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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:09 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.510 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.506 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.3815 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Belmont | Belmont | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 | 0.00012 |
Belmont | Belmont | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 | 0.00012 |
Belmont | Belmont | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 | 0.00012 |
Oregon | Oregon | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.536 | 0.398 | 0.00031 |
Oregon | Oregon | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.536 | 0.398 | 0.00031 |
Oregon | Oregon | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.536 | 0.398 | 0.00031 |
Oregon | Oregon | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.536 | 0.398 | 0.00031 |
Indiana | neutral | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00051 |
Ohio State | neutral | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00166 |
Northwestern | neutral | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00221 |
Michigan State | neutral | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00116 |
Florida International | Florida International | 28 | 29 | 0.491 | 0.548 | 0.383 | 0.00003 |
Western Michigan | neutral | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 | -0.00123 |
Central Michigan | neutral | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00127 |
Butler | neutral | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00264 |
St. Louis | St. Louis | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00094 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Illinois State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00001 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Illinois State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00001 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Illinois State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00001 |
Illinois | Illinois State | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00053 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00153 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00153 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00153 |
Eastern Illinois | Illinois State | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00268 |
Xavier | Illinois State | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Xavier | Illinois State | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Xavier | Illinois State | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Valparaiso | Valparaiso | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 | -0.00008 |
Dallas Baptist | Illinois State | 44 | 19 | 0.698 | 0.543 | 0.485 | 0.00192 |
Dallas Baptist | Illinois State | 44 | 19 | 0.698 | 0.543 | 0.485 | 0.00192 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00053 |
Indiana State | Indiana State | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 | 0.00108 |
Indiana State | Indiana State | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 | 0.00108 |
Indiana State | Indiana State | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 | 0.00108 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 | -0.00308 |
Southern Illinois | Illinois State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00042 |
Southern Illinois | Illinois State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00042 |
Southern Illinois | Illinois State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00042 |
Purdue | Illinois State | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 | -0.00295 |
Evansville | Evansville | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 | -0.00003 |
Evansville | Evansville | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 | -0.00003 |
Evansville | Evansville | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 | -0.00003 |
Bradley | Illinois State | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Bradley | Illinois State | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Bradley | Illinois State | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 | 0.00021 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | 0.00001 |
Wichita State | Illinois State | 21 | 37 | 0.362 | 0.550 | 0.319 | -0.00116 |
Wichita State | Illinois State | 21 | 37 | 0.362 | 0.550 | 0.319 | -0.00116 |
Wichita State | Illinois State | 21 | 37 | 0.362 | 0.550 | 0.319 | -0.00116 |
Missouri State | Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00116 |
Missouri State | Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00116 |
Missouri State | Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00116 |
Dallas Baptist | neutral | 44 | 19 | 0.698 | 0.543 | 0.485 | 0.00192 |
Evansville | neutral | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 | -0.00003 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Bradley | 33.57 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Chicago State | 110.14 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
Eastern Illinois | 83.72 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Illinois | 49.82 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois-Chicago | 116.76 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana State | 110.25 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Northern Illinois | 98.78 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northwestern | 126.93 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Purdue | 108.30 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 130.41 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
St. Louis | 145.51 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 |
Valparaiso | 121.60 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Western Illinois | 88.69 | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Austin Peay State | 288.83 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Ball State | 189.47 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Bowling Green State | 286.53 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Butler | 156.49 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Cincinnati | 256.55 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Dayton | 259.05 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Evansville | 192.19 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
IPFW | 207.93 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Indiana | 160.87 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Iowa | 154.83 | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 |
Kentucky | 295.75 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Louisville | 235.28 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 236.14 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Michigan | 298.13 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 278.75 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Missouri | 208.28 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 |
Murray State | 271.43 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
Northern Kentucky | 261.77 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Notre Dame | 165.74 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Southeast Missouri State | 223.12 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 194.57 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Tennessee-Martin | 288.42 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Toledo | 291.99 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
Western Kentucky | 279.72 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Western Michigan | 214.29 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 187.04 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 |
Wright State | 266.33 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 257.80 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |