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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.540
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.539
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California California 15 4 0.789 0.549 0.532 0.00670
California California 15 4 0.789 0.549 0.532 0.00670
California California 15 4 0.789 0.549 0.532 0.00670
Hartford Duke 5 8 0.385 0.337 0.277 -0.00672
Delaware State Duke 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182 -0.01172
Iona Duke 3 15 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.01046
North Carolina Central Duke 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270 -0.00709
Rider Duke 3 9 0.250 0.637 0.284 -0.00636
Rider Duke 3 9 0.250 0.637 0.284 -0.00636
Rider Duke 3 9 0.250 0.637 0.284 -0.00636
Liberty Duke 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449 0.00233
North Carolina North Carolina 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455 0.00264
North Carolina North Carolina 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455 0.00264
North Carolina North Carolina 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455 0.00264
Yale Duke 4 4 0.500 0.428 0.357 -0.00251
Bryant Duke 2 11 0.154 0.483 0.198 -0.01088
Georgia Tech Duke 14 5 0.737 0.627 0.525 0.00633
Georgia Tech Duke 14 5 0.737 0.627 0.525 0.00633
Georgia Tech Duke 14 5 0.737 0.627 0.525 0.00633

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Davidson 111.70 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
East Carolina 92.65 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465
Elon 32.39 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363
High Point 58.80 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Liberty 94.63 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 94.59 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
North Carolina 8.39 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455
North Carolina A&T 46.89 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina Central 2.36 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
North Carolina State 20.75 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Radford 118.49 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Richmond 134.04 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
VMI 127.02 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia 143.53 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
Virginia Tech 117.70 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Wake Forest 73.62 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440
Winthrop 137.49 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Charleston Southern 217.83 10 6 0.625 0.366 0.404
Clemson 238.17 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411
Coastal Carolina 157.95 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466
College of Charleston 227.85 10 6 0.625 0.627 0.469
Coppin State 249.88 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
Delaware State 288.23 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182
East Tennessee State 192.01 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Furman 210.42 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
Gardner-Webb 161.66 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
George Mason 215.40 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 221.53 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 231.52 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
Georgia 288.53 12 8 0.600 0.502 0.425
Georgia Southern 294.98 12 9 0.571 0.503 0.411
James Madison 169.31 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Marshall 219.48 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Maryland 234.00 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Morehead State 289.82 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 246.32 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
Norfolk State 160.20 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
Ohio 287.73 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Old Dominion 158.75 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Presbyterian 195.98 14 5 0.737 0.458 0.483
South Carolina 182.82 17 3 0.850 0.494 0.548
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
Tennessee 278.74 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
The Citadel 228.99 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
Towson 267.08 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
West Virginia 258.76 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Carolina 242.67 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321
William and Mary 151.66 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444
Wofford 182.72 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation