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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.468
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.482
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3545


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274 -0.00152
Army neutral 33 18 0.647 0.440 0.433 0.00148
Wofford Wofford 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384 0.00056
Morehead State neutral 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361 0.00012
Morehead State neutral 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361 0.00012
Morehead State neutral 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361 0.00012
Murray State neutral 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337 -0.00033
Murray State neutral 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337 -0.00033
Murray State neutral 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337 -0.00033

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Bowling Green State 117.66 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Butler 104.57 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Cincinnati 44.96 22 31 0.415 0.518 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
IPFW 106.71 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Indiana 129.35 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Kentucky 119.00 37 25 0.597 0.586 0.445
Louisville 134.81 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Miami, Ohio 32.08 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Morehead State 114.39 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Northern Kentucky 50.78 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Ohio 115.14 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Ohio State 65.26 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Toledo 135.53 22 32 0.407 0.488 0.326
Wright State 8.99 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Xavier 42.93 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 28 29 0.491 0.469 0.363
Appalachian State 279.14 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Austin Peay State 279.52 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Belmont 285.16 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Bradley 292.11 22 27 0.449 0.504 0.351
Central Michigan 267.11 34 23 0.596 0.455 0.412
Chicago State 224.72 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
East Tennessee State 256.89 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Eastern Illinois 212.47 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Eastern Michigan 176.70 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
Evansville 216.47 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Illinois 214.81 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 259.05 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Indiana State 171.93 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
James Madison 299.12 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Kent State 178.91 35 23 0.603 0.456 0.415
Lipscomb 288.06 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Marshall 168.24 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Michigan 176.67 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Michigan State 207.63 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 31 27 0.534 0.535 0.401
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
Northern Illinois 283.42 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Northwestern 243.27 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294
Notre Dame 172.09 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Oakland 209.50 12 33 0.267 0.484 0.255
Pittsburgh 229.25 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337
Purdue 152.68 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Radford 267.39 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
Tennessee 261.96 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
Tennessee Tech 255.92 39 19 0.672 0.441 0.446
VMI 289.52 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Valparaiso 190.39 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Vanderbilt 285.83 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Virginia Tech 268.31 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
West Virginia 224.30 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Kentucky 226.03 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381
Western Michigan 190.70 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Youngstown State 208.19 17 38 0.309 0.478 0.274

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation