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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.513
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
New Mexico State neutral 23 31 0.426 0.431 0.321 -0.00119
New Mexico State neutral 23 31 0.426 0.431 0.321 -0.00119
Lamar Lamar 31 25 0.554 0.479 0.397 0.00024
Lamar Lamar 31 25 0.554 0.479 0.397 0.00024
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 39 22 0.639 0.484 0.441 0.00107
Fordham neutral 24 30 0.444 0.463 0.338 -0.00087
Ball State neutral 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455 0.00133
Ball State neutral 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455 0.00133
West Virginia neutral 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397 0.00024
Kent State neutral 35 23 0.603 0.456 0.415 0.00058

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Bradley 82.76 22 27 0.449 0.504 0.351
Butler 110.55 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Chicago State 116.46 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
Eastern Illinois 42.82 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Illinois State 49.82 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Indiana 111.07 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Indiana State 60.75 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Northern Illinois 130.22 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Northwestern 139.02 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294
Purdue 71.86 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 20 32 0.385 0.469 0.310
St. Louis 147.03 34 21 0.618 0.434 0.417
Valparaiso 113.10 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Western Illinois 132.09 20 31 0.392 0.477 0.315

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Belmont 284.25 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Bowling Green State 256.61 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Central Michigan 298.82 34 23 0.596 0.455 0.412
Cincinnati 208.76 22 31 0.415 0.518 0.337
Dayton 214.81 23 30 0.434 0.468 0.334
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
Eastern Michigan 281.06 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
Evansville 151.25 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
IPFW 178.51 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Iowa 204.57 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398
Kentucky 245.94 37 25 0.597 0.586 0.445
Lipscomb 286.73 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Louisville 185.87 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Miami, Ohio 189.92 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Michigan 277.32 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Michigan State 265.87 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400
Missouri 233.22 20 33 0.377 0.555 0.327
Morehead State 289.00 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Murray State 240.07 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337
Northern Kentucky 213.66 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Notre Dame 152.08 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Ohio State 275.24 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 36 20 0.643 0.471 0.439
Southern Illinois 173.69 26 31 0.456 0.464 0.344
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 9 42 0.176 0.477 0.207
Toledo 264.57 22 32 0.407 0.488 0.326
Vanderbilt 283.89 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Western Kentucky 235.39 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381
Western Michigan 203.68 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 18 28 0.391 0.410 0.298
Wright State 222.58 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Xavier 210.13 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation