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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:49 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.491
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.514
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Fresno State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00186
Creighton Fresno State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00186
Creighton Fresno State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00186
Oakland Fresno State 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00052
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00204
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00204
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00204
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00204
CSU Bakersfield Fresno State 18 35 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00143
San Diego State San Diego State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
San Diego State San Diego State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
San Diego State San Diego State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
Long Beach State Long Beach State 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462 0.00157
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 13 0.759 0.582 0.525 0.00270
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 13 0.759 0.582 0.525 0.00270
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 13 0.759 0.582 0.525 0.00270
Oklahoma Fresno State 28 25 0.528 0.549 0.401 0.00048
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
St. Mary's St. Mary's 30 22 0.577 0.532 0.421 0.00084
San Jose State San Jose State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
San Jose State San Jose State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
San Jose State San Jose State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
Long Beach State Fresno State 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462 0.00157
Air Force Fresno State 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
Air Force Fresno State 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
Air Force Fresno State 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.473 0.330 -0.00079
Sacramento State Fresno State 28 26 0.519 0.472 0.378 0.00007
New Mexico New Mexico 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440 0.00118
New Mexico New Mexico 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440 0.00118
New Mexico New Mexico 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440 0.00118
Pacific Fresno State 22 30 0.423 0.473 0.330 -0.00079
Nevada Fresno State 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00086
Nevada Fresno State 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00086
Nevada Fresno State 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00086
Cal Poly Cal Poly 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00057
San Jose State Fresno State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
San Jose State Fresno State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
San Jose State Fresno State 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284 -0.00161
Sacramento State Sacramento State 28 26 0.519 0.472 0.378 0.00007
Air Force Air Force 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
Air Force Air Force 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
Air Force Air Force 27 25 0.519 0.456 0.373 -0.00002
St. Mary's Fresno State 30 22 0.577 0.532 0.421 0.00084
San Diego State Fresno State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
San Diego State Fresno State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
San Diego State Fresno State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00116
Cal Poly Fresno State 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00057
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359 -0.00027
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.530 0.329 -0.00080
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.530 0.329 -0.00080
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.530 0.329 -0.00080

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 18 35 0.340 0.497 0.294
Cal Poly 115.81 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406
Pacific 117.40 22 30 0.423 0.473 0.330
San Jose State 121.32 17 38 0.309 0.519 0.284
Santa Clara 125.53 23 29 0.442 0.505 0.347
St. Mary's 147.66 30 22 0.577 0.532 0.421
Stanford 139.11 28 23 0.549 0.515 0.403

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 33 19 0.635 0.537 0.452
Cal State Northridge 190.46 32 20 0.615 0.451 0.420
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 0.000
California 155.87 30 19 0.612 0.516 0.435
Long Beach State 228.69 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462
Loyola Marymount 210.44 26 27 0.491 0.518 0.375
Nevada 189.00 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359
Pepperdine 200.39 28 22 0.560 0.536 0.414
San Francisco 162.25 22 34 0.393 0.530 0.329
Southern California 209.65 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378
UC Davis 162.00 16 34 0.320 0.523 0.291
UC Irvine 243.55 29 24 0.547 0.491 0.396
UC Riverside 237.28 24 28 0.462 0.497 0.355
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 35 16 0.686 0.548 0.480
UCLA 203.81 25 28 0.472 0.560 0.376

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation