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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:48 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.489
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stony Brook neutral 24 25 0.490 0.478 0.364 -0.00000
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00059
Kentucky neutral 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00109
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00023
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00023
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00023
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00105
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00105
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00105
Miami, Ohio Dayton 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 -0.00000
Wright State Dayton 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00216
Oakland Dayton 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00035
Oakland Dayton 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00035
Eastern Michigan Dayton 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00099
Ball State Ball State 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00058
Ball State Ball State 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00058
Ball State Ball State 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00058
Ball State Ball State 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00058
Toledo Dayton 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00130
St. Louis Dayton 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00042
St. Louis Dayton 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00042
St. Louis Dayton 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00042
Eastern Kentucky Dayton 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00048
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 -0.00000
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00180
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00180
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00180
Butler Dayton 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00226
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00133
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00133
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00133
Ohio Dayton 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00059
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00173
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00018
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00018
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00018
Toledo Toledo 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00130
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00106
George Washington Dayton 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00051
George Washington Dayton 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00051
George Washington Dayton 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00051
Kentucky Kentucky 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 0.00109
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00041
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00041
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00041
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00036
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00036
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00036
Davidson Dayton 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00021
Davidson Dayton 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00021
Davidson Dayton 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00021
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00216
Fordham Fordham 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367 0.00005
Fordham Fordham 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367 0.00005
Fordham Fordham 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367 0.00005

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bowling Green State 117.66 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Butler 104.57 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Cincinnati 44.96 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
IPFW 106.71 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Indiana 129.35 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Kentucky 119.00 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424
Louisville 134.81 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 32.08 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 114.39 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Northern Kentucky 50.78 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Ohio 115.14 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 65.26 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Toledo 135.53 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Wright State 8.99 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 42.93 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 0.000
Appalachian State 279.14 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Austin Peay State 279.52 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Belmont 285.16 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bradley 292.11 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Central Michigan 267.11 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Chicago State 224.72 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
East Tennessee State 256.89 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Eastern Illinois 212.47 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Michigan 176.70 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Evansville 216.47 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Illinois 214.81 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 259.05 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana State 171.93 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
James Madison 299.12 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Kent State 178.91 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Lipscomb 288.06 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Marshall 168.24 32 19 0.627 0.522 0.444
Michigan 176.67 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 207.63 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
Northern Illinois 283.42 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northwestern 243.27 15 38 0.283 0.492 0.264
Notre Dame 172.09 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Oakland 209.50 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Pittsburgh 229.25 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 152.68 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Radford 267.39 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Tennessee 261.96 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 255.92 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
VMI 289.52 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Valparaiso 190.39 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Vanderbilt 285.83 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Virginia Tech 268.31 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
West Virginia 224.30 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Kentucky 226.03 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Western Michigan 190.70 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298
Youngstown State 208.19 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation