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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Furman

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:19 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.556
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.488
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Fordham Furman 22 21 0.512 0.451 0.369 -0.00076
Michigan State Furman 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00207
Presbyterian Furman 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 -0.00071
Dayton Furman 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00283
Dayton Furman 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00283
Dayton Furman 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00283
South Carolina-Upstate Furman 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00166
Holy Cross Furman 22 23 0.489 0.454 0.358 -0.00102
Holy Cross Furman 22 23 0.489 0.454 0.358 -0.00102
Holy Cross Furman 22 23 0.489 0.454 0.358 -0.00102
North Carolina-Asheville Furman 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277 -0.00300
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00359
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.546 0.474 0.00180
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.546 0.474 0.00180
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.546 0.474 0.00180
College of Charleston Furman 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427 0.00066
Davidson Davidson 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 -0.00056
Davidson Davidson 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 -0.00056
Davidson Davidson 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 -0.00056
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453 0.00129
Samford Furman 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418 0.00044
Samford Furman 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418 0.00044
Samford Furman 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418 0.00044
Clemson Furman 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472 0.00176
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00229
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00229
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00229
Gardner-Webb Furman 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453 0.00129
West Virginia West Virginia 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394 -0.00015
West Virginia West Virginia 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394 -0.00015
West Virginia West Virginia 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394 -0.00015
Presbyterian Presbyterian 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 -0.00071
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495 0.00232
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495 0.00232
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495 0.00232
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00166
South Carolina Furman 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00359
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00080
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00080
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433 0.00080
Presbyterian Furman 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 -0.00071

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.59 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Clemson 28.52 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Davidson 98.94 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
East Tennessee State 96.04 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Gardner-Webb 49.05 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
Georgia 86.30 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia State 135.11 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349
Georgia Tech 136.56 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471
Kennesaw State 136.40 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358
North Carolina-Asheville 48.61 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Charlotte 99.92 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
Presbyterian 45.69 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
South Carolina 102.63 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
South Carolina-Upstate 27.35 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 109.76 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Wake Forest 148.79 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Western Carolina 49.29 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Winthrop 80.66 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 29.08 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 234.71 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Alabama State 283.21 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441
Alabama-Birmingham 268.04 17 22 0.436 0.585 0.364
Auburn 237.41 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368
Austin Peay State 297.29 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 258.22 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Campbell 212.06 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Charleston Southern 190.96 15 26 0.366 0.485 0.304
Coastal Carolina 219.56 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
College of Charleston 206.92 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427
Duke 210.42 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Carolina 290.02 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
Eastern Kentucky 220.23 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
Elon 184.29 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
Georgia Southern 176.33 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416
High Point 155.77 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
Jacksonville State 204.65 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455
Kentucky 243.10 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Liberty 247.70 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Lipscomb 258.22 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Longwood 279.01 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Louisville 292.24 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Marshall 241.10 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Mercer 160.44 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433
Middle Tennessee State 230.15 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Morehead State 232.54 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
North Carolina 203.13 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 169.92 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina Central 212.75 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 220.30 29 11 0.725 0.603 0.513
North Carolina-Greensboro 167.73 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
North Carolina-Wilmington 264.39 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Radford 186.40 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Samford 268.42 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418
Savannah State 215.18 10 32 0.238 0.468 0.236
Tennessee Tech 193.20 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
The Citadel 204.79 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305
Troy 295.93 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
VMI 259.30 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Vanderbilt 259.53 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 194.65 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
Western Kentucky 266.07 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation