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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.595
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.504
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4235


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UC Irvine Fresno State 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00025
UC Irvine Fresno State 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00025
UC Irvine Fresno State 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00025
Cal Poly Fresno State 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00139
Nevada Nevada 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Nevada Nevada 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Nevada Nevada 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Southern California Fresno State 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00218
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00189
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00189
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00189
Cal State Sacramento Fresno State 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00125
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00089
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00089
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00089
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00089
Wagner Fresno State 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375 -0.00115
Wagner Fresno State 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375 -0.00115
UC Davis Fresno State 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00037
UC Davis Fresno State 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00037
UC Davis Fresno State 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00037
Southern California Southern California 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00218
San Jose State Fresno State 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00408
San Jose State Fresno State 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00408
San Jose State Fresno State 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00408
California Fresno State 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446 0.00054
New Mexico New Mexico 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00011
New Mexico New Mexico 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00011
New Mexico New Mexico 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00011
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00235
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00235
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00235
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00235
Nevada Fresno State 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Nevada Fresno State 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Nevada Fresno State 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494 0.00168
Cal Poly Cal Poly 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00139
Air Force Air Force 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00165
Air Force Air Force 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00165
Air Force Air Force 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00165
Cal State Sacramento Cal State Sacramento 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00125
San Diego State Fresno State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00044
San Diego State Fresno State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00044
San Diego State Fresno State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00044

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424
Cal Poly 115.81 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365
Pacific 117.40 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243
San Jose State 121.32 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252
Santa Clara 125.53 16 24 0.400 0.503 0.326
St. Mary's 147.66 21 18 0.538 0.432 0.377
Stanford 139.11 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413
Cal State Northridge 190.46 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371
California 155.87 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446
Long Beach State 228.69 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424
Loyola Marymount 210.44 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431
Nevada 189.00 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344
Pepperdine 200.39 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384
San Francisco 162.25 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371
Southern California 209.65 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515
UC Davis 162.00 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408
UC Irvine 243.55 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434
UC Riverside 237.28 12 27 0.308 0.514 0.282
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522
UCLA 203.81 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation