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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Tue Jun 28 06:47:36 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.542
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.533
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 -0.00048
George Mason neutral 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00200
Dayton neutral 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00195
UC Santa Barbara neutral 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00133
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00162
Bryant neutral 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515 0.00194
Austin Peay State Kentucky 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00031
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00158
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00158
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00158
Cincinnati Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00065
Murray State Kentucky 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00085
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00129
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00129
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00129
Western Kentucky Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 -0.00086
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00025
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00025
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00025
Morehead State Kentucky 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00020
Florida Kentucky 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00228
Florida Kentucky 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00228
Florida Kentucky 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00228
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00181
Xavier Kentucky 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 -0.00020
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00025
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00025
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00025
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00015
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00015
Alabama Kentucky 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00015
Louisville Kentucky 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00229
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00147
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00147
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00147
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00229
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00057
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00057
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00057
Dayton Kentucky 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00195
Miami, Ohio Kentucky 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00083
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00102
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00102
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00102
Eastern Kentucky Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00120
South Carolina Kentucky 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00170
South Carolina Kentucky 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00170
South Carolina Kentucky 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00170
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00008
Mississippi Mississippi 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00154
Mississippi Mississippi 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00154
Mississippi Mississippi 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00154
Murray State neutral 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00085
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00067
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00067
Missouri Kentucky 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00067
Alabama neutral 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00015

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 119.00 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Indiana 134.88 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Louisville 69.79 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 103.41 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 59.42 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 69.15 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Tennessee 146.99 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 139.53 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Western Kentucky 129.51 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Wright State 123.83 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 77.58 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 0.000
Alabama A&M 252.36 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Appalachian State 199.06 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 187.80 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Ball State 159.20 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Belmont 181.11 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 236.24 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 154.34 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Clemson 248.92 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Davidson 267.13 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
East Tennessee State 167.00 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 222.27 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 295.68 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 165.25 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Furman 243.10 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 248.18 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 289.20 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Tech 293.74 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
High Point 286.05 32 24 0.571 0.514 0.414
IPFW 215.99 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 245.94 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 295.75 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Indiana State 186.43 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Jacksonville State 299.03 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Kennesaw State 275.99 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kent State 272.69 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Liberty 294.44 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Lipscomb 183.78 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 157.63 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 295.67 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 231.15 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina A&T 293.03 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Notre Dame 269.55 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Ohio 156.98 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 158.12 44 20 0.688 0.511 0.472
Pittsburgh 294.44 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Presbyterian 286.75 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Purdue 211.69 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 225.33 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 258.52 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Toledo 254.23 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
VMI 276.20 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 272.70 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 182.06 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 229.87 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 268.26 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
West Virginia 267.50 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 202.03 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Michigan 299.85 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Winthrop 287.53 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 255.48 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Youngstown State 297.08 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation