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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fairfield

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.418
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.489
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Delaware State neutral 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238 -0.00217
Delaware State neutral 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238 -0.00217
Delaware State neutral 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238 -0.00217
North Carolina North Carolina 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00341
North Carolina North Carolina 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00341
North Carolina North Carolina 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00341
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.602 0.511 0.00418
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.602 0.511 0.00418
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 26 0.422 0.543 0.347 0.00037
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 26 0.422 0.543 0.347 0.00037
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 26 0.422 0.543 0.347 0.00037
St. John's St. John's 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 0.00120
Delaware Delaware 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410 0.00183
Delaware Delaware 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410 0.00183
Delaware Delaware 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410 0.00183
Hartford Fairfield 28 13 0.683 0.483 0.462 0.00304
Albany Fairfield 17 22 0.436 0.470 0.336 0.00011
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.454 0.321 -0.00024
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.454 0.321 -0.00024
Hofstra Fairfield 13 30 0.302 0.503 0.277 -0.00126
Rider Fairfield 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289 -0.00098
Rider Fairfield 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289 -0.00098
Rider Fairfield 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289 -0.00098
Yale Yale 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00045
Yale Yale 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00045
Iona Iona 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00266
Iona Iona 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00266
Iona Iona 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00266
Connecticut Connecticut 24 19 0.558 0.522 0.410 0.00183
Niagara Fairfield 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00080
Niagara Fairfield 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00080
Niagara Fairfield 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00080
Fordham Fordham 23 23 0.500 0.440 0.360 0.00067
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart 22 19 0.537 0.486 0.390 0.00137
St. Peter's St. Peter's 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207 -0.00289
St. Peter's St. Peter's 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207 -0.00289
St. Peter's St. Peter's 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207 -0.00289
Sacred Heart Fairfield 22 19 0.537 0.486 0.390 0.00137
Stony Brook Fairfield 20 20 0.500 0.481 0.370 0.00090
Manhattan Manhattan 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303 -0.00066
Manhattan Manhattan 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303 -0.00066
Manhattan Manhattan 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303 -0.00066
New Jersey Tech Fairfield 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303 -0.00066

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 108.68 17 22 0.436 0.470 0.336
Army 39.49 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296
Boston College 134.91 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433
Brown 106.92 15 24 0.385 0.457 0.307
Bryant 103.26 33 8 0.805 0.490 0.525
Central Connecticut State 44.96 18 24 0.429 0.478 0.334
Columbia 39.67 17 24 0.415 0.486 0.329
Connecticut 68.00 24 19 0.558 0.522 0.410
Fairleigh Dickinson 44.00 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 38.66 23 23 0.500 0.440 0.360
Hartford 52.46 28 13 0.683 0.483 0.462
Harvard 137.68 17 24 0.415 0.454 0.321
Hofstra 35.39 13 30 0.302 0.503 0.277
Holy Cross 105.43 25 24 0.510 0.453 0.368
Iona 31.63 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217
LIU Brooklyn 49.80 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
LaSalle 126.24 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 107.40 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 116.78 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Manhattan 38.29 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303
Marist 51.93 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345
Massachusetts 92.59 13 20 0.394 0.436 0.306
Massachusetts-Lowell 143.35 17 23 0.425 0.467 0.329
Monmouth 72.76 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383
New Jersey Tech 55.57 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303
New York Tech 30.34 17 24 0.415 0.407 0.309
Northeastern 137.09 23 20 0.535 0.461 0.383
Pennsylvania 131.99 19 22 0.463 0.431 0.339
Princeton 92.08 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404
Quinnipiac 26.05 17 26 0.395 0.432 0.305
Rhode Island 92.01 19 22 0.463 0.524 0.363
Rider 98.90 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Rutgers 75.95 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396
Sacred Heart 3.72 22 19 0.537 0.486 0.390
Seton Hall 59.29 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
Siena 110.41 15 27 0.357 0.447 0.290
St. John's 41.22 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383
St. Joseph's 131.84 22 18 0.550 0.486 0.397
St. Peter's 53.07 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207
Stony Brook 18.02 20 20 0.500 0.481 0.370
Temple 122.79 0.000
Villanova 128.46 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Wagner 55.74 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Yale 18.52 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 154.30 20 20 0.500 0.488 0.372
Bucknell 189.84 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Coppin State 229.34 11 33 0.250 0.362 0.215
Cornell 188.04 14 22 0.389 0.451 0.307
Dartmouth 182.30 18 24 0.429 0.463 0.330
Delaware 167.00 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410
Delaware State 182.43 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238
George Mason 268.39 15 29 0.341 0.464 0.287
George Washington 258.68 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 252.98 22 24 0.478 0.494 0.362
Maryland 246.00 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 224.95 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362
Maryland-Eastern Shore 241.33 15 30 0.333 0.378 0.261
Mount St. Mary's 238.16 11 29 0.275 0.369 0.230
Navy 227.80 37 12 0.755 0.410 0.480
Penn State 240.81 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406
St. Bonaventure 277.31 21 18 0.538 0.392 0.367
Towson 214.94 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation