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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.484 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.477 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.36125 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Stony Brook | neutral | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.478 | 0.369 | 0.00014 |
South Carolina-Upstate | South Carolina-Upstate | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00055 |
Kentucky | neutral | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00100 |
Furman | Furman | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 | 0.00030 |
Furman | Furman | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 | 0.00030 |
Furman | Furman | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 | 0.00030 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00096 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00096 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00096 |
Miami, Ohio | Dayton | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 | -0.00008 |
Wright State | Dayton | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00223 |
Oakland | Dayton | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00040 |
Oakland | Dayton | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00040 |
Eastern Michigan | Dayton | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00073 |
Ball State | Ball State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00045 |
Ball State | Ball State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00045 |
Ball State | Ball State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00045 |
Ball State | Ball State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00045 |
Toledo | Dayton | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 | -0.00126 |
St. Louis | Dayton | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00055 |
St. Louis | Dayton | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00055 |
St. Louis | Dayton | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00055 |
Eastern Kentucky | Dayton | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 | -0.00046 |
Miami, Ohio | Miami, Ohio | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 | -0.00008 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00172 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00172 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00172 |
Butler | Dayton | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00222 |
George Mason | George Mason | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00130 |
George Mason | George Mason | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00130 |
George Mason | George Mason | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00130 |
Ohio | Dayton | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 | -0.00055 |
Bowling Green State | Bowling Green State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00168 |
St. Bonaventure | Dayton | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00021 |
St. Bonaventure | Dayton | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00021 |
St. Bonaventure | Dayton | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00021 |
Toledo | Toledo | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 | -0.00126 |
Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00110 |
George Washington | Dayton | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00050 |
George Washington | Dayton | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00050 |
George Washington | Dayton | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00050 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00100 |
Wofford | Wofford | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | 0.00029 |
Wofford | Wofford | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | 0.00029 |
Wofford | Wofford | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | 0.00029 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00060 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00060 |
Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00060 |
Davidson | Dayton | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00036 |
Davidson | Dayton | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00036 |
Davidson | Dayton | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00036 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00223 |
Fordham | Fordham | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 | 0.00001 |
Fordham | Fordham | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 | 0.00001 |
Fordham | Fordham | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 | 0.00001 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Ball State | 72.63 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Bowling Green State | 117.66 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Butler | 104.57 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Cincinnati | 44.96 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Eastern Kentucky | 138.19 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
IPFW | 106.71 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Indiana | 129.35 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Kentucky | 119.00 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Louisville | 134.81 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 32.08 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 114.39 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Northern Kentucky | 50.78 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Ohio | 115.14 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 65.26 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Toledo | 135.53 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
Wright State | 8.99 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 42.93 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 169.16 | 0.000 | ||||
Appalachian State | 279.14 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Austin Peay State | 279.52 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 285.16 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Bradley | 292.11 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Central Michigan | 267.11 | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 |
Chicago State | 224.72 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
East Tennessee State | 256.89 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Eastern Illinois | 212.47 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Eastern Michigan | 176.70 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
Evansville | 216.47 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Illinois | 214.81 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 259.05 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 232.68 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana State | 171.93 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
James Madison | 299.12 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Kent State | 178.91 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Lipscomb | 288.06 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Marshall | 168.24 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Michigan | 176.67 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 207.63 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Middle Tennessee State | 293.14 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 298.14 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
Northern Illinois | 283.42 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northwestern | 243.27 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Notre Dame | 172.09 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Oakland | 209.50 | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 |
Pittsburgh | 229.25 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Purdue | 152.68 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Radford | 267.39 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Tennessee | 261.96 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 255.92 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
VMI | 289.52 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Valparaiso | 190.39 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Vanderbilt | 285.83 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Virginia Tech | 268.31 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
West Virginia | 224.30 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Kentucky | 226.03 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Western Michigan | 190.70 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Youngstown State | 208.19 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |