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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Evansville

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.494
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.496
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.371


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Alabama South Alabama 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497 0.00307
South Alabama South Alabama 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497 0.00307
South Alabama South Alabama 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497 0.00307
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333 -0.00093
Wofford Wofford 26 20 0.565 0.480 0.402 0.00076
Monmouth neutral 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383 0.00029
Belmont Belmont 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391 0.00049
Northern Illinois Evansville 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333 -0.00093
Northern Illinois Evansville 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333 -0.00093
Northern Illinois Evansville 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333 -0.00093
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 14 27 0.341 0.472 0.288 -0.00202
Central Connecticut State neutral 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 -0.00090
Central Connecticut State neutral 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 -0.00090
Liberty Liberty 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375 0.00010
Liberty Liberty 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375 0.00010
Indiana Evansville 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00129
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247 -0.00302
Kent State neutral 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485 0.00278
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00063
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00063
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00063
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Evansville 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247 -0.00302
Florida Gulf Coast Evansville 20 23 0.465 0.566 0.374 0.00007
Florida Gulf Coast Evansville 20 23 0.465 0.566 0.374 0.00007
Florida Gulf Coast Evansville 20 23 0.465 0.566 0.374 0.00007
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400 0.00071
Wichita State Evansville 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00115
Wichita State Evansville 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00115
Wichita State Evansville 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00115
Murray State Murray State 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00041
Bradley Evansville 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376 0.00012
Bradley Evansville 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376 0.00012
Bradley Evansville 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376 0.00012
Western Kentucky Evansville 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400 0.00071
Missouri State Missouri State 29 14 0.674 0.463 0.453 0.00200
Missouri State Missouri State 29 14 0.674 0.463 0.453 0.00200
Missouri State Missouri State 29 14 0.674 0.463 0.453 0.00200
Illinois State Evansville 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00195
Illinois State Evansville 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00195
Illinois State Evansville 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00195
Murray State Evansville 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354 -0.00041
Belmont Evansville 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391 0.00049

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 99.87 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442
Belmont 133.19 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391
Butler 148.59 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Eastern Illinois 109.53 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Indiana 99.46 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 104.02 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Lipscomb 135.62 23 21 0.523 0.442 0.372
Louisville 97.59 36 9 0.800 0.578 0.544
Murray State 102.92 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354
Southeast Missouri State 118.78 30 13 0.698 0.486 0.470
Southern Illinois 93.98 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 146.10 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
Tennessee-Martin 134.78 14 27 0.341 0.472 0.288
Vanderbilt 132.78 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523
Western Kentucky 90.32 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 227.03 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216
Arkansas State 227.41 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364
Ball State 191.86 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Bradley 217.42 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376
Chicago State 258.43 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Cincinnati 181.58 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Dayton 216.47 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 177.13 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
IPFW 252.78 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 151.25 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401
Illinois State 192.19 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 268.81 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336
Kentucky 165.25 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Memphis 238.86 15 30 0.333 0.496 0.290
Miami, Ohio 184.52 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Middle Tennessee State 160.33 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Mississippi 273.37 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515
Missouri 268.27 24 22 0.522 0.558 0.401
Morehead State 223.85 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Northern Illinois 281.42 19 25 0.432 0.469 0.333
Northern Kentucky 181.11 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Northwestern 282.86 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Notre Dame 266.20 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio State 279.83 28 15 0.651 0.454 0.439
Purdue 173.02 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
St. Louis 153.08 19 25 0.432 0.439 0.326
Tennessee 243.26 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee Tech 166.83 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
Valparaiso 242.22 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367
Western Illinois 241.33 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Wright State 225.33 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 183.97 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation