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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.515
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Binghamton Duke 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361 -0.00053
Binghamton Duke 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361 -0.00053
Binghamton Duke 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361 -0.00053
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00021
LaSalle Duke 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00246
St. Louis Duke 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 0.00041
Akron Duke 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 -0.00040
Norfolk State Duke 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00121
West Virginia neutral 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00124
Marshall neutral 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00136
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00069
Liberty Duke 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00270
Virginia Duke 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00327
Virginia Duke 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00327
Virginia Duke 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00327
Quinnipiac Duke 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305 -0.00169
Furman Duke 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00128
Notre Dame Duke 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00180
Notre Dame Duke 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00180
Notre Dame Duke 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00180
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255 -0.00273
Princeton Duke 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00180
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00042
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00042
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00042
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00133
North Carolina Duke 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00108
North Carolina Duke 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00108
North Carolina Duke 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00108
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00270
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00116
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00116
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00116
North Carolina Central Duke 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00215
North Carolina State Duke 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00089
North Carolina State Duke 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00089
North Carolina State Duke 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00089
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00215
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00088
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00088
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00088
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00021
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00039
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00039
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00039
Longwood Duke 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 -0.00115
Longwood Duke 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 -0.00115
Longwood Duke 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 -0.00115

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 111.70 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Carolina 92.65 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Elon 32.39 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 58.80 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 94.63 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 94.59 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 8.39 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 46.89 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 2.36 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 20.75 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Radford 118.49 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 134.04 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
VMI 127.02 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 143.53 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 117.70 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 73.62 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 137.49 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Charleston Southern 217.83 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 238.17 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 157.95 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 227.85 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 249.88 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware State 288.23 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 192.01 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 210.42 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 161.66 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 215.40 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 221.53 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 231.52 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 288.53 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 294.98 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 169.31 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Marshall 219.48 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 234.00 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 289.82 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 246.32 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 160.20 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Ohio 287.73 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 158.75 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 195.98 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina 182.82 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 278.74 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 228.99 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 267.08 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
West Virginia 258.76 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 242.67 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 151.66 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Wofford 182.72 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation