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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.520
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.503
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Cincinnati neutral 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00099
Cincinnati neutral 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00099
North Carolina State Elon 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00092
Wagner Elon 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00202
Wagner Elon 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00202
Wagner Elon 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00202
North Carolina-Wilmington Elon 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00015
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00227
St. Joseph's Elon 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00196
High Point Elon 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00096
Gardner-Webb Elon 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00116
High Point High Point 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00096
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00193
Minnesota neutral 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00005
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00070
Maryland-Baltimore County Elon 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00193
Liberty Elon 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00277
Georgia Southern Elon 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00090
Georgia Southern Elon 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00090
Georgia Southern Elon 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00090
Western Carolina Elon 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00175
Western Carolina Elon 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00175
Western Carolina Elon 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00175
Wake Forest Elon 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00041
The Citadel Elon 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00116
The Citadel Elon 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00116
The Citadel Elon 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00116
North Carolina A&T Elon 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00227
Campbell Elon 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00143
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00092
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00092
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00092
High Point Elon 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00096
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00040
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00040
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00040
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00111
Appalachian State Elon 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00161
Appalachian State Elon 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00161
Appalachian State Elon 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00161
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00015
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00021
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00021
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00021
Davidson Elon 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00137
Davidson Elon 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00137
Davidson Elon 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00137

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Campbell 64.78 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 85.60 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 32.39 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 125.00 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Gardner-Webb 135.23 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 28.77 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 87.95 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 102.46 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 29.48 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 15.18 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 34.57 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 51.36 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Radford 91.26 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 148.81 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
VMI 116.42 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 144.65 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Tech 91.99 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 41.58 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 116.91 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 212.52 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 169.30 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 229.98 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 260.00 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
East Tennessee State 159.85 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Furman 184.29 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
George Mason 223.38 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 230.83 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 239.67 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 265.37 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 285.37 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 165.28 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Marshall 193.73 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 243.60 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 259.42 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 258.39 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 187.34 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 263.79 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 185.55 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 174.93 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Savannah State 295.84 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 170.42 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 247.30 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 230.66 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 276.67 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 246.16 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 213.49 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 174.04 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Wofford 157.70 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation