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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.468
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.474
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stony Brook neutral 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356 0.00008
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00049
Kentucky neutral 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00256
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00013
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00013
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00013
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00227
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00227
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00227
Miami, Ohio Dayton 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00037
Wright State Dayton 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00265
Oakland Dayton 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00039
Oakland Dayton 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00039
Eastern Michigan Dayton 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330 -0.00054
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00130
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00130
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00130
Ball State Ball State 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407 0.00130
Toledo Dayton 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00277
St. Louis Dayton 16 24 0.400 0.432 0.308 -0.00106
St. Louis Dayton 16 24 0.400 0.432 0.308 -0.00106
St. Louis Dayton 16 24 0.400 0.432 0.308 -0.00106
Eastern Kentucky Dayton 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324 -0.00068
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00037
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00246
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00246
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00246
Butler Dayton 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00254
George Mason George Mason 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271 -0.00194
George Mason George Mason 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271 -0.00194
George Mason George Mason 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271 -0.00194
Ohio Dayton 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00061
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00139
St. Bonaventure Dayton 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360 0.00018
St. Bonaventure Dayton 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360 0.00018
St. Bonaventure Dayton 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360 0.00018
Toledo Toledo 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00277
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293 -0.00142
George Washington Dayton 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343 -0.00023
George Washington Dayton 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343 -0.00023
George Washington Dayton 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343 -0.00023
Kentucky Kentucky 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00256

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407
Bowling Green State 117.66 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Butler 104.57 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Cincinnati 44.96 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
IPFW 106.71 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Indiana 129.35 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Kentucky 119.00 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Louisville 134.81 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 32.08 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 114.39 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Northern Kentucky 50.78 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Ohio 115.14 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 65.26 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Toledo 135.53 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
Wright State 8.99 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 42.93 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 0.000
Appalachian State 279.14 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Austin Peay State 279.52 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 285.16 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Bradley 292.11 15 15 0.500 0.465 0.366
Central Michigan 267.11 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252
Chicago State 224.72 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
East Tennessee State 256.89 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Illinois 212.47 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Michigan 176.70 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
Evansville 216.47 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Illinois 214.81 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 259.05 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana State 171.93 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
James Madison 299.12 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Kent State 178.91 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Lipscomb 288.06 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Marshall 168.24 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Michigan 176.67 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 207.63 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
Northern Illinois 283.42 15 25 0.375 0.469 0.305
Northwestern 243.27 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Notre Dame 172.09 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 209.50 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Pittsburgh 229.25 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 152.68 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Radford 267.39 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Tennessee 261.96 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Tennessee Tech 255.92 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
VMI 289.52 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Valparaiso 190.39 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Vanderbilt 285.83 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 268.31 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
West Virginia 224.30 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Kentucky 226.03 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Western Michigan 190.70 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Youngstown State 208.19 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation