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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.422
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.448
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.323


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303 -0.00125
Army neutral 9 4 0.692 0.175 0.390 0.00419
Wofford Wofford 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486 0.01019
Morehead State neutral 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464 0.00881
Morehead State neutral 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464 0.00881
Morehead State neutral 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464 0.00881
Murray State neutral 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260 -0.00394
Murray State neutral 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260 -0.00394
Murray State neutral 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260 -0.00394
Buffalo neutral 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232 -0.00569
Buffalo neutral 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232 -0.00569
Buffalo Dayton 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232 -0.00569
Buffalo Dayton 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232 -0.00569
Northern Kentucky Dayton 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236 -0.00544
Ball State Dayton 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00662
Ball State Dayton 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00662
Ball State Dayton 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00662

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429
Bowling Green State 117.66 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Butler 104.57 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Cincinnati 44.96 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
IPFW 106.71 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Indiana 129.35 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Kentucky 119.00 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Louisville 134.81 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465
Miami, Ohio 32.08 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Morehead State 114.39 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Northern Kentucky 50.78 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Ohio 115.14 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Ohio State 65.26 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Toledo 135.53 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270
Wright State 8.99 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Xavier 42.93 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399
Appalachian State 279.14 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Austin Peay State 279.52 10 5 0.667 0.311 0.411
Belmont 285.16 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366
Bradley 292.11 13 3 0.812 0.541 0.541
Central Michigan 267.11 13 7 0.650 0.436 0.434
Chicago State 224.72 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
East Tennessee State 256.89 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Eastern Illinois 212.47 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Eastern Michigan 176.70 6 12 0.333 0.624 0.323
Evansville 216.47 7 8 0.467 0.444 0.345
Illinois 214.81 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497
Illinois State 259.05 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Indiana State 171.93 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
James Madison 299.12 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Kent State 178.91 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396
Lipscomb 288.06 11 5 0.688 0.432 0.452
Marshall 168.24 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Michigan 176.67 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402
Michigan State 207.63 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 11 6 0.647 0.543 0.459
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
Northern Illinois 283.42 9 9 0.500 0.408 0.352
Northwestern 243.27 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Notre Dame 172.09 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Oakland 209.50 2 12 0.143 0.708 0.248
Pittsburgh 229.25 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Purdue 152.68 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
Radford 267.39 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Tennessee 261.96 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
Tennessee Tech 255.92 8 8 0.500 0.506 0.377
VMI 289.52 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Valparaiso 190.39 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
Vanderbilt 285.83 16 4 0.800 0.545 0.536
Virginia Tech 268.31 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
West Virginia 224.30 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Kentucky 226.03 9 9 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Michigan 190.70 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327
Youngstown State 208.19 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation