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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fairfield

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:48 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.431
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.476
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3345


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241 -0.00167
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241 -0.00167
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241 -0.00167
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00221
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00221
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00221
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00246
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00246
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 0.00017
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 0.00017
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 0.00017
St. John's St. John's 28 26 0.519 0.493 0.383 0.00087
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00140
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00140
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00140
Hartford Fairfield 37 18 0.673 0.485 0.458 0.00221
Albany Fairfield 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333 -0.00003
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.451 0.320 -0.00026
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.451 0.320 -0.00026
Hofstra Fairfield 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00122
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289 -0.00081
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289 -0.00081
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289 -0.00081
Yale Yale 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318 -0.00029
Yale Yale 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318 -0.00029
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.463 0.226 -0.00194
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.463 0.226 -0.00194
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.463 0.226 -0.00194
Connecticut Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00172
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265 -0.00124
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265 -0.00124
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265 -0.00124
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.453 0.363 0.00051
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart 30 28 0.517 0.463 0.374 0.00071
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00235
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00235
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00235
Sacred Heart Fairfield 30 28 0.517 0.463 0.374 0.00071
Stony Brook Fairfield 27 27 0.500 0.482 0.370 0.00063
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334 -0.00001
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334 -0.00001
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334 -0.00001
New Jersey Tech Fairfield 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273 -0.00110
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.432 0.379 0.00079
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.432 0.379 0.00079
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.432 0.379 0.00079
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 0.00076
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 0.00076
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377 0.00076
Massachusetts Fairfield 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314 -0.00037
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00033
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00033
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00033
Manhattan neutral 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334 -0.00001
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.432 0.379 0.00079
Siena neutral 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326 -0.00015

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 108.68 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333
Army 39.49 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Boston College 134.91 31 20 0.608 0.537 0.438
Brown 106.92 15 24 0.385 0.463 0.308
Bryant 103.26 47 10 0.825 0.464 0.528
Central Connecticut State 44.96 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330
Columbia 39.67 17 24 0.415 0.497 0.332
Connecticut 68.00 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431
Fairleigh Dickinson 44.00 28 28 0.500 0.421 0.355
Fordham 38.66 29 29 0.500 0.453 0.363
Hartford 52.46 37 18 0.673 0.485 0.458
Harvard 137.68 17 24 0.415 0.451 0.320
Hofstra 35.39 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266
Holy Cross 105.43 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373
Iona 31.63 11 39 0.220 0.463 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 49.80 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
LaSalle 126.24 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 107.40 14 29 0.326 0.462 0.279
Lehigh 116.78 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 38.29 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334
Marist 51.93 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Massachusetts 92.59 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314
Massachusetts-Lowell 143.35 20 32 0.385 0.494 0.316
Monmouth 72.76 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
New Jersey Tech 55.57 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
New York Tech 30.34 17 26 0.395 0.405 0.299
Northeastern 137.09 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380
Pennsylvania 131.99 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Princeton 92.08 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403
Quinnipiac 26.05 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316
Rhode Island 92.01 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397
Rider 98.90 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289
Rutgers 75.95 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378
Sacred Heart 3.72 30 28 0.517 0.463 0.374
Seton Hall 59.29 38 20 0.655 0.442 0.438
Siena 110.41 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326
St. John's 41.22 28 26 0.519 0.493 0.383
St. Joseph's 131.84 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
St. Peter's 53.07 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 18.02 27 27 0.500 0.482 0.370
Temple 122.79 0.000
Villanova 128.46 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314
Wagner 55.74 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
Yale 18.52 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 154.30 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403
Bucknell 189.84 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291
Coppin State 229.34 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Cornell 188.04 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Dartmouth 182.30 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325
Delaware 167.00 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413
Delaware State 182.43 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
George Mason 268.39 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 258.68 24 33 0.421 0.493 0.334
Georgetown 252.98 24 29 0.453 0.498 0.351
Maryland 246.00 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 224.95 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 241.33 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 238.16 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 227.80 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Penn State 240.81 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385
St. Bonaventure 277.31 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373
Towson 214.94 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation