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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Memphis

Last updated: Fri Jun 24 06:43:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00013
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00013
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00013
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00274
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00274
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Memphis 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00274
Mississippi Mississippi 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00180
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00072
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00072
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00072
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00107
Middle Tennessee State neutral 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00107
Missouri State Memphis 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444 0.00101
Missouri State Memphis 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444 0.00101
Missouri State Memphis 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444 0.00101
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Memphis 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334 -0.00079
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00238
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00238
Eastern Illinois Memphis 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00238
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00043
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00036
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00036
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00036
Arkansas State Memphis 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00002
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00045
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00045
Central Florida Memphis 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00045
Arkansas Memphis 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372 -0.00017
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00066
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00066
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00066
Austin Peay State Memphis 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00065
Mississippi State Mississippi State 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00188
East Carolina Memphis 38 23 0.623 0.559 0.451 0.00113
East Carolina Memphis 38 23 0.623 0.559 0.451 0.00113
East Carolina Memphis 38 23 0.623 0.559 0.451 0.00113
Mississippi Memphis 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00180
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Belmont Belmont 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00009
Belmont Memphis 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00009
Connecticut Memphis 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078
Connecticut Memphis 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078
Connecticut Memphis 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00093
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00093
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00093
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00002
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00134
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00134
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00134
Tennessee-Martin neutral 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00148
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Cincinnati Memphis 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00025
Connecticut neutral 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078
East Carolina neutral 38 23 0.623 0.559 0.451 0.00113
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00066
Connecticut neutral 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078
Connecticut neutral 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00078

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 66.06 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Arkansas-Little Rock 138.65 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 132.47 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
Central Arkansas 143.28 29 27 0.518 0.525 0.390
Mississippi 55.88 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 130.38 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Murray State 138.39 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Tennessee-Martin 104.12 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 189.21 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama A&M 190.85 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama State 282.03 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 209.05 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Alcorn State 233.62 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Arkansas 247.98 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Austin Peay State 174.81 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 190.58 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Evansville 238.86 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Grambling State 239.23 17 27 0.386 0.392 0.291
Jackson State 194.50 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Jacksonville State 252.28 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Lipscomb 188.74 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisiana Tech 236.76 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467
Louisiana-Monroe 215.83 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Middle Tennessee State 206.84 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Missouri 296.41 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Missouri State 237.14 38 21 0.644 0.487 0.444
Northwestern State 295.12 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425
Samford 211.49 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
Southeast Missouri State 154.30 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 184.02 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 255.45 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
Southern Mississippi 262.60 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
St. Louis 244.64 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Tennessee Tech 258.63 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Vanderbilt 189.29 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 233.13 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation