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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.574
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.530
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4195


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Longwood East Carolina 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 -0.00050
Longwood East Carolina 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 -0.00050
Longwood East Carolina 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 -0.00050
North Carolina A&T East Carolina 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00448
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00115
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00115
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00115
Elon East Carolina 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00117
Southeastern Louisiana East Carolina 31 13 0.705 0.498 0.477 0.00134
Tennessee East Carolina 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 -0.00034
Maryland East Carolina 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00003
George Mason East Carolina 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00308
George Mason East Carolina 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00308
Rice Rice 27 14 0.659 0.561 0.470 0.00117
Rice Rice 27 14 0.659 0.561 0.470 0.00117
Rice Rice 27 14 0.659 0.561 0.470 0.00117
North Carolina East Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00127
Monmouth East Carolina 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00083
Monmouth East Carolina 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00083
Monmouth East Carolina 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00083
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423 0.00008
Jacksonville East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.528 0.454 0.00080
Jacksonville East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.528 0.454 0.00080
Jacksonville East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.528 0.454 0.00080
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507 0.00203
Houston East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00020
Houston East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00020
Houston East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00020
Elon Elon 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00117
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00117
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00117
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00117
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00299
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00299
Memphis Memphis 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00299
North Carolina State East Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00213
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00062
Connecticut East Carolina 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00022
Connecticut East Carolina 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00022
Connecticut East Carolina 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410 -0.00022
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00213
Cincinnati East Carolina 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00090
Cincinnati East Carolina 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00090

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Duke 92.65 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423
Elon 125.00 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
High Point 149.62 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Longwood 130.65 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Norfolk State 106.24 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina 96.40 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 139.07 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina Central 90.54 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 74.82 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Old Dominion 106.90 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Richmond 137.51 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
William and Mary 122.40 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Charleston Southern 237.18 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Coastal Carolina 155.99 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 241.53 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Coppin State 248.57 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Davidson 195.35 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Delaware 294.83 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 267.49 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Tennessee State 283.78 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Furman 290.02 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 243.39 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
George Mason 223.98 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 225.55 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 237.82 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
James Madison 214.00 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Liberty 157.90 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Maryland 235.80 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 239.29 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
Presbyterian 266.12 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Radford 206.17 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
South Carolina 236.26 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
The Citadel 243.83 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Towson 265.88 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
VMI 190.42 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 180.92 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Tech 203.66 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 165.70 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
Winthrop 210.75 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 261.09 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation