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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:05 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.432
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.347


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
New Mexico State neutral 2 15 0.118 0.559 0.199 -0.00822
New Mexico State neutral 2 15 0.118 0.559 0.199 -0.00822
Lamar Lamar 7 11 0.389 0.459 0.309 -0.00211
Lamar Lamar 7 11 0.389 0.459 0.309 -0.00211
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 8 12 0.400 0.518 0.330 -0.00094
Fordham neutral 4 12 0.250 0.501 0.250 -0.00539
Ball State neutral 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00456
Ball State neutral 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429 0.00456
West Virginia neutral 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405 0.00322
Kent State neutral 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396 0.00272
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466 0.00661
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 13 6 0.684 0.592 0.490 0.00794
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 13 6 0.684 0.592 0.490 0.00794
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 13 6 0.684 0.592 0.490 0.00794
Chicago State Illinois 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259 -0.00489
Southern Illinois Illinois 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208 -0.00772
Southern Illinois Illinois 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208 -0.00772
Southern Illinois Illinois 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208 -0.00772

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429
Bradley 82.76 13 3 0.812 0.541 0.541
Butler 110.55 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Chicago State 116.46 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
Eastern Illinois 42.82 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Illinois State 49.82 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Indiana 111.07 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Indiana State 60.75 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
Northern Illinois 130.22 9 9 0.500 0.408 0.352
Northwestern 139.02 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Purdue 71.86 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 5 9 0.357 0.530 0.311
St. Louis 147.03 12 7 0.632 0.379 0.411
Valparaiso 113.10 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
Western Illinois 132.09 3 10 0.231 0.558 0.255

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 10 5 0.667 0.311 0.411
Belmont 284.25 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366
Bowling Green State 256.61 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Central Michigan 298.82 13 7 0.650 0.436 0.434
Cincinnati 208.76 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Dayton 214.81 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
Eastern Michigan 281.06 6 12 0.333 0.624 0.323
Evansville 151.25 7 8 0.467 0.444 0.345
IPFW 178.51 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Iowa 204.57 9 4 0.692 0.541 0.481
Kentucky 245.94 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Lipscomb 286.73 11 5 0.688 0.432 0.452
Louisville 185.87 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465
Miami, Ohio 189.92 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Michigan 277.32 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402
Michigan State 265.87 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Missouri 233.22 14 4 0.778 0.475 0.508
Morehead State 289.00 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Murray State 240.07 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260
Northern Kentucky 213.66 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Notre Dame 152.08 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Ohio State 275.24 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 8 8 0.500 0.498 0.374
Southern Illinois 173.69 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 3 11 0.214 0.436 0.216
Toledo 264.57 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270
Vanderbilt 283.89 16 4 0.800 0.545 0.536
Western Kentucky 235.39 9 9 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Michigan 203.68 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 10 4 0.714 0.540 0.492
Wright State 222.58 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Xavier 210.13 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation