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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.536
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.533
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
James Madison East Carolina 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00184
James Madison East Carolina 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00184
James Madison East Carolina 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00184
Campbell East Carolina 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00106
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00289
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00289
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00289
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00142
Western Kentucky East Carolina 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00014
Pittsburgh East Carolina 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00072
Ohio State East Carolina 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00014
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00052
Marshall East Carolina 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00164
Marshall East Carolina 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00164
Marshall East Carolina 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00164
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00052
Wake Forest neutral 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00008
Tulane East Carolina 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361 -0.00082
Tulane East Carolina 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361 -0.00082
Tulane East Carolina 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361 -0.00082
Virginia Commonwealth East Carolina 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00142
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00198
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00198
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00198
North Carolina Central East Carolina 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00241
Maryland-Baltimore County East Carolina 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00217
Maryland-Baltimore County East Carolina 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00217
Maryland-Baltimore County East Carolina 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00217
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00057
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00173
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00173
Rice Rice 31 15 0.674 0.597 0.486 0.00173
North Carolina State East Carolina 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00057
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00077
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00077
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00077
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00017
Middle Tennessee State East Carolina 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 -0.00035
Middle Tennessee State East Carolina 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 -0.00035
Middle Tennessee State East Carolina 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384 -0.00035
Old Dominion East Carolina 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00077
North Carolina East Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00075
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 -0.00013
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 -0.00013
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 -0.00013
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00075
Florida International East Carolina 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00177
Florida International East Carolina 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00177
Florida International East Carolina 32 12 0.727 0.500 0.488 0.00177

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Duke 92.65 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
Elon 125.00 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 149.62 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Longwood 130.65 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Norfolk State 106.24 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina 96.40 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 139.07 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 90.54 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 74.82 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Old Dominion 106.90 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Richmond 137.51 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
William and Mary 122.40 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Charleston Southern 237.18 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Coastal Carolina 155.99 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 241.53 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 248.57 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Davidson 195.35 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Delaware 294.83 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 267.49 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 283.78 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 290.02 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 243.39 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 223.98 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 225.55 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 237.82 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
James Madison 214.00 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 157.90 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Maryland 235.80 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 239.29 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
Presbyterian 266.12 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Radford 206.17 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina 236.26 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
The Citadel 243.83 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 265.88 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
VMI 190.42 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 180.92 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Tech 203.66 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 165.70 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 210.75 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 261.09 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation