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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.558 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.527 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.41075 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Longwood | East Carolina | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | -0.00036 |
Longwood | East Carolina | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | -0.00036 |
Longwood | East Carolina | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | -0.00036 |
North Carolina A&T | East Carolina | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00291 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00082 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00082 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00082 |
Elon | East Carolina | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 | -0.00093 |
Southeastern Louisiana | East Carolina | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 | 0.00077 |
Tennessee | East Carolina | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Maryland | East Carolina | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | -0.00011 |
George Mason | East Carolina | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00198 |
George Mason | East Carolina | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00198 |
Rice | Rice | 38 | 24 | 0.613 | 0.577 | 0.451 | 0.00066 |
Rice | Rice | 38 | 24 | 0.613 | 0.577 | 0.451 | 0.00066 |
Rice | Rice | 38 | 24 | 0.613 | 0.577 | 0.451 | 0.00066 |
North Carolina | East Carolina | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00074 |
Monmouth | East Carolina | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00057 |
Monmouth | East Carolina | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00057 |
Monmouth | East Carolina | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00057 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00038 |
Jacksonville | East Carolina | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00025 |
Jacksonville | East Carolina | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00025 |
Jacksonville | East Carolina | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00025 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | East Carolina | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00100 |
Houston | East Carolina | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00046 |
Houston | East Carolina | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00046 |
Houston | East Carolina | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00046 |
Elon | Elon | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 | -0.00093 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00087 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00087 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00087 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00170 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00170 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00170 |
North Carolina State | East Carolina | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00099 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00005 |
Connecticut | East Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
Connecticut | East Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
Connecticut | East Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
North Carolina State | North Carolina State | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00099 |
Cincinnati | East Carolina | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 | -0.00072 |
Cincinnati | East Carolina | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 | -0.00072 |
Connecticut | Connecticut | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
Connecticut | Connecticut | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
Connecticut | Connecticut | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00032 |
North Carolina | North Carolina | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00074 |
South Florida | East Carolina | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00113 |
South Florida | East Carolina | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00113 |
South Florida | East Carolina | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00113 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00091 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00091 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00091 |
South Florida | neutral | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00113 |
Memphis | neutral | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00170 |
Bryant | neutral | 47 | 12 | 0.797 | 0.467 | 0.515 | 0.00171 |
Virginia | neutral | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00082 |
William and Mary | neutral | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | -0.00042 |
Texas Tech | neutral | 47 | 20 | 0.701 | 0.569 | 0.493 | 0.00135 |
Texas Tech | neutral | 47 | 20 | 0.701 | 0.569 | 0.493 | 0.00135 |
Texas Tech | neutral | 47 | 20 | 0.701 | 0.569 | 0.493 | 0.00135 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Campbell | 77.98 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Duke | 92.65 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
Elon | 125.00 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
High Point | 149.62 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Longwood | 130.65 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
Norfolk State | 106.24 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina | 96.40 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 139.07 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina Central | 90.54 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 74.82 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 140.87 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 98.97 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Old Dominion | 106.90 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Richmond | 137.51 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 136.80 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
William and Mary | 122.40 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 245.79 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Charleston Southern | 237.18 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 |
Coastal Carolina | 155.99 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
College of Charleston | 241.53 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 |
Coppin State | 248.57 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Davidson | 195.35 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Delaware | 294.83 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
Delaware State | 267.49 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Tennessee State | 283.78 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Furman | 290.02 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Gardner-Webb | 243.39 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
George Mason | 223.98 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 225.55 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 237.82 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
James Madison | 214.00 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Liberty | 157.90 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Maryland | 235.80 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 255.23 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 203.36 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Mount St. Mary's | 282.26 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 239.29 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 292.24 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 190.75 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
Presbyterian | 266.12 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
Radford | 206.17 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
South Carolina | 236.26 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 262.68 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
The Citadel | 243.83 | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 |
Towson | 265.88 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
VMI | 190.42 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 180.92 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
Virginia Tech | 203.66 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 165.70 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
Winthrop | 210.75 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Wofford | 261.09 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |