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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Furman

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.526
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.386


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Fordham Furman 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367 -0.00035
Michigan State Furman 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00113
Presbyterian Furman 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00042
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00165
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00165
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00165
South Carolina-Upstate Furman 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00098
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 -0.00024
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 -0.00024
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 -0.00024
North Carolina-Asheville Furman 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259 -0.00231
South Carolina South Carolina 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523 0.00249
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00162
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00162
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00162
College of Charleston Furman 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00049
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 -0.00018
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 -0.00018
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 -0.00018
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436 0.00091
Samford Furman 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00042
Samford Furman 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00042
Samford Furman 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00042
Clemson Furman 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00180
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00069
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00069
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00069
Gardner-Webb Furman 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436 0.00091
West Virginia West Virginia 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433 0.00085
West Virginia West Virginia 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433 0.00085
West Virginia West Virginia 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433 0.00085
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00042
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00127
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00127
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00127
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00098
South Carolina Furman 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523 0.00249
Mercer Mercer 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00087
Mercer Mercer 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00087
Mercer Mercer 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00087
Presbyterian Furman 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00042
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00213
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00213
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00213
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00180
Western Carolina Furman 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00036
Western Carolina Furman 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00036
Western Carolina Furman 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00036
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259 -0.00231
VMI VMI 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00136
VMI VMI 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00136
VMI VMI 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00136
Wofford Furman 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00002
Wofford Furman 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00002
Wofford Furman 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00002

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.59 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Clemson 28.52 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Davidson 98.94 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
East Tennessee State 96.04 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Gardner-Webb 49.05 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
Georgia 86.30 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia State 135.11 23 30 0.434 0.485 0.338
Georgia Tech 136.56 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463
Kennesaw State 136.40 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
North Carolina-Asheville 48.61 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 99.92 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
Presbyterian 45.69 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
South Carolina 102.63 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523
South Carolina-Upstate 27.35 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Tennessee 109.76 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Wake Forest 148.79 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
Western Carolina 49.29 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Winthrop 80.66 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 29.08 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 234.71 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama State 283.21 38 15 0.717 0.405 0.460
Alabama-Birmingham 268.04 21 34 0.382 0.560 0.331
Auburn 237.41 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349
Austin Peay State 297.29 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Belmont 258.22 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Campbell 212.06 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Charleston Southern 190.96 19 33 0.365 0.492 0.305
Coastal Carolina 219.56 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
College of Charleston 206.92 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413
Duke 210.42 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Carolina 290.02 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
Eastern Kentucky 220.23 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Elon 184.29 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Georgia Southern 176.33 33 23 0.589 0.503 0.420
High Point 155.77 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Jacksonville State 204.65 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kentucky 243.10 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Liberty 247.70 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Lipscomb 258.22 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Longwood 279.01 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
Louisville 292.24 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Marshall 241.10 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Mercer 160.44 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434
Middle Tennessee State 230.15 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Morehead State 232.54 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
North Carolina 203.13 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 169.92 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina Central 212.75 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 220.30 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Greensboro 167.73 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
North Carolina-Wilmington 264.39 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 186.40 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Samford 268.42 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Savannah State 215.18 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
Tennessee Tech 193.20 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
The Citadel 204.79 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269
Troy 295.93 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418
VMI 259.30 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Vanderbilt 259.53 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Virginia Tech 194.65 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Western Kentucky 266.07 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation