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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Florida

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.571
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.551
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Rhode Island Florida 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00091
Rhode Island Florida 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00091
Rhode Island Florida 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00091
South Florida South Florida 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00130
Miami, Florida Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00190
Miami, Florida Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00190
Miami, Florida Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00190
Florida Atlantic neutral 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00216
Stony Brook Florida 20 12 0.625 0.500 0.438 0.00034
Stony Brook Florida 20 12 0.625 0.500 0.438 0.00034
Stony Brook Florida 20 12 0.625 0.500 0.438 0.00034
Central Florida Central Florida 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00041
Central Florida Florida 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441 0.00041
Maine Florida 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00280
Maine Florida 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00280
Maine Florida 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00280
Fairfield Florida 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00403
Fairfield Florida 9 25 0.265 0.471 0.250 -0.00403
Tennessee Florida 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00156
Tennessee Florida 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00156
Tennessee Florida 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00156
Florida State Florida 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00192
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00038
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00038
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 -0.00038
Stetson Stetson 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389 -0.00080
Alabama Florida 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00004
Alabama Florida 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00004
Alabama Florida 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00004
Florida State neutral 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00192
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00053
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00053
Missouri Missouri 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00053
Stetson Florida 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389 -0.00080
South Carolina Florida 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00037
South Carolina Florida 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00037
South Carolina Florida 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00037
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00192
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00049
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00049
Mississippi State Mississippi State 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00049
Bethune-Cookman Florida 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00340
Kentucky Florida 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00044
Kentucky Florida 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00044
Kentucky Florida 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00044

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bethune-Cookman 85.96 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277
Central Florida 100.16 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441
Florida A&M 127.58 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida State 128.89 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Jacksonville 65.90 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362
North Florida 66.53 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479
South Florida 109.91 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479
Stetson 76.74 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama State 299.00 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Auburn 275.69 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Charleston Southern 266.96 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
College of Charleston 261.19 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Florida Atlantic 264.65 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516
Florida Gulf Coast 222.50 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Florida International 294.86 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343
Georgia Southern 195.08 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Mercer 232.72 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Savannah State 181.06 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
The Citadel 259.01 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Troy 260.35 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation