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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.463
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.483
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 0.00034
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00187
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00234
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 0.00074
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00099
Belmont Belmont 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00045
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00075
Bradley neutral 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 0.00006
Xavier neutral 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00083
Wright State Wright State 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00169
Bradley neutral 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 0.00006
Bradley neutral 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 0.00006
Wright State Wright State 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00169
Cincinnati Dayton 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00031
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 0.00051
Canisius Dayton 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00244
Canisius Dayton 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00244
Toledo neutral 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00042
Richmond Dayton 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00020
Richmond Dayton 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00020
Richmond Dayton 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00020
Fordham Fordham 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341 -0.00026
Fordham Fordham 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341 -0.00026
Fordham Fordham 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341 -0.00026
Eastern Michigan Dayton 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00191
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00205
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00205
Massachusetts Massachusetts 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00205
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00130
Rhode Island Dayton 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00233
Rhode Island Dayton 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00233
Rhode Island Dayton 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00233
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00292
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00292
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00292
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 0.00051
Toledo Toledo 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00042
St. Bonaventure Dayton 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00210
St. Bonaventure Dayton 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00210
St. Bonaventure Dayton 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00210
St. Louis St. Louis 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 0.00125
St. Louis St. Louis 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 0.00125
St. Louis St. Louis 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 0.00125

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 117.66 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 104.57 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Cincinnati 44.96 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
IPFW 106.71 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Indiana 129.35 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Kentucky 119.00 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 134.81 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 32.08 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 114.39 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 50.78 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 115.14 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 65.26 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Toledo 135.53 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Wright State 8.99 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 42.93 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Appalachian State 279.14 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Austin Peay State 279.52 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 285.16 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bradley 292.11 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Central Michigan 267.11 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Chicago State 224.72 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
East Tennessee State 256.89 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 212.47 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 176.70 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 216.47 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois 214.81 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 259.05 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana State 171.93 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
James Madison 299.12 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kent State 178.91 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Lipscomb 288.06 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 168.24 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Michigan 176.67 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 207.63 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Northern Illinois 283.42 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 243.27 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 172.09 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 209.50 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Pittsburgh 229.25 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 152.68 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 267.39 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Tennessee 261.96 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 255.92 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
VMI 289.52 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Valparaiso 190.39 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 285.83 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 268.31 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
West Virginia 224.30 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Kentucky 226.03 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Western Michigan 190.70 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Youngstown State 208.19 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation