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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Sat Jul 30 06:40:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Presbyterian neutral 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00036
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00007
Fordham neutral 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 -0.00021
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 0.00018
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18 31 0.367 0.476 0.302 -0.00129
Central Florida neutral 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00034
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00179
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00050
Troy neutral 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00059
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00159
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 27 32 0.458 0.545 0.365 -0.00016
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00241
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00061
North Dakota State neutral 24 25 0.490 0.464 0.361 -0.00023
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00057
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00057
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00057
Central Michigan Michigan State 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00109
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00004
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00004
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00004
Oakland Michigan State 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00062
Oregon Michigan State 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00043
Eastern Michigan Michigan State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00095
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00016
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00016
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00016
Michigan Michigan State 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00130
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00109
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00271
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00271
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00271
Notre Dame Michigan State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 0.00020
Western Michigan Michigan State 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00105
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Toledo Michigan State 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00146
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00130
Michigan Michigan State 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00130
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00130
Nebraska Michigan State 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00123
Nebraska Michigan State 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00123
Nebraska Michigan State 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00123
Eastern Michigan neutral 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00095
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00038
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00038
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00038
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00109
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00054
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00054
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00054
Nebraska neutral 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00123
Maryland neutral 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00054
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00173
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00173

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Central Michigan 60.17 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Eastern Michigan 53.90 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
IPFW 115.86 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Michigan 49.74 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Notre Dame 114.21 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 64.98 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Toledo 88.17 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Michigan 64.63 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 0.000
Ball State 180.30 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bradley 298.92 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Buffalo 289.56 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Butler 217.63 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Canisius 285.66 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Chicago State 174.32 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Cincinnati 248.90 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 207.63 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Illinois 295.71 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Illinois 265.87 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 278.75 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana 267.46 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 271.53 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kent State 195.69 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Miami, Ohio 222.77 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Niagara 277.58 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Northern Illinois 225.95 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 255.91 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Northwestern 169.77 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Ohio 266.07 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 202.81 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Pittsburgh 282.04 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 202.95 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Valparaiso 157.25 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Wright State 204.89 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 247.47 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393
Youngstown State 218.40 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation