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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.514
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3845


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00279
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00279
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00279
Oakland Fresno State 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 -0.00040
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00264
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00264
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00264
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00264
CSU Bakersfield Fresno State 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243 -0.00308
San Diego State San Diego State 13 30 0.302 0.558 0.290 -0.00205
San Diego State San Diego State 13 30 0.302 0.558 0.290 -0.00205
San Diego State San Diego State 13 30 0.302 0.558 0.290 -0.00205
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00132
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.551 0.535 0.00327
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.551 0.535 0.00327
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.551 0.535 0.00327
Oklahoma Fresno State 22 22 0.500 0.517 0.379 -0.00012
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 20 24 0.455 0.528 0.360 -0.00053
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 20 24 0.455 0.528 0.360 -0.00053
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 20 24 0.455 0.528 0.360 -0.00053
St. Mary's St. Mary's 24 18 0.571 0.542 0.421 0.00079
San Jose State San Jose State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
San Jose State San Jose State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
San Jose State San Jose State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
Long Beach State Fresno State 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00132
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
Pacific Pacific 17 25 0.405 0.470 0.320 -0.00140
Sacramento State Fresno State 24 19 0.558 0.448 0.391 0.00014
New Mexico New Mexico 31 16 0.660 0.500 0.455 0.00153
New Mexico New Mexico 31 16 0.660 0.500 0.455 0.00153
New Mexico New Mexico 31 16 0.660 0.500 0.455 0.00153
Pacific Fresno State 17 25 0.405 0.470 0.320 -0.00140
Nevada Fresno State 24 20 0.545 0.484 0.394 0.00021
Nevada Fresno State 24 20 0.545 0.484 0.394 0.00021
Nevada Fresno State 24 20 0.545 0.484 0.394 0.00021
Cal Poly Cal Poly 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429 0.00097
San Jose State Fresno State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
San Jose State Fresno State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
San Jose State Fresno State 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299 -0.00186
Sacramento State neutral 24 19 0.558 0.448 0.391 0.00014
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.480 0.363 -0.00047
St. Mary's Fresno State 24 18 0.571 0.542 0.421 0.00079

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243
Cal Poly 115.81 26 17 0.605 0.507 0.429
Pacific 117.40 17 25 0.405 0.470 0.320
San Jose State 121.32 15 30 0.333 0.530 0.299
Santa Clara 125.53 19 23 0.452 0.513 0.354
St. Mary's 147.66 24 18 0.571 0.542 0.421
Stanford 139.11 21 18 0.538 0.537 0.403

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 27 16 0.628 0.540 0.449
Cal State Northridge 190.46 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 0.000
California 155.87 24 16 0.600 0.551 0.438
Long Beach State 228.69 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445
Loyola Marymount 210.44 24 21 0.533 0.492 0.390
Nevada 189.00 24 20 0.545 0.484 0.394
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 20 24 0.455 0.528 0.360
Pepperdine 200.39 20 19 0.513 0.538 0.391
San Francisco 162.25 17 29 0.370 0.534 0.319
Southern California 209.65 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374
UC Davis 162.00 13 25 0.342 0.492 0.294
UC Irvine 243.55 25 17 0.595 0.468 0.414
UC Riverside 237.28 20 21 0.488 0.484 0.365
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514
UCLA 203.81 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation