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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:24 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.524
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.391


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 15 27 0.357 0.561 0.319 -0.00167
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 15 27 0.357 0.561 0.319 -0.00167
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 15 27 0.357 0.561 0.319 -0.00167
Missouri State neutral 28 14 0.667 0.459 0.448 0.00133
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443 0.00121
Alcorn State neutral 11 28 0.282 0.421 0.246 -0.00337
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00026
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00026
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00026
Yale Connecticut 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00184
William and Mary neutral 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00019
William and Mary neutral 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00019
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00074
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00074
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.543 0.374 -0.00040
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512 0.00281
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512 0.00281
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512 0.00281
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 -0.00133
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.489 0.330 -0.00142
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.489 0.330 -0.00142
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.489 0.330 -0.00142
Boston College Boston College 23 17 0.575 0.542 0.423 0.00074
Tulane Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00184
Tulane Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00184
Hartford Hartford 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00181
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00023
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00023
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00023
Fairfield Connecticut 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366 -0.00058
Bryant Connecticut 33 8 0.805 0.489 0.525 0.00312
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00086
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00086
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00086
Massachusetts Massachusetts 13 20 0.394 0.435 0.306 -0.00198
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell 17 23 0.425 0.467 0.329 -0.00144
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00156
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00156
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00156
Holy Cross Holy Cross 25 24 0.510 0.455 0.369 -0.00051
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00233
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00233
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00233

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 16 22 0.421 0.477 0.330
Army 92.14 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296
Boston College 67.11 23 17 0.575 0.542 0.423
Brown 44.47 15 24 0.385 0.456 0.306
Bryant 37.87 33 8 0.805 0.489 0.525
Central Connecticut State 26.92 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334
Columbia 107.24 17 24 0.415 0.489 0.330
Dartmouth 131.39 17 23 0.425 0.464 0.329
Fairfield 68.00 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 106.40 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361
Hartford 23.62 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469
Harvard 69.85 16 23 0.410 0.456 0.319
Hofstra 102.09 13 30 0.302 0.504 0.277
Holy Cross 38.09 25 24 0.510 0.455 0.369
Iona 99.42 8 31 0.205 0.469 0.220
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
Manhattan 105.82 15 26 0.366 0.505 0.309
Marist 86.63 19 21 0.475 0.432 0.345
Massachusetts 43.20 13 20 0.394 0.435 0.306
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 17 23 0.425 0.467 0.329
Monmouth 139.32 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384
New Jersey Tech 123.12 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296
New York Tech 97.79 17 23 0.425 0.402 0.313
Northeastern 69.37 22 19 0.537 0.449 0.381
Quinnipiac 41.99 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306
Rhode Island 43.03 19 21 0.475 0.526 0.369
Rutgers 143.76 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392
Sacred Heart 64.86 22 19 0.537 0.488 0.391
Seton Hall 126.65 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
Siena 99.28 15 27 0.357 0.448 0.290
St. John's 109.05 21 19 0.525 0.463 0.378
St. Peter's 120.89 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209
Stony Brook 75.40 19 20 0.487 0.484 0.364
Wagner 123.73 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Yale 49.69 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 19 20 0.487 0.485 0.365
Bucknell 247.30 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Coppin State 297.18 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Cornell 220.94 14 22 0.389 0.453 0.308
Delaware 234.93 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 250.04 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
LaSalle 194.17 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 171.31 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 181.83 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Maine 280.10 13 27 0.325 0.499 0.287
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Navy 295.80 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Penn State 298.28 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406
Pennsylvania 199.97 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339
Princeton 160.01 22 18 0.550 0.513 0.403
Rider 166.83 14 27 0.341 0.477 0.290
St. Joseph's 199.75 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
Villanova 196.09 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation