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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.542
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.529
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
West Virginia neutral 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00087
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00147
Delaware neutral 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00041
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00115
Western Michigan Louisville 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00149
Western Michigan Louisville 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00149
Western Michigan Louisville 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00149
Eastern Illinois Louisville 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00198
Toledo Louisville 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00141
Indiana Louisville 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00206
Toledo Louisville 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00141
Miami, Ohio Louisville 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00060
Miami, Ohio Louisville 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00060
Miami, Ohio Louisville 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 -0.00060
Western Illinois Louisville 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00149
Western Illinois Louisville 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00149
Samford Louisville 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00053
Samford Louisville 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00053
Samford Louisville 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00053
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00206
Rutgers Louisville 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 -0.00023
Rutgers Louisville 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 -0.00023
Rutgers Louisville 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 -0.00023
Western Kentucky neutral 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00010
Xavier Louisville 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00031
Butler Louisville 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00213
Xavier Louisville 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00031
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00099
Memphis Louisville 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00031
Memphis Louisville 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00031
Memphis Louisville 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 -0.00031
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00258
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00224
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00224
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00224
Kentucky Louisville 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00099
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00079
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00079
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00079
Western Kentucky Louisville 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00010
Morehead State Louisville 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 -0.00070
Connecticut Louisville 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00066
Connecticut Louisville 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00066
Connecticut Louisville 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00066
Ohio State Louisville 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00010
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 -0.00037
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 -0.00037
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 -0.00037
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509 0.00216

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Ball State 140.21 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Butler 115.38 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Cincinnati 92.81 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 134.81 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Evansville 97.59 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Indiana 78.50 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 125.12 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kentucky 69.79 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Miami, Ohio 105.96 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 126.86 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 90.19 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Tennessee Tech 140.80 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Western Kentucky 92.70 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wright State 142.80 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 95.23 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Appalachian State 262.87 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Belmont 153.17 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 246.87 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Bradley 266.94 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Chicago State 261.45 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Clemson 292.55 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
East Tennessee State 228.17 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 157.07 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Furman 292.24 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
IPFW 204.30 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 185.87 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 235.28 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Kennesaw State 295.69 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Lipscomb 156.12 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 224.62 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 177.79 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Northwestern 285.65 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 242.44 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Ohio 211.45 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 192.50 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Purdue 166.60 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 294.99 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 191.56 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 243.58 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee 185.77 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Toledo 263.68 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Valparaiso 234.76 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 153.68 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 299.62 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Western Carolina 246.33 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Michigan 281.96 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation