23.62 14 22 0.389 0.430 0.302
Harvard 69.85 18 20 0.474 0.463 0.353
Hofstra 102.09 15 23 0.395 0.474 0.316
Holy Cross 38.09 20 21 0.488 0.498 0.368
Iona 99.42 12 26 0.316 0.420 0.263
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 12 25 0.324 0.411 0.265
Manhattan 105.82 11 26 0.297 0.408 0.251
Marist 86.63 11 19 0.367 0.441 0.294
Massachusetts 43.20 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 9 21 0.300 0.481 0.270
Monmouth 139.32 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321
New Jersey Tech 123.12 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379
New York Tech 97.79 10 20 0.333 0.440 0.277
Northeastern 69.37 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341
Quinnipiac 41.99 19 18 0.514 0.423 0.363
Rhode Island 43.03 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384
Rutgers 143.76 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311
Sacred Heart 64.86 14 19 0.424 0.446 0.324
Seton Hall 126.65 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386
Siena 99.28 13 20 0.394 0.462 0.312
St. John's 109.05 23 13 0.639 0.486 0.441
St. Peter's 120.89 7 24 0.226 0.458 0.228
Stony Brook 75.40 20 12 0.625 0.500 0.438
Wagner 123.73 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375
Yale 49.69 12 22 0.353 0.429 0.284

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 12 15 0.444 0.480 0.342
Bucknell 247.30 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353
Coppin State 297.18 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Cornell 220.94 10 25 0.286 0.451 0.256
Delaware 234.93 16 14 0.533 0.465 0.383
Delaware State 250.04 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
LaSalle 194.17 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358
Lafayette 171.31 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302
Lehigh 181.83 15 24 0.385 0.438 0.302
Maine 280.10 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Navy 295.80 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Penn State 298.28 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316
Pennsylvania 199.97 20 12 0.625 0.377 0.407
Princeton 160.01 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230
Rider 166.83 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363
St. Joseph's 199.75 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Villanova 196.09 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation