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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.453
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.470
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.344


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00127
Army neutral 19 20 0.487 0.381 0.339 -0.00012
Wofford Wofford 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00225
Morehead State neutral 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00163
Morehead State neutral 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00163
Morehead State neutral 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00163
Murray State neutral 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00175
Murray State neutral 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00175
Murray State neutral 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00175
Buffalo neutral 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00172
Buffalo neutral 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00172
Buffalo Dayton 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00172
Buffalo Dayton 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00172
Northern Kentucky Dayton 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00145
Ball State Dayton 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00210
Ball State Dayton 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00210
Ball State Dayton 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00210
Toledo Toledo 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00077
Massachusetts Dayton 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00052
Massachusetts Dayton 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00052
Massachusetts Dayton 11 17 0.393 0.506 0.323 -0.00052
Butler Dayton 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00170
LaSalle LaSalle 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 0.00035
LaSalle LaSalle 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 0.00035
LaSalle LaSalle 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 0.00035
Xavier Dayton 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00207
Virginia Commonwealth Dayton 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00165
Virginia Commonwealth Dayton 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00165
Virginia Commonwealth Dayton 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00165
Butler Dayton 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00170
George Washington George Washington 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444 0.00250
George Washington George Washington 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444 0.00250
George Washington George Washington 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444 0.00250
Toledo Dayton 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00077
Akron Dayton 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 0.00035
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00113
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00113
Davidson Davidson 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00113
Wright State Wright State 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483 0.00348
St. Joseph's Dayton 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00012
St. Joseph's Dayton 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00012
St. Joseph's Dayton 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00012

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 117.66 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 104.57 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 44.96 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
IPFW 106.71 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Indiana 129.35 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Kentucky 119.00 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 134.81 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 32.08 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 114.39 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 50.78 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 115.14 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 65.26 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Toledo 135.53 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Wright State 8.99 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 42.93 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Appalachian State 279.14 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Austin Peay State 279.52 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 285.16 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bradley 292.11 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Central Michigan 267.11 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Chicago State 224.72 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
East Tennessee State 256.89 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 212.47 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Michigan 176.70 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 216.47 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Illinois 214.81 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 259.05 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana State 171.93 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
James Madison 299.12 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kent State 178.91 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Lipscomb 288.06 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Marshall 168.24 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Michigan 176.67 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 207.63 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Northern Illinois 283.42 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 243.27 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Notre Dame 172.09 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Oakland 209.50 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Pittsburgh 229.25 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Purdue 152.68 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Radford 267.39 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Tennessee 261.96 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 255.92 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
VMI 289.52 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Valparaiso 190.39 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 285.83 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia Tech 268.31 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
West Virginia 224.30 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Kentucky 226.03 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Western Michigan 190.70 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Youngstown State 208.19 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation