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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fairfield

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.440
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.476
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.339


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240 -0.00171
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240 -0.00171
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240 -0.00171
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00202
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00202
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00202
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00228
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00228
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 0.00007
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 0.00007
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 0.00007
St. John's St. John's 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00074
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00124
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00124
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00124
Hartford Fairfield 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00203
Albany Fairfield 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332 -0.00012
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319 -0.00034
Harvard Fairfield 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319 -0.00034
Hofstra Fairfield 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00126
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00086
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00086
Rider Fairfield 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00086
Yale Yale 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317 -0.00038
Yale Yale 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317 -0.00038
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00197
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00197
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00197
Connecticut Connecticut 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00157
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00128
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00128
Niagara Fairfield 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00128
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00040
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373 0.00059
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00236
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00236
St. Peter's St. Peter's 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00236
Sacred Heart Fairfield 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373 0.00059
Stony Brook Fairfield 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00052
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333 -0.00010
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333 -0.00010
Manhattan Manhattan 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333 -0.00010
New Jersey Tech Fairfield 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273 -0.00114
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00069
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00069
Canisius Fairfield 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00069
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 0.00064
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 0.00064
Monmouth Monmouth 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 0.00064
Massachusetts Fairfield 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00045
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00040
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00040
Quinnipiac Fairfield 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00040
Manhattan neutral 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333 -0.00010
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00069
Siena neutral 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00024
Texas Tech neutral 47 20 0.701 0.569 0.493 0.00266
Dallas Baptist neutral 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00252

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 108.68 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Army 39.49 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Boston College 134.91 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444
Brown 106.92 15 24 0.385 0.461 0.308
Bryant 103.26 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515
Central Connecticut State 44.96 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328
Columbia 39.67 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Connecticut 68.00 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430
Fairleigh Dickinson 44.00 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 38.66 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
Hartford 52.46 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457
Harvard 137.68 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319
Hofstra 35.39 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266
Holy Cross 105.43 28 27 0.509 0.472 0.372
Iona 31.63 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
LIU Brooklyn 49.80 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 126.24 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 107.40 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 116.78 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Manhattan 38.29 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 51.93 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Massachusetts 92.59 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Massachusetts-Lowell 143.35 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315
Monmouth 72.76 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
New Jersey Tech 55.57 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
New York Tech 30.34 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Northeastern 137.09 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380
Pennsylvania 131.99 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Princeton 92.08 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Quinnipiac 26.05 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316
Rhode Island 92.01 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394
Rider 98.90 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 75.95 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Sacred Heart 3.72 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373
Seton Hall 59.29 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
Siena 110.41 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. John's 41.22 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382
St. Joseph's 131.84 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 53.07 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Stony Brook 18.02 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369
Temple 122.79 0.000
Villanova 128.46 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Wagner 55.74 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Yale 18.52 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 154.30 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Bucknell 189.84 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Coppin State 229.34 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Cornell 188.04 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Dartmouth 182.30 18 25 0.419 0.456 0.324
Delaware 167.00 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 182.43 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
George Mason 268.39 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 258.68 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 252.98 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Maryland 246.00 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 224.95 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 241.33 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mount St. Mary's 238.16 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 227.80 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Penn State 240.81 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
St. Bonaventure 277.31 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
Towson 214.94 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation