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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Memphis

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:43 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 0.00017
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 0.00017
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 0.00017
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00283
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00283
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00283
Mississippi Mississippi 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00215
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00074
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00074
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00074
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319 -0.00109
Middle Tennessee State neutral 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319 -0.00109
Missouri State Memphis 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00105
Missouri State Memphis 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00105
Missouri State Memphis 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00105
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Memphis 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00083
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00246
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00246
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00246
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00044
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00037
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00037
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00037
Arkansas State Memphis 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 0.00005
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.543 0.356 -0.00046
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.543 0.356 -0.00046
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.543 0.356 -0.00046
Arkansas Memphis 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00016
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.532 0.344 -0.00067
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.532 0.344 -0.00067
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.532 0.344 -0.00067
Austin Peay State Memphis 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00069
Mississippi State Mississippi State 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503 0.00203
East Carolina Memphis 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00108
East Carolina Memphis 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00108
East Carolina Memphis 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00108
Mississippi Memphis 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510 0.00215
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Belmont Belmont 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00017
Belmont Memphis 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00017
Connecticut Memphis 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088
Connecticut Memphis 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088
Connecticut Memphis 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00098
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00098
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00098
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 0.00005
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00156
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00156
Tulane Tulane 39 18 0.684 0.530 0.475 0.00156
Tennessee-Martin neutral 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294 -0.00151
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00026
Connecticut neutral 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088
East Carolina neutral 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00108
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.532 0.344 -0.00067
Connecticut neutral 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088
Connecticut neutral 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435 0.00088

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 66.06 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386
Arkansas-Little Rock 138.65 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 132.47 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Central Arkansas 143.28 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391
Mississippi 55.88 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510
Mississippi State 130.38 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503
Murray State 138.39 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
Tennessee-Martin 104.12 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 189.21 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415
Alabama A&M 190.85 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama State 282.03 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 209.05 21 34 0.382 0.557 0.330
Alcorn State 233.62 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Arkansas 247.98 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374
Austin Peay State 174.81 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Belmont 190.58 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Evansville 238.86 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
Grambling State 239.23 17 27 0.386 0.396 0.292
Jackson State 194.50 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Jacksonville State 252.28 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428
Lipscomb 188.74 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisiana Tech 236.76 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474
Louisiana-Monroe 215.83 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320
Middle Tennessee State 206.84 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Missouri 296.41 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Missouri State 237.14 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445
Northwestern State 295.12 33 24 0.579 0.547 0.426
Samford 211.49 34 25 0.576 0.494 0.411
Southeast Missouri State 154.30 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern Illinois 184.02 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 255.45 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
Southern Mississippi 262.60 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477
St. Louis 244.64 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Tennessee Tech 258.63 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Vanderbilt 189.29 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Western Kentucky 233.13 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation