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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:09 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.542 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.533 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.40425 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Wofford | Wofford | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | -0.00048 |
George Mason | neutral | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00200 |
Dayton | neutral | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00195 |
UC Santa Barbara | neutral | 43 | 20 | 0.683 | 0.554 | 0.480 | 0.00133 |
San Diego State | San Diego State | 21 | 38 | 0.356 | 0.536 | 0.312 | -0.00162 |
Bryant | neutral | 47 | 12 | 0.797 | 0.467 | 0.515 | 0.00194 |
Austin Peay State | Kentucky | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 | 0.00031 |
Buffalo | Kentucky | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00158 |
Buffalo | Kentucky | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00158 |
Buffalo | Kentucky | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00158 |
Cincinnati | Kentucky | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 | -0.00065 |
Murray State | Kentucky | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 | -0.00085 |
South Carolina-Upstate | Kentucky | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00129 |
South Carolina-Upstate | Kentucky | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00129 |
South Carolina-Upstate | Kentucky | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00129 |
Western Kentucky | Kentucky | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 | -0.00086 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Morehead State | Kentucky | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | -0.00020 |
Florida | Kentucky | 52 | 16 | 0.765 | 0.606 | 0.534 | 0.00228 |
Florida | Kentucky | 52 | 16 | 0.765 | 0.606 | 0.534 | 0.00228 |
Florida | Kentucky | 52 | 16 | 0.765 | 0.606 | 0.534 | 0.00228 |
Northern Kentucky | Kentucky | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00181 |
Xavier | Kentucky | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | -0.00020 |
Tennessee | Tennessee | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Tennessee | Tennessee | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Tennessee | Tennessee | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00025 |
Alabama | Kentucky | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 | 0.00015 |
Alabama | Kentucky | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 | 0.00015 |
Alabama | Kentucky | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 | 0.00015 |
Louisville | Kentucky | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00229 |
Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 | 0.00147 |
Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 | 0.00147 |
Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 | 0.00147 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00229 |
Arkansas | Kentucky | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00057 |
Arkansas | Kentucky | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00057 |
Arkansas | Kentucky | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00057 |
Dayton | Kentucky | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00195 |
Miami, Ohio | Kentucky | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 | -0.00083 |
Auburn | Auburn | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00102 |
Auburn | Auburn | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00102 |
Auburn | Auburn | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00102 |
Eastern Kentucky | Kentucky | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 | -0.00120 |
South Carolina | Kentucky | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00170 |
South Carolina | Kentucky | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00170 |
South Carolina | Kentucky | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00170 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00008 |
Mississippi | Mississippi | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00154 |
Mississippi | Mississippi | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00154 |
Mississippi | Mississippi | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00154 |
Murray State | neutral | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 | -0.00085 |
Missouri | Kentucky | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 | -0.00067 |
Missouri | Kentucky | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 | -0.00067 |
Missouri | Kentucky | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 | -0.00067 |
Alabama | neutral | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 | 0.00015 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Cincinnati | 76.14 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Dayton | 119.00 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Eastern Kentucky | 22.87 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
Indiana | 134.88 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Louisville | 69.79 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 103.41 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 59.42 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Northern Kentucky | 69.15 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Tennessee | 146.99 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 139.53 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Western Kentucky | 129.51 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Wright State | 123.83 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 77.58 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 263.82 | 0.000 | ||||
Alabama A&M | 252.36 | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 |
Appalachian State | 199.06 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Austin Peay State | 187.80 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Ball State | 159.20 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Belmont | 181.11 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Bowling Green State | 236.24 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Butler | 154.34 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Clemson | 248.92 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Davidson | 267.13 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
East Tennessee State | 167.00 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Eastern Illinois | 222.27 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Eastern Michigan | 295.68 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
Evansville | 165.25 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Furman | 243.10 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Gardner-Webb | 248.18 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
Georgia | 289.20 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia Tech | 293.74 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 |
High Point | 286.05 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
IPFW | 215.99 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Illinois | 245.94 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 295.75 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Indiana State | 186.43 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Jacksonville State | 299.03 | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 |
Kennesaw State | 275.99 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.487 | 0.381 |
Kent State | 272.69 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Liberty | 294.44 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Lipscomb | 183.78 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Marshall | 157.63 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Michigan | 295.67 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Middle Tennessee State | 182.35 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Murray State | 231.15 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
North Carolina A&T | 293.03 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 197.74 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 280.52 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 291.65 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
Notre Dame | 269.55 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Ohio | 156.98 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 158.12 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Pittsburgh | 294.44 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Presbyterian | 286.75 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
Purdue | 211.69 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Radford | 225.33 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 251.67 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
Southeast Missouri State | 279.88 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 258.52 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Tennessee-Martin | 267.32 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Toledo | 254.23 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
VMI | 276.20 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Valparaiso | 272.70 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Vanderbilt | 182.06 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Virginia Tech | 229.87 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 268.26 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
West Virginia | 267.50 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 202.03 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Western Michigan | 299.85 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Winthrop | 287.53 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Wofford | 255.48 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
Youngstown State | 297.08 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |