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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:49 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.500
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State Elon 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00217
Wright State Elon 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00217
Wright State Elon 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00217
Wright State Elon 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00217
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00165
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00221
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00221
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00221
East Carolina East Carolina 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462 0.00177
Bowling Green State Elon 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00194
Stony Brook Elon 24 25 0.490 0.478 0.364 -0.00012
Appalachian State Elon 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00150
Liberty Elon 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386 0.00031
The Citadel Elon 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00194
The Citadel Elon 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00194
The Citadel Elon 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00194
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00173
William and Mary Elon 25 28 0.472 0.524 0.367 -0.00006
William and Mary Elon 25 28 0.472 0.524 0.367 -0.00006
William and Mary Elon 25 28 0.472 0.524 0.367 -0.00006
High Point Elon 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00100
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00221
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00221
Wake Forest Elon 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00117
College of Charleston Elon 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00083
College of Charleston Elon 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00083
College of Charleston Elon 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00083
East Carolina Elon 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462 0.00177
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.461 0.236 -0.00258
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00025
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00025
Northeastern Northeastern 29 25 0.537 0.457 0.383 0.00025
North Carolina State Elon 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00213
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00123
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00123
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00123
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00100
North Carolina-Greensboro Elon 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00165
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267 -0.00198
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267 -0.00198
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.492 0.267 -0.00198
North Carolina Central Elon 24 30 0.444 0.402 0.323 -0.00090
James Madison James Madison 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348 -0.00042
James Madison James Madison 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348 -0.00042
James Madison James Madison 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348 -0.00042
North Carolina A&T Elon 13 41 0.241 0.461 0.236 -0.00258
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411 0.00079
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411 0.00079
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411 0.00079
Campbell Elon 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 0.00008
Richmond Elon 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00027
Richmond Elon 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00027

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Campbell 64.78 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 85.60 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Duke 32.39 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Carolina 125.00 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
Gardner-Webb 135.23 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
High Point 28.77 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Liberty 87.95 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 102.46 30 25 0.545 0.468 0.390
North Carolina 29.48 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 15.18 13 41 0.241 0.461 0.236
North Carolina Central 34.57 24 30 0.444 0.402 0.323
North Carolina State 51.36 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Radford 91.26 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Richmond 148.81 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
VMI 116.42 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia 144.65 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Tech 91.99 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wake Forest 41.58 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
Winthrop 116.91 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 19 33 0.365 0.492 0.305
Clemson 212.52 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Coastal Carolina 169.30 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
College of Charleston 229.98 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413
Coppin State 260.00 14 37 0.275 0.367 0.229
East Tennessee State 159.85 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Furman 184.29 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
George Mason 223.38 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 230.83 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 239.67 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 265.37 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia Southern 285.37 33 23 0.589 0.503 0.420
James Madison 165.28 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Marshall 193.73 32 19 0.627 0.522 0.444
Maryland 243.60 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 16 32 0.333 0.373 0.260
Morehead State 259.42 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 258.39 40 13 0.755 0.414 0.481
Norfolk State 187.34 27 20 0.574 0.364 0.378
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 263.79 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 185.55 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Presbyterian 174.93 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
Savannah State 295.84 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 170.42 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Tennessee 247.30 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
The Citadel 230.66 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269
Towson 276.67 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
West Virginia 246.16 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 213.49 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
William and Mary 174.04 25 28 0.472 0.524 0.367
Wofford 157.70 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation