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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Thu Apr 28 06:53:24 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.571
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.541
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California Duke 23 14 0.622 0.551 0.449 0.00069
California Duke 23 14 0.622 0.551 0.449 0.00069
California Duke 23 14 0.622 0.551 0.449 0.00069
Campbell Duke 22 20 0.524 0.497 0.386 -0.00085
Ohio State neutral 25 14 0.641 0.474 0.439 0.00045
Liberty neutral 21 22 0.488 0.520 0.374 -0.00114
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 11 0.738 0.590 0.516 0.00232
Davidson Duke 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 -0.00107
Campbell Campbell 22 20 0.524 0.497 0.386 -0.00085
Toledo Duke 9 31 0.225 0.499 0.237 -0.00448
Toledo Duke 9 31 0.225 0.499 0.237 -0.00448
Toledo Duke 9 31 0.225 0.499 0.237 -0.00448
Penn State Duke 24 17 0.585 0.500 0.417 -0.00009
Virginia Duke 27 17 0.614 0.594 0.456 0.00086
Virginia Duke 27 17 0.614 0.594 0.456 0.00086
Virginia Duke 27 17 0.614 0.594 0.456 0.00086
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 13 27 0.325 0.375 0.256 -0.00402
North Carolina Duke 27 15 0.643 0.596 0.471 0.00123
North Carolina Duke 27 15 0.643 0.596 0.471 0.00123
North Carolina Duke 27 15 0.643 0.596 0.471 0.00123
East Carolina Duke 26 15 0.634 0.574 0.461 0.00098
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00069
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00069
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00069
Liberty Duke 21 22 0.488 0.520 0.374 -0.00114
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.565 0.471 0.00123
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.565 0.471 0.00123
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 27 14 0.659 0.565 0.471 0.00123
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 32 11 0.744 0.492 0.495 0.00181
Clemson Duke 26 14 0.650 0.590 0.473 0.00127
Clemson Duke 26 14 0.650 0.590 0.473 0.00127
Clemson Duke 26 14 0.650 0.590 0.473 0.00127
Davidson Davidson 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 -0.00107
North Carolina Central Duke 20 23 0.465 0.401 0.333 -0.00214
Miami, Florida Duke 28 8 0.778 0.589 0.536 0.00281
Miami, Florida Duke 28 8 0.778 0.589 0.536 0.00281
Miami, Florida Duke 28 8 0.778 0.589 0.536 0.00281
Liberty Liberty 21 22 0.488 0.520 0.374 -0.00114
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 14 28 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00292
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 14 28 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00292
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 14 28 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00292
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 20 23 0.465 0.401 0.333 -0.00214

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 22 20 0.524 0.497 0.386
Davidson 111.70 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
East Carolina 92.65 26 15 0.634 0.574 0.461
Elon 32.39 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
High Point 58.80 26 15 0.634 0.549 0.454
Liberty 94.63 21 22 0.488 0.520 0.374
Longwood 94.59 24 18 0.571 0.481 0.406
North Carolina 8.39 27 15 0.643 0.596 0.471
North Carolina A&T 46.89 9 33 0.214 0.479 0.227
North Carolina Central 2.36 20 23 0.465 0.401 0.333
North Carolina State 20.75 29 11 0.725 0.603 0.513
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 32 11 0.744 0.492 0.495
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 27 10 0.730 0.528 0.497
Radford 118.49 12 29 0.293 0.542 0.282
Richmond 134.04 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
VMI 127.02 18 27 0.400 0.488 0.322
Virginia 143.53 27 17 0.614 0.594 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 117.70 14 28 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 73.62 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449
Winthrop 137.49 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 11 30 0.268 0.504 0.260
Charleston Southern 217.83 15 26 0.366 0.484 0.304
Clemson 238.17 26 14 0.650 0.590 0.473
Coastal Carolina 157.95 31 11 0.738 0.590 0.516
College of Charleston 227.85 22 17 0.564 0.578 0.426
Coppin State 249.88 9 30 0.231 0.348 0.203
Delaware State 288.23 10 29 0.256 0.440 0.238
East Tennessee State 192.01 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Furman 210.42 17 24 0.415 0.557 0.347
Gardner-Webb 161.66 29 14 0.674 0.449 0.449
George Mason 215.40 13 27 0.325 0.441 0.273
George Washington 221.53 19 23 0.452 0.467 0.343
Georgetown 231.52 19 23 0.452 0.483 0.347
Georgia 288.53 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia Southern 294.98 25 17 0.595 0.478 0.417
James Madison 169.31 17 24 0.415 0.498 0.332
Marshall 219.48 21 16 0.568 0.527 0.416
Maryland 234.00 22 18 0.550 0.570 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 18 18 0.500 0.441 0.360
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 13 27 0.325 0.375 0.256
Morehead State 289.82 23 18 0.561 0.495 0.404
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 9 27 0.250 0.365 0.216
Navy 246.32 33 11 0.750 0.417 0.479
Norfolk State 160.20 20 17 0.541 0.361 0.361
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 14 27 0.341 0.427 0.277
Ohio 287.73 17 22 0.436 0.437 0.327
Old Dominion 158.75 25 16 0.610 0.542 0.441
Presbyterian 195.98 21 19 0.525 0.465 0.379
South Carolina 182.82 33 8 0.805 0.579 0.547
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 278.74 24 17 0.585 0.556 0.431
The Citadel 228.99 15 27 0.357 0.508 0.305
Towson 267.08 14 27 0.341 0.476 0.289
West Virginia 258.76 20 18 0.526 0.497 0.387
Western Carolina 242.67 21 18 0.538 0.502 0.395
William and Mary 151.66 20 20 0.500 0.518 0.380
Wofford 182.72 25 18 0.581 0.496 0.414

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation