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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.565
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4135


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00110
Virginia East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00110
Virginia East Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00110
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00155
St. John's East Carolina 23 13 0.639 0.486 0.441 0.00064
Liberty East Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00083
Albany East Carolina 11 16 0.407 0.460 0.319 -0.00220
Albany East Carolina 11 16 0.407 0.460 0.319 -0.00220
Albany East Carolina 11 16 0.407 0.460 0.319 -0.00220
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 -0.00020
Old Dominion East Carolina 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00087
Monmouth East Carolina 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321 -0.00215
Monmouth East Carolina 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321 -0.00215
Monmouth East Carolina 12 18 0.400 0.484 0.321 -0.00215
Campbell East Carolina 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00034
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00155
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00050
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00050
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00050
Princeton East Carolina 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00427
Princeton East Carolina 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00427
Virginia Commonwealth East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 -0.00008
Virginia Commonwealth East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 -0.00008
Virginia Commonwealth East Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 -0.00008
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00203
High Point East Carolina 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 -0.00045
Memphis East Carolina 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00127
Memphis East Carolina 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00127
Memphis East Carolina 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00127
Tulane East Carolina 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00073
Tulane East Carolina 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00073
Tulane East Carolina 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00073
Campbell Campbell 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00034
South Florida South Florida 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00152
South Florida South Florida 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00152
South Florida South Florida 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00152
Old Dominion Old Dominion 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00087
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00106
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00106
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00106
North Carolina State East Carolina 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 -0.00020
Duke East Carolina 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 0.00017
Central Florida East Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00064
Central Florida East Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00064
Central Florida East Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00064

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Duke 92.65 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
Elon 125.00 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
High Point 149.62 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Longwood 130.65 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Norfolk State 106.24 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina 96.40 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 139.07 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 90.54 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 74.82 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Old Dominion 106.90 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Richmond 137.51 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
William and Mary 122.40 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Charleston Southern 237.18 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Coastal Carolina 155.99 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 241.53 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 248.57 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Davidson 195.35 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Delaware 294.83 16 14 0.533 0.465 0.383
Delaware State 267.49 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
East Tennessee State 283.78 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Furman 290.02 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 243.39 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
George Mason 223.98 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 225.55 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 237.82 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
James Madison 214.00 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Liberty 157.90 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Maryland 235.80 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 239.29 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
Presbyterian 266.12 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Radford 206.17 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina 236.26 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
The Citadel 243.83 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 265.88 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
VMI 190.42 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 180.92 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Tech 203.66 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 165.70 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 210.75 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 261.09 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation