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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Longwood
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:11 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.473 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.489 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.35875 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00156 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00156 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00156 |
Wagner | Longwood | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00106 |
Wagner | Longwood | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00106 |
Wagner | Longwood | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00106 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Longwood | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00165 |
VMI | VMI | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00089 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | Longwood | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | Longwood | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | Longwood | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00299 |
Morehead State | Morehead State | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00058 |
Hofstra | Longwood | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00157 |
Hofstra | Longwood | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00157 |
Hofstra | Longwood | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00157 |
George Mason | George Mason | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00117 |
Coastal Carolina | Longwood | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00275 |
Coastal Carolina | Longwood | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00275 |
Coastal Carolina | Longwood | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00275 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00165 |
Radford | Longwood | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 | -0.00103 |
Radford | Longwood | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 | -0.00103 |
Radford | Longwood | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 | -0.00103 |
Norfolk State | Longwood | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 | 0.00039 |
VMI | Longwood | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00089 |
Charleston Southern | Charleston Southern | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 | -0.00093 |
Charleston Southern | Charleston Southern | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 | -0.00093 |
Charleston Southern | Charleston Southern | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 | -0.00093 |
North Carolina Central | Longwood | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 | -0.00064 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00094 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00094 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00094 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00173 |
Savannah State | Longwood | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00223 |
Savannah State | Longwood | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00223 |
Savannah State | Longwood | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00223 |
North Carolina Central | North Carolina Central | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 | -0.00064 |
Campbell | Longwood | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | 0.00024 |
Campbell | Longwood | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | 0.00024 |
Campbell | Longwood | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | 0.00024 |
Norfolk State | Norfolk State | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 | 0.00039 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00008 |
North Carolina-Asheville | Longwood | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00171 |
North Carolina-Asheville | Longwood | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00171 |
North Carolina-Asheville | Longwood | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00171 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00128 |
Winthrop | Winthrop | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00026 |
Winthrop | Winthrop | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00026 |
Winthrop | Winthrop | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00026 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00117 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00117 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00117 |
Winthrop | neutral | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00026 |
Liberty | neutral | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 | 0.00058 |
High Point | neutral | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00094 |
Coastal Carolina | neutral | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00275 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Campbell | 131.48 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Duke | 94.59 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 130.65 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
Elon | 102.46 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
George Mason | 121.57 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 128.54 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 137.81 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
High Point | 127.13 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
James Madison | 83.88 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Liberty | 43.27 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Maryland | 141.26 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Norfolk State | 121.62 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina | 102.37 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 113.54 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina Central | 93.49 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 105.29 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 115.52 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
Old Dominion | 118.47 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Radford | 118.40 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 50.89 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
VMI | 66.75 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 52.37 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 54.66 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
Virginia Tech | 111.61 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 130.50 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
William and Mary | 91.44 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 197.21 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Bucknell | 265.32 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 |
Coastal Carolina | 249.01 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
Coppin State | 157.59 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Davidson | 183.77 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Delaware | 217.53 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
Delaware State | 202.44 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Tennessee State | 229.77 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Furman | 279.01 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Gardner-Webb | 230.85 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
LaSalle | 257.91 | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 |
Lafayette | 292.17 | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 |
Lehigh | 279.81 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.443 | 0.332 |
Marshall | 190.67 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 163.26 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 161.09 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Morehead State | 281.70 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Mount St. Mary's | 174.31 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 156.05 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 259.24 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 189.28 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 214.23 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Ohio | 245.32 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Penn State | 244.86 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 |
Pennsylvania | 251.80 | 19 | 22 | 0.463 | 0.434 | 0.340 |
Pittsburgh | 233.53 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Presbyterian | 275.59 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
Princeton | 291.83 | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 |
Rider | 285.03 | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 0.450 | 0.289 |
South Carolina | 272.58 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 254.49 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
St. Joseph's | 252.48 | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 |
Temple | 262.85 | 0.000 | ||||
Towson | 174.38 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
Villanova | 257.42 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 |
West Virginia | 184.14 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 299.85 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Winthrop | 218.46 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Wofford | 254.78 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
Youngstown State | 299.06 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |