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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:48 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.550
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.525
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00031
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00031
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00031
North Carolina A&T East Carolina 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00313
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00116
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00116
Virginia Virginia 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00116
Elon East Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00095
Southeastern Louisiana East Carolina 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470 0.00116
Tennessee East Carolina 29 28 0.509 0.551 0.392 -0.00026
Maryland East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405 -0.00002
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00210
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00210
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00089
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00089
Rice Rice 35 21 0.625 0.569 0.455 0.00089
North Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00094
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00053
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00053
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 -0.00053
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445 0.00070
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.507 0.427 0.00038
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.507 0.427 0.00038
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.507 0.427 0.00038
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 39 15 0.722 0.512 0.489 0.00150
Houston East Carolina 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00070
Houston East Carolina 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00070
Houston East Carolina 36 22 0.621 0.537 0.445 0.00070
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00095
Tulane Tulane 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469 0.00114
Tulane Tulane 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469 0.00114
Tulane Tulane 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469 0.00114
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00180
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00180
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00180
North Carolina State East Carolina 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00120
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00014
Connecticut East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
Connecticut East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
Connecticut East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00120
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00070
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00070
Connecticut Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
Connecticut Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
Connecticut Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00045
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00094
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00115
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00115
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00115
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00091
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00091
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00091
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00115
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.508 0.307 -0.00180

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Duke 92.65 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445
Elon 125.00 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
High Point 149.62 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Longwood 130.65 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Norfolk State 106.24 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina 96.40 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458
North Carolina A&T 139.07 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 90.54 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 74.82 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 39 15 0.722 0.512 0.489
Old Dominion 106.90 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416
Richmond 137.51 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
William and Mary 122.40 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Charleston Southern 237.18 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Coastal Carolina 155.99 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512
College of Charleston 241.53 31 26 0.544 0.559 0.412
Coppin State 248.57 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Davidson 195.35 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
Delaware 294.83 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413
Delaware State 267.49 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
East Tennessee State 283.78 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345
Furman 290.02 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Gardner-Webb 243.39 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 223.98 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 225.55 24 33 0.421 0.493 0.334
Georgetown 237.82 24 29 0.453 0.498 0.351
James Madison 214.00 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Liberty 157.90 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Maryland 235.80 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 239.29 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
Presbyterian 266.12 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 206.17 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
South Carolina 236.26 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
The Citadel 243.83 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Towson 265.88 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
VMI 190.42 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia 180.92 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Tech 203.66 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 165.70 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Winthrop 210.75 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 261.09 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation