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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.545
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00172
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00172
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00172
Grand Canyon Fresno State 25 20 0.556 0.470 0.396 -0.00008
Cal State Sacramento Fresno State 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00058
Nevada Fresno State 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
Nevada Fresno State 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
Nevada Fresno State 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
Texas A&M Fresno State 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00098
Texas A&M Fresno State 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00098
Texas A&M Fresno State 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00098
Cal State Sacramento neutral 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00058
Air Force Air Force 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Air Force Air Force 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Air Force Air Force 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Penn State Fresno State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00181
Penn State Fresno State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00181
New Mexico Fresno State 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
New Mexico Fresno State 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
New Mexico Fresno State 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
California Fresno State 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00069
Brigham Young Fresno State 18 28 0.391 0.527 0.327 -0.00148
Creighton Creighton 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00086
Creighton Creighton 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00086
UC Santa Barbara Fresno State 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00113
San Diego State San Diego State 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459 0.00121
San Diego State San Diego State 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459 0.00121
San Diego State San Diego State 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459 0.00121
Pacific Fresno State 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388 -0.00024
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00086
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00086
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442 0.00086
Cal State Northridge Fresno State 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316 -0.00171
New Mexico New Mexico 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
New Mexico New Mexico 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
New Mexico New Mexico 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00123
Pacific Pacific 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388 -0.00024
Nevada Nevada 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
Nevada Nevada 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
Nevada Nevada 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395 -0.00010
California Fresno State 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00069
Cal State Fullerton Fresno State 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00013
Air Force Fresno State 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Air Force Fresno State 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Air Force Fresno State 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00206
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00013
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00204
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00204
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00204

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal Poly 115.81 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Pacific 117.40 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388
San Jose State 121.32 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300
Santa Clara 125.53 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357
St. Mary's 147.66 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269
Stanford 139.11 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406
Cal State Northridge 190.46 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428
California 155.87 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366
Long Beach State 228.69 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396
Loyola Marymount 210.44 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413
Nevada 189.00 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442
Pepperdine 200.39 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482
San Francisco 162.25 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360
Southern California 209.65 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415
UC Davis 162.00 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340
UC Irvine 243.55 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484
UC Riverside 237.28 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455
UCLA 203.81 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation