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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:53 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.580
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.536
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.424


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California Duke 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00007
California Duke 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00007
California Duke 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00007
Campbell Duke 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00089
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00082
Liberty neutral 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 -0.00054
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00170
Davidson Duke 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 -0.00075
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00089
Toledo Duke 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00232
Toledo Duke 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00232
Toledo Duke 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00232
Penn State Duke 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00072
Virginia Duke 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00065
Virginia Duke 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00065
Virginia Duke 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00065
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259 -0.00289
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00056
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00056
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00056
East Carolina Duke 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00047
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00000
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00000
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00000
Liberty Duke 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 -0.00054
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00040
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00040
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00040
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00040
Clemson Duke 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00114
Clemson Duke 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00114
Clemson Duke 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00114
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 -0.00075
North Carolina Central Duke 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00181
Miami, Florida Duke 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00196
Miami, Florida Duke 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00196
Miami, Florida Duke 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00196
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 -0.00054
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00214
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00214
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00214
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00181
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00082
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00082
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00082
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00007
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00007
Longwood Duke 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00061
Norfolk State Duke 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382 -0.00074
Florida State Duke 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Florida State Duke 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Florida State Duke 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00075
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00075
Wake Forest neutral 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00000
North Carolina-Wilmington neutral 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00084
South Carolina neutral 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00135

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Davidson 111.70 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
East Carolina 92.65 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Elon 32.39 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 58.80 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Liberty 94.63 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 94.59 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 8.39 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 46.89 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 2.36 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 20.75 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Radford 118.49 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 134.04 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
VMI 127.02 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 143.53 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 117.70 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 73.62 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 137.49 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Charleston Southern 217.83 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 238.17 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 157.95 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 227.85 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 249.88 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware State 288.23 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 192.01 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Furman 210.42 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 161.66 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 215.40 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 221.53 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 231.52 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 288.53 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 294.98 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 169.31 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Marshall 219.48 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 234.00 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Morehead State 289.82 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 246.32 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 160.20 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Ohio 287.73 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 158.75 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 195.98 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina 182.82 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 278.74 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 228.99 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Towson 267.08 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
West Virginia 258.76 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 242.67 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 151.66 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Wofford 182.72 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation