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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.501
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State Elon 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00205
Wright State Elon 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00205
Wright State Elon 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00205
Wright State Elon 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464 0.00205
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495 0.00279
LaSalle Elon 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00290
LaSalle Elon 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00290
LaSalle Elon 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00290
East Carolina East Carolina 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461 0.00198
Bowling Green State Elon 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294 -0.00199
Stony Brook Elon 17 19 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00052
Appalachian State Elon 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261 -0.00278
Liberty Elon 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380 0.00005
The Citadel Elon 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00173
The Citadel Elon 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00173
The Citadel Elon 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00173
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474 0.00229
William and Mary Elon 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 -0.00011
William and Mary Elon 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 -0.00011
William and Mary Elon 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 -0.00011
High Point Elon 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00167
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00293
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00293
Wake Forest Elon 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00170
College of Charleston Elon 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427 0.00117
College of Charleston Elon 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427 0.00117
College of Charleston Elon 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427 0.00117
East Carolina Elon 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461 0.00198
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236 -0.00338
Northeastern Northeastern 19 19 0.500 0.452 0.363 -0.00035
Northeastern Northeastern 19 19 0.500 0.452 0.363 -0.00035
Northeastern Northeastern 19 19 0.500 0.452 0.363 -0.00035
North Carolina State Elon 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513 0.00322
Towson Elon 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296 -0.00195
Towson Elon 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296 -0.00195
Towson Elon 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296 -0.00195
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00167
North Carolina-Greensboro Elon 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495 0.00279
Hofstra Elon 13 27 0.325 0.476 0.281 -0.00230
Hofstra Elon 13 27 0.325 0.476 0.281 -0.00230
Hofstra Elon 13 27 0.325 0.476 0.281 -0.00230
North Carolina Central Elon 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329 -0.00116
James Madison James Madison 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333 -0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Campbell 64.78 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Davidson 85.60 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
Duke 32.39 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Carolina 125.00 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
Gardner-Webb 135.23 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
High Point 28.77 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
Liberty 87.95 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 102.46 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
North Carolina 29.48 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 15.18 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina Central 34.57 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 51.36 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
Radford 91.26 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Richmond 148.81 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
VMI 116.42 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia 144.65 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Tech 91.99 14 28 0.333 0.538 0.301
Wake Forest 41.58 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449
Winthrop 116.91 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 15 26 0.366 0.485 0.304
Clemson 212.52 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Coastal Carolina 169.30 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
College of Charleston 229.98 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427
Coppin State 260.00 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
East Tennessee State 159.85 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 17 25 0.405 0.485 0.324
Furman 184.29 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
George Mason 223.38 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 230.83 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 239.67 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Georgia 265.37 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia Southern 285.37 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416
James Madison 165.28 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Marshall 193.73 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Maryland 243.60 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Morehead State 259.42 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 258.39 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Norfolk State 187.34 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Ohio 263.79 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Old Dominion 185.55 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Presbyterian 174.93 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Savannah State 295.84 10 32 0.238 0.468 0.236
South Carolina 170.42 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 247.30 24 18 0.571 0.559 0.425
The Citadel 230.66 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305
Towson 276.67 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 246.16 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 213.49 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
William and Mary 174.04 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373
Wofford 157.70 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation