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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:23 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.516
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.504
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.384


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius neutral 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 0.00003
Canisius neutral 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 0.00003
Canisius neutral 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 0.00003
Canisius neutral 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385 0.00003
St. Joseph's neutral 22 17 0.564 0.485 0.403 0.00048
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 16 0.610 0.515 0.434 0.00125
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 21 0.475 0.517 0.367 -0.00043
California California 24 15 0.615 0.545 0.444 0.00150
San Jose State San Jose State 14 28 0.333 0.538 0.301 -0.00208
UC Davis UC Davis 11 25 0.306 0.495 0.277 -0.00267
Hawaii Hawaii 17 21 0.447 0.532 0.357 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 17 21 0.447 0.532 0.357 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 17 21 0.447 0.532 0.357 -0.00068
Hawaii Hawaii 17 21 0.447 0.532 0.357 -0.00068
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00198
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00198
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00198
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322 -0.00155
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322 -0.00155
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322 -0.00155
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322 -0.00155
Central Michigan Michigan 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00353
Northwestern Northwestern 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00348
Northwestern Northwestern 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00348
Northwestern Northwestern 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00348
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00140
Bowling Green State Michigan 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287 -0.00243
Minnesota Michigan 24 13 0.649 0.537 0.459 0.00188
Minnesota Michigan 24 13 0.649 0.537 0.459 0.00188
Michigan State Michigan State 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00245
Eastern Michigan Michigan 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344 -0.00100
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00147
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00147
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00147
Toledo Michigan 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228 -0.00390
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00048
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00048
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00048
Michigan State Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00245
Michigan State Michigan State 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00245
Michigan State Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00245

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 141.64 0.000
Bowling Green State 61.57 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Central Michigan 104.55 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Eastern Michigan 4.84 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
IPFW 105.99 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Kent State 146.41 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Michigan State 49.74 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Notre Dame 133.64 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 38.97 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Toledo 43.95 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Western Michigan 95.13 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 166.35 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Buffalo 257.10 13 26 0.333 0.455 0.280
Butler 209.68 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Canisius 252.55 24 19 0.558 0.423 0.385
Chicago State 202.10 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
Cincinnati 220.56 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 176.67 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Illinois 277.32 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 298.13 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 202.28 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Indiana 258.29 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Indiana State 271.93 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Kentucky 295.67 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Marshall 292.82 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Miami, Ohio 197.24 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Morehead State 282.02 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Niagara 246.36 14 26 0.350 0.470 0.292
Northern Illinois 259.22 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northern Kentucky 227.02 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Northwestern 202.74 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Ohio 220.56 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 160.42 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Pittsburgh 232.79 21 16 0.568 0.561 0.424
Purdue 208.59 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
St. Bonaventure 269.40 20 17 0.541 0.383 0.366
Valparaiso 178.25 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
West Virginia 266.63 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 220.24 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360
Wright State 172.27 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 218.80 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327
Youngstown State 170.20 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation