Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.479
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
New Mexico State neutral 6 31 0.162 0.484 0.202 -0.00434
New Mexico State neutral 6 31 0.162 0.484 0.202 -0.00434
Lamar Lamar 19 22 0.463 0.444 0.343 -0.00072
Lamar Lamar 19 22 0.463 0.444 0.343 -0.00072
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 0.00074
Fordham neutral 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00103
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00146
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00146
West Virginia neutral 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419 0.00122
Kent State neutral 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00110
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00289
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 14 0.659 0.576 0.474 0.00263
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 14 0.659 0.576 0.474 0.00263
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 14 0.659 0.576 0.474 0.00263
Chicago State Illinois 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226 -0.00372
Southern Illinois Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00326
Southern Illinois Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00326
Southern Illinois Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00326
South Florida Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00276
South Florida Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00276
South Florida Illinois 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00276
Kent State Illinois 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00110
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00140
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00140
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00140
Missouri neutral 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446 0.00192
Northwestern Illinois 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00180
Northwestern Illinois 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00180
Northwestern Illinois 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00180
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00388
St. Louis Illinois 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460 0.00228
Purdue Illinois 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00221
Purdue Illinois 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00221
Purdue Illinois 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00221
Illinois State Illinois State 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368 -0.00008
Indiana Illinois 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00169
Indiana Illinois 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00169
Eastern Illinois Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00388
Penn State Penn State 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00142
Penn State Penn State 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00142
Penn State Penn State 13 24 0.351 0.560 0.316 -0.00142

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bradley 82.76 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Butler 110.55 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Chicago State 116.46 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Eastern Illinois 42.82 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Illinois State 49.82 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana 111.07 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 60.75 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Northern Illinois 130.22 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 139.02 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Purdue 71.86 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 147.03 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Valparaiso 113.10 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Western Illinois 132.09 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 284.25 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bowling Green State 256.61 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Central Michigan 298.82 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Cincinnati 208.76 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 214.81 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Eastern Michigan 281.06 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 151.25 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
IPFW 178.51 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Iowa 204.57 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Kentucky 245.94 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Lipscomb 286.73 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisville 185.87 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 189.92 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Michigan 277.32 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 265.87 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Missouri 233.22 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446
Morehead State 289.00 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Murray State 240.07 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Northern Kentucky 213.66 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Notre Dame 152.08 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Ohio State 275.24 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 173.69 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Toledo 264.57 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Vanderbilt 283.89 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 235.39 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Western Michigan 203.68 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413
Wright State 222.58 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 210.13 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation