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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Thu Jul 28 06:48:57 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.489
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.372


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Fresno State 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00167
Creighton Fresno State 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00167
Creighton Fresno State 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00167
Oakland Fresno State 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00057
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00195
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00195
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00195
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00195
CSU Bakersfield Fresno State 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00136
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00136
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00262
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00262
Texas A&M Texas A&M 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00262
Oklahoma Fresno State 30 27 0.526 0.547 0.400 0.00048
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
St. Mary's St. Mary's 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419 0.00081
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
Long Beach State Fresno State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00136
Air Force Fresno State 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Air Force Fresno State 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Air Force Fresno State 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00076
Sacramento State Fresno State 29 28 0.509 0.474 0.373 0.00002
New Mexico New Mexico 39 23 0.629 0.518 0.444 0.00124
New Mexico New Mexico 39 23 0.629 0.518 0.444 0.00124
New Mexico New Mexico 39 23 0.629 0.518 0.444 0.00124
Pacific Fresno State 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00076
Nevada Fresno State 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00093
Nevada Fresno State 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00093
Nevada Fresno State 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00093
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 0.00053
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00159
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.474 0.373 0.00002
Air Force Air Force 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Air Force Air Force 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Air Force Air Force 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
St. Mary's Fresno State 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419 0.00081
San Diego State Fresno State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
San Diego State Fresno State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
San Diego State Fresno State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00103
Cal Poly Fresno State 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 0.00053
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349 -0.00040
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00076
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00076
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00076
Air Force neutral 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00002
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00093

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293
Cal Poly 115.81 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Pacific 117.40 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328
San Jose State 121.32 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280
Santa Clara 125.53 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345
St. Mary's 147.66 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419
Stanford 139.11 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441
Cal State Northridge 190.46 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 0.000
California 155.87 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428
Long Beach State 228.69 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451
Loyola Marymount 210.44 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372
Nevada 189.00 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349
Pepperdine 200.39 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407
San Francisco 162.25 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328
Southern California 209.65 28 28 0.500 0.552 0.388
UC Davis 162.00 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290
UC Irvine 243.55 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400
UC Riverside 237.28 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480
UCLA 203.81 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation