Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.582
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.537
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00007
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00007
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00007
Campbell Duke 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00093
Ohio State neutral 39 17 0.696 0.491 0.471 0.00083
Liberty neutral 30 27 0.526 0.525 0.394 -0.00057
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00150
Davidson Duke 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386 -0.00071
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00093
Toledo Duke 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00235
Toledo Duke 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00235
Toledo Duke 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296 -0.00235
Penn State Duke 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 -0.00073
Virginia Duke 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473 0.00087
Virginia Duke 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473 0.00087
Virginia Duke 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473 0.00087
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260 -0.00300
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459 0.00061
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459 0.00061
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459 0.00061
East Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.552 0.447 0.00040
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431 0.00010
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431 0.00010
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431 0.00010
Liberty Duke 30 27 0.526 0.525 0.394 -0.00057
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 22 0.621 0.583 0.456 0.00056
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 22 0.621 0.583 0.456 0.00056
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 22 0.621 0.583 0.456 0.00056
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 38 20 0.655 0.500 0.453 0.00050
Clemson Duke 39 18 0.684 0.580 0.487 0.00112
Clemson Duke 39 18 0.684 0.580 0.487 0.00112
Clemson Duke 39 18 0.684 0.580 0.487 0.00112
Davidson Davidson 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386 -0.00071
North Carolina Central Duke 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00188
Miami, Florida Duke 43 10 0.811 0.600 0.555 0.00236
Miami, Florida Duke 43 10 0.811 0.600 0.555 0.00236
Miami, Florida Duke 43 10 0.811 0.600 0.555 0.00236
Liberty Liberty 30 27 0.526 0.525 0.394 -0.00057
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00220
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00220
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00220
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00188
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.616 0.469 0.00080
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.616 0.469 0.00080
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.616 0.469 0.00080
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428 0.00005
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428 0.00005
Longwood Duke 32 26 0.552 0.470 0.394 -0.00057
Norfolk State Duke 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382 -0.00079
Florida State Duke 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00092
Florida State Duke 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00092
Florida State Duke 36 19 0.655 0.595 0.476 0.00092
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00077
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00077
Wake Forest neutral 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431 0.00010

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Davidson 111.70 27 24 0.529 0.485 0.386
East Carolina 92.65 34 21 0.618 0.552 0.447
Elon 32.39 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
High Point 58.80 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
Liberty 94.63 30 27 0.526 0.525 0.394
Longwood 94.59 32 26 0.552 0.470 0.394
North Carolina 8.39 34 21 0.618 0.599 0.459
North Carolina A&T 46.89 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 2.36 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 20.75 34 20 0.630 0.616 0.469
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 23 32 0.418 0.540 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 38 20 0.655 0.500 0.453
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 38 15 0.717 0.512 0.486
Radford 118.49 19 38 0.333 0.543 0.302
Richmond 134.04 28 24 0.538 0.460 0.384
VMI 127.02 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia 143.53 36 19 0.655 0.581 0.473
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 38 18 0.679 0.490 0.462
Virginia Tech 117.70 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wake Forest 73.62 33 24 0.579 0.565 0.431
Winthrop 137.49 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Charleston Southern 217.83 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 238.17 39 18 0.684 0.580 0.487
Coastal Carolina 157.95 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 227.85 31 24 0.564 0.556 0.421
Coppin State 249.88 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware State 288.23 13 37 0.260 0.443 0.241
East Tennessee State 192.01 27 29 0.482 0.428 0.348
Furman 210.42 28 29 0.491 0.527 0.377
Gardner-Webb 161.66 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
George Mason 215.40 19 35 0.352 0.458 0.290
George Washington 221.53 24 33 0.421 0.497 0.335
Georgetown 231.52 24 29 0.453 0.500 0.352
Georgia 288.53 27 30 0.474 0.623 0.393
Georgia Southern 294.98 34 23 0.596 0.503 0.424
James Madison 169.31 24 31 0.436 0.510 0.346
Marshall 219.48 33 20 0.623 0.523 0.442
Maryland 234.00 29 25 0.537 0.567 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 289.82 31 25 0.554 0.503 0.403
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 11 37 0.229 0.436 0.224
Navy 246.32 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 160.20 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Ohio 287.73 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 158.75 32 24 0.571 0.525 0.417
Presbyterian 195.98 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354
South Carolina 182.82 42 15 0.737 0.567 0.510
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
Tennessee 278.74 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 228.99 17 42 0.288 0.502 0.269
Towson 267.08 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305
West Virginia 258.76 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Western Carolina 242.67 27 28 0.491 0.521 0.376
William and Mary 151.66 25 29 0.463 0.524 0.363
Wofford 182.72 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation