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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.519
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Penn State Elon 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00184
Penn State Elon 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00184
Penn State Elon 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00184
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00096
High Point neutral 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00011
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00096
North Carolina-Greensboro Elon 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00107
Campbell Campbell 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00096
Davidson Elon 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 -0.00002
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00057
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00057
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 -0.00057
Wake Forest Elon 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00028
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00028
East Carolina Elon 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00163
East Carolina Elon 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00163
East Carolina Elon 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00163
Maryland Elon 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00221
Maryland Elon 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00221
James Madison Elon 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309 -0.00202
James Madison Elon 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309 -0.00202
James Madison Elon 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309 -0.00202
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00038
William and Mary William and Mary 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00072
William and Mary William and Mary 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00072
William and Mary William and Mary 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00072
North Carolina Elon 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00188
Northeastern Elon 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00122
Northeastern Elon 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00122
Northeastern Elon 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00122
North Carolina State Elon 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00038
College of Charleston College of Charleston 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00313
College of Charleston College of Charleston 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00313
College of Charleston College of Charleston 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00313
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00294
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00294
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00294
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00107
Campbell Campbell 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00096
North Carolina-Wilmington Elon 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00278
North Carolina-Wilmington Elon 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00278
North Carolina-Wilmington Elon 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00278

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 64.78 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 85.60 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 32.39 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 125.00 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Gardner-Webb 135.23 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 28.77 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 87.95 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 102.46 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina 29.48 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 15.18 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 34.57 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 51.36 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Radford 91.26 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Richmond 148.81 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
VMI 116.42 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 144.65 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Tech 91.99 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 41.58 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 116.91 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 212.52 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 169.30 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 229.98 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 260.00 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
East Tennessee State 159.85 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Furman 184.29 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
George Mason 223.38 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 230.83 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 239.67 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 265.37 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 285.37 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
James Madison 165.28 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Marshall 193.73 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 243.60 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Morehead State 259.42 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 258.39 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 187.34 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Ohio 263.79 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 185.55 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 174.93 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Savannah State 295.84 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 170.42 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 247.30 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
The Citadel 230.66 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 276.67 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 246.16 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 213.49 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 174.04 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Wofford 157.70 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation