Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.616
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.533
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.44125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia neutral 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00216
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00103
VMI neutral 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 -0.00090
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00360
St. Joseph's neutral 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00078
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 -0.00005
St. John's neutral 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00006
Wright State Kentucky 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 -0.00035
Eastern Michigan Kentucky 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00364
Eastern Michigan Kentucky 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00364
Eastern Michigan Kentucky 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00364
Cincinnati Kentucky 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00218
Cincinnati Kentucky 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00218
Ball State Kentucky 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00025
Ball State Kentucky 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00025
Ball State Kentucky 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00025
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00134
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00038
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00038
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00038
Western Kentucky Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 -0.00071
South Carolina Kentucky 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00134
South Carolina Kentucky 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00134
South Carolina Kentucky 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00134
Xavier Kentucky 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00113
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00144
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00144
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00144
Louisville Kentucky 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00176
Florida Kentucky 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00110
Florida Kentucky 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00110
Florida Kentucky 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00110
Morehead State Kentucky 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 -0.00154
Missouri Kentucky 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00188
Missouri Kentucky 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00188
Missouri Kentucky 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00188
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00176
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00014
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00014
Texas A&M Texas A&M 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00014
Tennessee Tech Kentucky 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00057
Mississippi Kentucky 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00119
Mississippi Kentucky 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00119
Mississippi Kentucky 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00119
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 -0.00001
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 -0.00001
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 -0.00001

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 119.00 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Indiana 134.88 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Louisville 69.79 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 103.41 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 59.42 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 69.15 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Tennessee 146.99 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 139.53 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Western Kentucky 129.51 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wright State 123.83 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 77.58 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Alabama A&M 252.36 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Appalachian State 199.06 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Austin Peay State 187.80 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Ball State 159.20 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Belmont 181.11 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 236.24 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 154.34 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Clemson 248.92 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 267.13 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 167.00 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 222.27 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 295.68 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 165.25 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Furman 243.10 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 248.18 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 289.20 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Tech 293.74 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
High Point 286.05 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
IPFW 215.99 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 245.94 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 295.75 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Indiana State 186.43 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Jacksonville State 299.03 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kennesaw State 275.99 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kent State 272.69 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Liberty 294.44 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 183.78 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 157.63 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Michigan 295.67 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 231.15 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina A&T 293.03 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Notre Dame 269.55 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Ohio 156.98 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 158.12 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Pittsburgh 294.44 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Presbyterian 286.75 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Purdue 211.69 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 225.33 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 258.52 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Toledo 254.23 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
VMI 276.20 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Valparaiso 272.70 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 182.06 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 229.87 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 268.26 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
West Virginia 267.50 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 202.03 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Michigan 299.85 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Winthrop 287.53 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 255.48 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367
Youngstown State 297.08 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation