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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State

Last updated: Fri Jul 1 06:47:27 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.510
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3815


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00012
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00012
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00012
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00031
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00031
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00031
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00031
Indiana neutral 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00051
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00166
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00221
Michigan State neutral 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00116
Florida International Florida International 28 29 0.491 0.548 0.383 0.00003
Western Michigan neutral 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00123
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00127
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00264
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00094
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00001
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00001
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00001
Illinois Illinois State 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00053
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00153
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00153
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00153
Eastern Illinois Illinois State 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00268
Xavier Illinois State 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00021
Xavier Illinois State 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00021
Xavier Illinois State 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00021
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 -0.00008
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00192
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00192
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00053
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00108
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00108
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00108
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00308
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00042
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00042
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00042
Purdue Illinois State 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00295
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00003
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00003
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00003
Bradley Illinois State 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00021
Bradley Illinois State 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00021
Bradley Illinois State 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00021
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00001
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00116
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00116
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00116
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00116
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00116
Missouri State Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00116
Dallas Baptist neutral 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00192
Evansville neutral 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00003

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 33.57 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 110.14 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Eastern Illinois 83.72 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Illinois 49.82 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois-Chicago 116.76 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 110.25 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Northern Illinois 98.78 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 126.93 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Purdue 108.30 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.41 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 145.51 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Valparaiso 121.60 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Illinois 88.69 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 288.83 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Ball State 189.47 32 26 0.552 0.439 0.386
Bowling Green State 286.53 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 156.49 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 256.55 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 259.05 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Evansville 192.19 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
IPFW 207.93 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 160.87 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Iowa 154.83 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Kentucky 295.75 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 235.28 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 236.14 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 298.13 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 278.75 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Missouri 208.28 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Murray State 271.43 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northern Kentucky 261.77 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Notre Dame 165.74 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Southeast Missouri State 223.12 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 194.57 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Tennessee-Martin 288.42 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Toledo 291.99 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Kentucky 279.72 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 214.29 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 187.04 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Wright State 266.33 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 257.80 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation