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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:42 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.550
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.537
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00057
George Mason neutral 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00207
Dayton neutral 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294 -0.00202
UC Santa Barbara neutral 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479 0.00122
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.540 0.313 -0.00169
Bryant neutral 46 10 0.821 0.465 0.527 0.00207
Austin Peay State Kentucky 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00026
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00165
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00165
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00165
Cincinnati Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00072
Murray State Kentucky 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00092
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331 -0.00137
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331 -0.00137
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331 -0.00137
Western Kentucky Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356 -0.00093
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00030
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00030
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392 -0.00030
Morehead State Kentucky 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394 -0.00027
Florida Kentucky 46 12 0.793 0.601 0.547 0.00242
Florida Kentucky 46 12 0.793 0.601 0.547 0.00242
Florida Kentucky 46 12 0.793 0.601 0.547 0.00242
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00188
Xavier Kentucky 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 -0.00039
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00029
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00029
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00029
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00010
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00010
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00010
Louisville Kentucky 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00249
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502 0.00163
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502 0.00163
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502 0.00163
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00249
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00062
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00062
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00062
Dayton Kentucky 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294 -0.00202
Miami, Ohio Kentucky 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00092
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00107
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00107
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.570 0.348 -0.00107
Eastern Kentucky Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337 -0.00127
South Carolina Kentucky 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00177
South Carolina Kentucky 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00177
South Carolina Kentucky 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00177
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00001
Mississippi Mississippi 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00177
Mississippi Mississippi 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00177
Mississippi Mississippi 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00177
Murray State neutral 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00092
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00072
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00072
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00072
Alabama neutral 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415 0.00010

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 119.00 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Indiana 134.88 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Louisville 69.79 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Miami, Ohio 103.41 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 59.42 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
Northern Kentucky 69.15 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Tennessee 146.99 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 139.53 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Western Kentucky 129.51 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356
Wright State 123.83 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487
Xavier 77.58 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 0.000
Alabama A&M 252.36 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Appalachian State 199.06 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291
Austin Peay State 187.80 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Ball State 159.20 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Belmont 181.11 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Bowling Green State 236.24 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 154.34 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Clemson 248.92 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491
Davidson 267.13 28 25 0.528 0.489 0.386
East Tennessee State 167.00 27 30 0.474 0.432 0.345
Eastern Illinois 222.27 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Michigan 295.68 22 35 0.386 0.498 0.318
Evansville 165.25 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
Furman 243.10 29 29 0.500 0.529 0.382
Gardner-Webb 248.18 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
Georgia 289.20 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392
Georgia Tech 293.74 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
High Point 286.05 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
IPFW 215.99 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Illinois 245.94 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois State 295.75 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286
Indiana State 186.43 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
Jacksonville State 299.03 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428
Kennesaw State 275.99 29 27 0.518 0.490 0.382
Kent State 272.69 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501
Liberty 294.44 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398
Lipscomb 183.78 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Marshall 157.63 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446
Michigan 295.67 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Murray State 231.15 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
North Carolina A&T 293.03 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 23 32 0.418 0.541 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Notre Dame 269.55 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Ohio 156.98 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 158.12 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Pittsburgh 294.44 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Presbyterian 286.75 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354
Purdue 211.69 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Radford 225.33 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern Illinois 258.52 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294
Toledo 254.23 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
VMI 276.20 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Valparaiso 272.70 29 27 0.518 0.488 0.381
Vanderbilt 182.06 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Virginia Tech 229.87 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304
Wake Forest 268.26 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434
West Virginia 267.50 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Western Carolina 202.03 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376
Western Michigan 299.85 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Winthrop 287.53 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 255.48 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377
Youngstown State 297.08 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation