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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.516
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Belmont Belmont 32 26 0.552 0.452 0.389 0.00009
Belmont Belmont 32 26 0.552 0.452 0.389 0.00009
Belmont Belmont 32 26 0.552 0.452 0.389 0.00009
Oregon Oregon 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00044
Oregon Oregon 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00044
Oregon Oregon 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00044
Oregon Oregon 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00044
Indiana neutral 32 23 0.582 0.498 0.415 0.00057
Ohio State neutral 39 17 0.696 0.491 0.471 0.00161
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263 -0.00225
Michigan State neutral 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451 0.00124
Florida International Florida International 28 28 0.500 0.557 0.389 0.00009
Western Michigan neutral 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00136
Central Michigan neutral 21 36 0.368 0.489 0.306 -0.00145
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.500 0.240 -0.00267
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332 -0.00097
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00014
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00014
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00014
Illinois Illinois State 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00050
Tulane Tulane 38 18 0.679 0.530 0.472 0.00162
Tulane Tulane 38 18 0.679 0.530 0.472 0.00162
Tulane Tulane 38 18 0.679 0.530 0.472 0.00162
Eastern Illinois Illinois State 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00271
Xavier Illinois State 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00004
Xavier Illinois State 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00004
Xavier Illinois State 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00004
Valparaiso Valparaiso 28 27 0.509 0.487 0.376 -0.00015
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00179
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00179
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00050
Indiana State Indiana State 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445 0.00113
Indiana State Indiana State 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445 0.00113
Indiana State Indiana State 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445 0.00113
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00312
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410 0.00048
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410 0.00048
Southern Illinois Illinois State 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410 0.00048
Purdue Illinois State 10 44 0.185 0.525 0.224 -0.00297
Evansville Evansville 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380 -0.00008
Evansville Evansville 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380 -0.00008
Evansville Evansville 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380 -0.00008
Bradley Illinois State 25 19 0.568 0.482 0.404 0.00037
Bradley Illinois State 25 19 0.568 0.482 0.404 0.00037
Bradley Illinois State 25 19 0.568 0.482 0.404 0.00037
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392 0.00014
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.556 0.320 -0.00119
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.556 0.320 -0.00119
Wichita State Illinois State 21 37 0.362 0.556 0.320 -0.00119
Missouri State Missouri State 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00100
Missouri State Missouri State 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00100
Missouri State Missouri State 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00100
Dallas Baptist neutral 39 17 0.696 0.533 0.481 0.00179
Evansville neutral 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380 -0.00008

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 33.57 25 19 0.568 0.482 0.404
Chicago State 110.14 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Eastern Illinois 83.72 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Illinois 49.82 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois-Chicago 116.76 24 30 0.444 0.482 0.343
Indiana State 110.25 35 20 0.636 0.509 0.445
Northern Illinois 98.78 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 126.93 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Purdue 108.30 10 44 0.185 0.525 0.224
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.41 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 145.51 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332
Valparaiso 121.60 28 27 0.509 0.487 0.376
Western Illinois 88.69 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 288.83 33 21 0.611 0.498 0.430
Ball State 189.47 32 26 0.552 0.441 0.386
Bowling Green State 286.53 16 37 0.302 0.476 0.270
Butler 156.49 12 40 0.231 0.500 0.240
Cincinnati 256.55 26 30 0.464 0.543 0.368
Dayton 259.05 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Evansville 192.19 27 26 0.509 0.501 0.380
IPFW 207.93 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Indiana 160.87 32 23 0.582 0.498 0.415
Iowa 154.83 25 25 0.500 0.560 0.390
Kentucky 295.75 32 25 0.561 0.551 0.418
Louisville 235.28 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Miami, Ohio 236.14 27 28 0.491 0.468 0.362
Michigan 298.13 36 20 0.643 0.525 0.453
Michigan State 278.75 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451
Missouri 208.28 26 30 0.464 0.544 0.368
Murray State 271.43 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
Northern Kentucky 261.77 20 34 0.370 0.469 0.302
Notre Dame 165.74 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Southeast Missouri State 223.12 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450
Southern Illinois 194.57 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410
Tennessee-Martin 288.42 18 34 0.346 0.484 0.294
Toledo 291.99 19 37 0.339 0.507 0.296
Western Kentucky 279.72 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357
Western Michigan 214.29 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 187.04 29 24 0.547 0.473 0.392
Wright State 266.33 42 15 0.737 0.463 0.484
Xavier 257.80 28 28 0.500 0.528 0.382

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