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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.578
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.547
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247 -0.00397
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247 -0.00397
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247 -0.00397
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00179
Mississippi Mississippi 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00198
Mississippi Mississippi 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00198
Mississippi Mississippi 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515 0.00198
Morehead State Louisville 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 -0.00048
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 -0.00048
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 -0.00048
Longwood Louisville 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 -0.00062
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Xavier Louisville 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00193
Wright State Louisville 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464 0.00085
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.595 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.595 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.595 0.546 0.00267
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00455
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00105
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00105
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00105
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400 -0.00057
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00163
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00163
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00163
Western Kentucky Louisville 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400 -0.00057
Kentucky Kentucky 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00029
Clemson Louisville 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00109
Clemson Louisville 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00109
Clemson Louisville 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475 0.00109
Kentucky Louisville 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439 0.00029
Boston College Boston College 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00005
Boston College Boston College 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00005
Boston College Boston College 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00005
Florida International Louisville 21 24 0.467 0.559 0.373 -0.00117
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00095
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00095
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00095
Cincinnati Louisville 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376 -0.00111

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442
Ball State 140.21 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Butler 115.38 10 31 0.244 0.464 0.238
Cincinnati 92.81 21 23 0.477 0.551 0.376
Dayton 134.81 16 29 0.356 0.481 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345
Evansville 97.59 24 17 0.585 0.494 0.416
Indiana 78.50 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 125.12 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Kentucky 69.79 27 18 0.600 0.554 0.439
Miami, Ohio 105.96 21 22 0.488 0.493 0.367
Morehead State 126.86 25 20 0.556 0.511 0.406
Northern Kentucky 90.19 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Tennessee Tech 140.80 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
Western Kentucky 92.70 24 21 0.533 0.532 0.400
Wright State 142.80 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 95.23 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216
Appalachian State 262.87 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279
Belmont 153.17 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391
Bowling Green State 246.87 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Bradley 266.94 17 16 0.515 0.475 0.376
Chicago State 261.45 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Clemson 292.55 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475
East Tennessee State 228.17 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Eastern Illinois 157.07 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Furman 292.24 20 24 0.455 0.546 0.364
IPFW 204.30 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 185.87 22 19 0.537 0.530 0.401
Illinois State 235.28 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 18 23 0.439 0.467 0.336
Kennesaw State 295.69 20 23 0.465 0.502 0.358
Lipscomb 156.12 23 21 0.523 0.442 0.372
Marshall 224.62 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Murray State 177.79 20 23 0.465 0.485 0.354
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279
Northwestern 285.65 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Notre Dame 242.44 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio 211.45 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 192.50 28 15 0.651 0.454 0.439
Purdue 166.60 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Radford 294.99 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 30 13 0.698 0.486 0.470
Southern Illinois 191.56 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 243.58 19 25 0.432 0.439 0.326
Tennessee 185.77 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 14 27 0.341 0.472 0.288
Toledo 263.68 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
Valparaiso 234.76 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367
Vanderbilt 153.68 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523
Virginia Tech 299.62 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Western Carolina 246.33 22 21 0.512 0.522 0.387
Western Michigan 281.96 13 26 0.333 0.463 0.282

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation