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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:42 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.546
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.402


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00143
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00143
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00143
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 26 31 0.456 0.550 0.366 -0.00071
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 26 31 0.456 0.550 0.366 -0.00071
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 26 31 0.456 0.550 0.366 -0.00071
Central Michigan neutral 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312 -0.00176
Stetson Stetson 28 29 0.491 0.518 0.375 -0.00053
Villanova neutral 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00173
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00088
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 43 15 0.741 0.557 0.510 0.00212
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00088
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 43 15 0.741 0.557 0.510 0.00212
Northern Illinois neutral 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00141
Northern Illinois neutral 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00141
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00006
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00006
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00227
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385 -0.00033
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385 -0.00033
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385 -0.00033
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00076
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.519 0.454 0.00102
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.519 0.454 0.00102
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.519 0.454 0.00102
Eastern Illinois Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00322
Iowa Iowa 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 -0.00014
Iowa Iowa 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 -0.00014
Iowa Iowa 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 -0.00014
Illinois State Illinois 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00227
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00137
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00137
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00137
Eastern Illinois neutral 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00322
Ohio State Illinois 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00124
Ohio State Illinois 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00124
Ohio State Illinois 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00124
Minnesota Illinois 32 20 0.615 0.517 0.437 0.00069
Minnesota Illinois 32 20 0.615 0.517 0.437 0.00069
Minnesota Illinois 32 20 0.615 0.517 0.437 0.00069
Missouri neutral 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00067
Southern Illinois Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00006
Maryland Maryland 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 0.00016
Maryland Maryland 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 0.00016
Maryland Maryland 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410 0.00016
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00016
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00016
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00016
Michigan Illinois 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452 0.00098
Michigan Illinois 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452 0.00098
Michigan Illinois 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452 0.00098

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Bradley 82.76 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399
Butler 110.55 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Chicago State 116.46 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222
Eastern Illinois 42.82 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Illinois State 49.82 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342
Indiana 111.07 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 60.75 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
Northern Illinois 130.22 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 139.02 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263
Purdue 71.86 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 147.03 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Valparaiso 113.10 29 27 0.518 0.488 0.381
Western Illinois 132.09 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Belmont 284.25 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Bowling Green State 256.61 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Central Michigan 298.82 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312
Cincinnati 208.76 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 214.81 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Eastern Michigan 281.06 22 35 0.386 0.498 0.318
Evansville 151.25 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
IPFW 178.51 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Iowa 204.57 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395
Kentucky 245.94 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418
Lipscomb 286.73 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisville 185.87 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Miami, Ohio 189.92 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 277.32 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452
Michigan State 265.87 36 18 0.667 0.487 0.455
Missouri 233.22 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Morehead State 289.00 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
Murray State 240.07 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
Northern Kentucky 213.66 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Notre Dame 152.08 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Ohio State 275.24 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern Illinois 173.69 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294
Toledo 264.57 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Vanderbilt 283.89 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Western Kentucky 235.39 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356
Western Michigan 203.68 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383
Wright State 222.58 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487
Xavier 210.13 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

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