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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Mon May 23 07:00:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.582
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.550
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4285


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00379
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00379
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00379
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00162
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00133
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00133
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00133
Morehead State Louisville 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398 -0.00054
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 -0.00044
Longwood Louisville 30 25 0.545 0.468 0.390 -0.00069
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00076
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00076
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00076
Xavier Louisville 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00090
Wright State Louisville 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00097
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.600 0.552 0.00221
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.600 0.552 0.00221
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.600 0.552 0.00221
Purdue Purdue 9 44 0.170 0.527 0.217 -0.00378
Virginia Louisville 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00092
Virginia Louisville 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00092
Virginia Louisville 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00092
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00128
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00222
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00222
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00222
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00074
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00074
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00074
Western Kentucky Louisville 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00128
Kentucky Kentucky 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 -0.00008
Clemson Louisville 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00101
Clemson Louisville 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00101
Clemson Louisville 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00101
Kentucky Louisville 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424 -0.00008
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00029
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00029
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00029
Florida International Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.556 0.389 -0.00071
St. John's Louisville 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 -0.00076
St. John's Louisville 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 -0.00076
St. John's Louisville 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 -0.00076
Cincinnati Louisville 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376 -0.00094
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00056
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00056
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00056
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.568 0.508 0.00142
North Carolina State Louisville 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00094
North Carolina State Louisville 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00094
North Carolina State Louisville 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00094
Indiana Louisville 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 -0.00021
Wake Forest Wake Forest 32 23 0.582 0.563 0.432 0.00006
Wake Forest Wake Forest 32 23 0.582 0.563 0.432 0.00006
Wake Forest Wake Forest 32 23 0.582 0.563 0.432 0.00006

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Ball State 140.21 32 24 0.571 0.441 0.396
Butler 115.38 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Cincinnati 92.81 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 134.81 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Evansville 97.59 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Indiana 78.50 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 125.12 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Kentucky 69.79 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424
Miami, Ohio 105.96 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 126.86 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Northern Kentucky 90.19 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Tennessee Tech 140.80 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Western Kentucky 92.70 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Wright State 142.80 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 95.23 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Appalachian State 262.87 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Belmont 153.17 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bowling Green State 246.87 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Bradley 266.94 23 19 0.548 0.481 0.394
Chicago State 261.45 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222
Clemson 292.55 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
East Tennessee State 228.17 26 28 0.481 0.428 0.347
Eastern Illinois 157.07 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Furman 292.24 27 28 0.491 0.527 0.377
IPFW 204.30 27 24 0.529 0.401 0.365
Illinois 185.87 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 235.28 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 23 28 0.451 0.480 0.346
Kennesaw State 295.69 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Lipscomb 156.12 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Marshall 224.62 32 19 0.627 0.522 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Murray State 177.79 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
Northwestern 285.65 15 38 0.283 0.489 0.264
Notre Dame 242.44 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Ohio 211.45 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 192.50 38 17 0.691 0.487 0.467
Purdue 166.60 9 44 0.170 0.527 0.217
Radford 294.99 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 191.56 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 243.58 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Tennessee 185.77 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Toledo 263.68 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Valparaiso 234.76 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Vanderbilt 153.68 41 15 0.732 0.568 0.508
Virginia Tech 299.62 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Western Carolina 246.33 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Western Michigan 281.96 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation