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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:05 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.547
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
New Mexico neutral 11 6 0.647 0.572 0.467 0.00372
Oregon State neutral 15 5 0.750 0.483 0.496 0.00543
Northwestern neutral 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234 -0.00999
Houston Baptist neutral 9 9 0.500 0.600 0.400 -0.00022
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 9 7 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00060
Southeastern Louisiana neutral 15 6 0.714 0.414 0.460 0.00331
UCLA UCLA 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00743
UCLA UCLA 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00743
UCLA UCLA 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00743
Toledo neutral 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270 -0.00787
Akron neutral 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399 -0.00028
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200 -0.01199
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466 0.00366
Clemson neutral 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411 0.00043
Furman neutral 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359 -0.00263
Connecticut neutral 10 6 0.625 0.481 0.433 0.00172
South Carolina-Upstate neutral 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303 -0.00593

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Central Michigan 60.17 13 7 0.650 0.436 0.434
Eastern Michigan 53.90 6 12 0.333 0.624 0.323
IPFW 115.86 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Michigan 49.74 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402
Notre Dame 114.21 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Oakland 64.98 2 12 0.143 0.708 0.248
Toledo 88.17 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270
Western Michigan 64.63 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399
Ball State 180.30 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429
Bradley 298.92 13 3 0.812 0.541 0.541
Buffalo 289.56 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232
Butler 217.63 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Canisius 285.66 7 11 0.389 0.468 0.311
Chicago State 174.32 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
Cincinnati 248.90 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Dayton 207.63 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262
Eastern Illinois 295.71 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Illinois 265.87 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497
Illinois State 278.75 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Indiana 267.46 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Indiana State 271.53 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
Kent State 195.69 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396
Miami, Ohio 222.77 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Niagara 277.58 2 11 0.154 0.397 0.176
Northern Illinois 225.95 9 9 0.500 0.408 0.352
Northern Kentucky 255.91 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Northwestern 169.77 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Ohio 266.07 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Ohio State 202.81 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Pittsburgh 282.04 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Purdue 202.95 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
Valparaiso 157.25 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 10 4 0.714 0.540 0.492
Wright State 204.89 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Xavier 247.47 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267
Youngstown State 218.40 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation