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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.528
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.392


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00195
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00195
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.547 0.470 0.00195
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 23 0.465 0.563 0.373 -0.00048
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 23 0.465 0.563 0.373 -0.00048
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 23 0.465 0.563 0.373 -0.00048
Central Michigan neutral 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00350
Stetson Stetson 21 23 0.477 0.527 0.370 -0.00055
Villanova neutral 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00235
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00227
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00250
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00227
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00250
Northern Illinois neutral 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326 -0.00165
Northern Illinois neutral 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326 -0.00165
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413 0.00052
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413 0.00052
Illinois State Illinois State 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00253
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00035
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00035
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00035
Indiana State Indiana State 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442 0.00125
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00127
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00127
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00127
Eastern Illinois Illinois 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191 -0.00502
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00068
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00068
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00068
Illinois State Illinois 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00253
St. Louis Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.436 0.319 -0.00183
St. Louis Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.436 0.319 -0.00183
St. Louis Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.436 0.319 -0.00183
Eastern Illinois neutral 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191 -0.00502
Ohio State Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447 0.00137
Ohio State Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447 0.00137
Ohio State Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447 0.00137
Minnesota Illinois 25 13 0.658 0.535 0.463 0.00178
Minnesota Illinois 25 13 0.658 0.535 0.463 0.00178
Minnesota Illinois 25 13 0.658 0.535 0.463 0.00178
Missouri neutral 24 21 0.533 0.560 0.407 0.00037

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Bradley 82.76 17 16 0.515 0.474 0.376
Butler 110.55 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Chicago State 116.46 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
Eastern Illinois 42.82 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Illinois State 49.82 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana 111.07 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 60.75 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Northern Illinois 130.22 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326
Northwestern 139.02 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243
Purdue 71.86 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247
St. Louis 147.03 18 25 0.419 0.436 0.319
Valparaiso 113.10 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Western Illinois 132.09 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Belmont 284.25 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Bowling Green State 256.61 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Central Michigan 298.82 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252
Cincinnati 208.76 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Dayton 214.81 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Eastern Michigan 281.06 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336
Evansville 151.25 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411
IPFW 178.51 17 23 0.425 0.421 0.318
Iowa 204.57 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365
Kentucky 245.94 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Lipscomb 286.73 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Louisville 185.87 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Miami, Ohio 189.92 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Michigan 277.32 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484
Michigan State 265.87 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488
Missouri 233.22 24 21 0.533 0.560 0.407
Morehead State 289.00 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Murray State 240.07 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359
Northern Kentucky 213.66 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Notre Dame 152.08 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio State 275.24 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479
Southern Illinois 173.69 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Toledo 264.57 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237
Vanderbilt 283.89 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Western Kentucky 235.39 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
Western Michigan 203.68 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354
Wright State 222.58 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 210.13 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation