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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan

Last updated: Thu Jun 30 06:47:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00015
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00015
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00015
Canisius neutral 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 -0.00015
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00036
Cal Poly Cal Poly 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403 0.00027
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00075
California California 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00071
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00189
UC Davis UC Davis 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00171
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.532 0.349 -0.00068
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00143
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00143
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00143
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00082
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00082
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00082
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00082
Central Michigan Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00131
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00220
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00220
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00220
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00004
Bowling Green State Michigan 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00208
Minnesota Michigan 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00082
Minnesota Michigan 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00082
Michigan State Michigan State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00099
Eastern Michigan Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00117
Nebraska Michigan 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00097
Nebraska Michigan 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00097
Nebraska Michigan 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00097
Toledo Michigan 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00168
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00013
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00013
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00013
Michigan State Michigan 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00099
Michigan State Michigan State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00099
Michigan State Michigan 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00099
Eastern Michigan Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00117
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00117
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00020
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00020
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00020
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00131
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00146
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00146
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00146
Oakland Michigan 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00085
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00039
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00039
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00039
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00146
Minnesota neutral 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00082
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00146

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 141.64 0.000
Bowling Green State 61.57 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Central Michigan 104.55 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Eastern Michigan 4.84 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
IPFW 105.99 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Kent State 146.41 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Michigan State 49.74 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Notre Dame 133.64 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 38.97 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Toledo 43.95 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Michigan 95.13 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 166.35 32 26 0.552 0.439 0.386
Buffalo 257.10 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Butler 209.68 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Canisius 252.55 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Chicago State 202.10 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Cincinnati 220.56 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 176.67 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Illinois 277.32 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 298.13 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 202.28 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana 258.29 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 271.93 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kentucky 295.67 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Marshall 292.82 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Miami, Ohio 197.24 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 282.02 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Niagara 246.36 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Northern Illinois 259.22 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 227.02 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Northwestern 202.74 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Ohio 220.56 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 160.42 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Pittsburgh 232.79 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 208.59 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
St. Bonaventure 269.40 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
Valparaiso 178.25 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
West Virginia 266.63 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 220.24 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Wright State 172.27 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 218.80 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393
Youngstown State 170.20 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation