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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.510
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.386


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Penn State Elon 1 13 0.071 0.660 0.201 -0.01088
Penn State Elon 1 13 0.071 0.660 0.201 -0.01088
Penn State Elon 1 13 0.071 0.660 0.201 -0.01088
Ball State neutral 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00253
High Point neutral 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348 -0.00224
Ball State neutral 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00253
North Carolina-Greensboro Elon 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282 -0.00612
Campbell Campbell 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550 0.00965
Davidson Elon 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457 0.00418
The Citadel The Citadel 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420 0.00200
The Citadel The Citadel 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420 0.00200
The Citadel The Citadel 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420 0.00200
Wake Forest Elon 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440 0.00318
Wake Forest Wake Forest 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440 0.00318
East Carolina Elon 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00465
East Carolina Elon 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00465
East Carolina Elon 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00465

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Campbell 64.78 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Davidson 85.60 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
Duke 32.39 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504
East Carolina 125.00 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465
Gardner-Webb 135.23 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
High Point 28.77 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Liberty 87.95 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 102.46 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
North Carolina 29.48 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455
North Carolina A&T 15.18 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina Central 34.57 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
North Carolina State 51.36 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
Radford 91.26 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Richmond 148.81 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
VMI 116.42 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia 144.65 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
Virginia Tech 91.99 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Wake Forest 41.58 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440
Winthrop 116.91 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 10 6 0.625 0.366 0.404
Clemson 212.52 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411
Coastal Carolina 169.30 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466
College of Charleston 229.98 10 6 0.625 0.627 0.469
Coppin State 260.00 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
East Tennessee State 159.85 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
Furman 184.29 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
George Mason 223.38 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 230.83 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 239.67 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
Georgia 265.37 12 8 0.600 0.502 0.425
Georgia Southern 285.37 12 9 0.571 0.503 0.411
James Madison 165.28 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Marshall 193.73 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Maryland 243.60 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Morehead State 259.42 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 258.39 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
Norfolk State 187.34 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Ohio 263.79 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Old Dominion 185.55 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Presbyterian 174.93 14 5 0.737 0.458 0.483
Savannah State 295.84 9 11 0.450 0.462 0.341
South Carolina 170.42 17 3 0.850 0.494 0.548
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
Tennessee 247.30 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
The Citadel 230.66 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
Towson 276.67 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
West Virginia 246.16 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Carolina 213.49 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321
William and Mary 174.04 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444
Wofford 157.70 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation