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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.556
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.537
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402 -0.00023
George Mason neutral 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00285
Dayton neutral 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00260
UC Santa Barbara neutral 29 10 0.744 0.560 0.512 0.00227
San Diego State San Diego State 12 30 0.286 0.554 0.281 -0.00298
Bryant neutral 33 8 0.805 0.489 0.525 0.00256
Austin Peay State Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443 0.00070
Buffalo Kentucky 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281 -0.00298
Buffalo Kentucky 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281 -0.00298
Buffalo Kentucky 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281 -0.00298
Cincinnati Kentucky 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381 -0.00071
Murray State Kentucky 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359 -0.00121
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333 -0.00180
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333 -0.00180
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333 -0.00180
Western Kentucky Kentucky 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404 -0.00019
Georgia Georgia 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407 -0.00012
Georgia Georgia 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407 -0.00012
Georgia Georgia 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407 -0.00012
Morehead State Kentucky 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412 -0.00001
Florida Kentucky 37 7 0.841 0.624 0.577 0.00374
Florida Kentucky 37 7 0.841 0.624 0.577 0.00374
Florida Kentucky 37 7 0.841 0.624 0.577 0.00374
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00266
Xavier Kentucky 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339 -0.00166
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 -0.00016
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 -0.00016
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 -0.00016
Alabama Kentucky 25 20 0.556 0.563 0.419 0.00015
Alabama Kentucky 25 20 0.556 0.563 0.419 0.00015
Alabama Kentucky 25 20 0.556 0.563 0.419 0.00015
Louisville Kentucky 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00295
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521 0.00247
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521 0.00247
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521 0.00247
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00295
Arkansas Kentucky 26 18 0.591 0.542 0.431 0.00043
Arkansas Kentucky 26 18 0.591 0.542 0.431 0.00043
Arkansas Kentucky 26 18 0.591 0.542 0.431 0.00043
Dayton Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00260
Miami, Ohio Kentucky 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367 -0.00103
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 -0.00087
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 -0.00087
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 -0.00087
Eastern Kentucky Kentucky 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338 -0.00169

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Dayton 119.00 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Indiana 134.88 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Louisville 69.79 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Miami, Ohio 103.41 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Morehead State 59.42 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Northern Kentucky 69.15 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Tennessee 146.99 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
Tennessee Tech 139.53 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
Western Kentucky 129.51 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
Wright State 123.83 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 77.58 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 0.000
Alabama A&M 252.36 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217
Appalachian State 199.06 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Austin Peay State 187.80 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Ball State 159.20 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Belmont 181.11 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Bowling Green State 236.24 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Butler 154.34 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Clemson 248.92 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Davidson 267.13 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Tennessee State 167.00 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Eastern Illinois 222.27 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Eastern Michigan 295.68 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336
Evansville 165.25 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411
Furman 243.10 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 248.18 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
Georgia 289.20 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Tech 293.74 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483
High Point 286.05 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
IPFW 215.99 17 23 0.425 0.421 0.318
Illinois 245.94 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 295.75 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Indiana State 186.43 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Jacksonville State 299.03 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456
Kennesaw State 275.99 20 23 0.465 0.501 0.358
Kent State 272.69 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Liberty 294.44 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Lipscomb 183.78 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Marshall 157.63 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Michigan 295.67 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Murray State 231.15 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359
North Carolina A&T 293.03 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
Notre Dame 269.55 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio 156.98 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 158.12 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Pittsburgh 294.44 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Presbyterian 286.75 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Purdue 211.69 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Radford 225.33 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479
Southern Illinois 258.52 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Toledo 254.23 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237
VMI 276.20 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Valparaiso 272.70 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Vanderbilt 182.06 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Virginia Tech 229.87 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 268.26 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
West Virginia 267.50 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 202.03 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386
Western Michigan 299.85 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283
Winthrop 287.53 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 255.48 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402
Youngstown State 297.08 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation