Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:47 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.545 0.303 -0.00133
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.545 0.303 -0.00133
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.545 0.303 -0.00133
Missouri State neutral 38 21 0.644 0.488 0.444 0.00106
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 34 23 0.596 0.501 0.423 0.00070
Alcorn State neutral 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237 -0.00245
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00021
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00021
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00021
Yale Connecticut 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318 -0.00108
William and Mary neutral 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372 -0.00017
William and Mary neutral 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372 -0.00017
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00053
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00053
Southern California Southern California 27 28 0.491 0.553 0.384 0.00004
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.540 0.472 0.00153
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.540 0.472 0.00153
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 37 18 0.673 0.540 0.472 0.00153
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330 -0.00088
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.497 0.332 -0.00084
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.497 0.332 -0.00084
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.497 0.332 -0.00084
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438 0.00095
Tulane Connecticut 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469 0.00148
Tulane Connecticut 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469 0.00148
Hartford Hartford 37 18 0.673 0.485 0.458 0.00129
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00023
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00023
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00023
Fairfield Connecticut 32 24 0.571 0.431 0.393 0.00019
Bryant Connecticut 47 10 0.825 0.464 0.528 0.00248
Houston Connecticut 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00107
Houston Connecticut 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00107
Houston Connecticut 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00107
Massachusetts Massachusetts 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314 -0.00115
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell 20 32 0.385 0.494 0.316 -0.00111
East Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
East Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
East Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
Holy Cross Holy Cross 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 -0.00015
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
East Carolina Connecticut 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
East Carolina Connecticut 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
East Carolina Connecticut 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447 0.00111
Massachusetts Connecticut 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314 -0.00115
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 -0.00003
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00044
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00044
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00044
Rhode Island Connecticut 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397 0.00026
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00066
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00066
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00066
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00066
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00127
Houston neutral 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333
Army 92.14 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Boston College 67.11 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438
Brown 44.47 15 24 0.385 0.463 0.308
Bryant 37.87 47 10 0.825 0.464 0.528
Central Connecticut State 26.92 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330
Columbia 107.24 17 24 0.415 0.497 0.332
Dartmouth 131.39 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325
Fairfield 68.00 32 24 0.571 0.431 0.393
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 28 28 0.500 0.421 0.355
Fordham 106.40 29 29 0.500 0.453 0.363
Hartford 23.62 37 18 0.673 0.485 0.458
Harvard 69.85 17 24 0.415 0.451 0.320
Hofstra 102.09 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266
Holy Cross 38.09 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373
Iona 99.42 11 39 0.220 0.463 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
Manhattan 105.82 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334
Marist 86.63 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Massachusetts 43.20 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 20 32 0.385 0.494 0.316
Monmouth 139.32 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
New Jersey Tech 123.12 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
New York Tech 97.79 17 26 0.395 0.405 0.299
Northeastern 69.37 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380
Quinnipiac 41.99 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316
Rhode Island 43.03 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397
Rutgers 143.76 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378
Sacred Heart 64.86 30 28 0.517 0.463 0.374
Seton Hall 126.65 38 20 0.655 0.442 0.438
Siena 99.28 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326
St. John's 109.05 28 26 0.519 0.493 0.383
St. Peter's 120.89 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 75.40 27 27 0.500 0.482 0.370
Wagner 123.73 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
Yale 49.69 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403
Bucknell 247.30 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291
Coppin State 297.18 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Cornell 220.94 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Delaware 234.93 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413
Delaware State 250.04 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
LaSalle 194.17 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 171.31 14 29 0.326 0.462 0.279
Lehigh 181.83 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Maine 280.10 17 35 0.327 0.504 0.289
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Navy 295.80 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Penn State 298.28 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385
Pennsylvania 199.97 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Princeton 160.01 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403
Rider 166.83 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289
St. Joseph's 199.75 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
Villanova 196.09 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation