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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.487
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3715


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Presbyterian neutral 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378 0.00016
Furman Furman 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364 -0.00018
Fordham neutral 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361 -0.00026
Texas State neutral 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 0.00018
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 13 28 0.317 0.491 0.281 -0.00221
Central Florida neutral 22 24 0.478 0.536 0.373 0.00004
Southern Mississippi neutral 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483 0.00272
Auburn neutral 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374 0.00006
Troy neutral 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00111
Illinois State neutral 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00196
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 20 23 0.465 0.563 0.373 0.00004
Butler neutral 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00326
St. Joseph's neutral 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00077
North Dakota State neutral 20 19 0.513 0.487 0.378 0.00016
South Florida South Florida 21 23 0.477 0.514 0.367 -0.00011
South Florida South Florida 21 23 0.477 0.514 0.367 -0.00011
South Florida South Florida 21 23 0.477 0.514 0.367 -0.00011
Central Michigan Michigan State 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00291
Rutgers Michigan State 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392 0.00050
Rutgers Michigan State 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392 0.00050
Rutgers Michigan State 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392 0.00050
Oakland Michigan State 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00011
Oregon Michigan State 21 17 0.553 0.518 0.406 0.00084
Eastern Michigan Michigan State 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336 -0.00087
Penn State Penn State 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00084
Penn State Penn State 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00084
Penn State Penn State 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00084
Michigan Michigan State 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484 0.00274
Central Michigan neutral 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00291
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00367
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00367
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00367
Notre Dame Michigan State 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00128
Western Michigan Michigan State 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283 -0.00216
Indiana Michigan State 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00128
Indiana Michigan State 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00128
Indiana Michigan State 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00128
Toledo Michigan State 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237 -0.00328
Michigan Michigan 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484 0.00274
Michigan Michigan State 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484 0.00274
Michigan Michigan 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484 0.00274

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Central Michigan 60.17 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252
Eastern Michigan 53.90 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336
IPFW 115.86 17 23 0.425 0.421 0.318
Michigan 49.74 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484
Notre Dame 114.21 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Oakland 64.98 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367
Toledo 88.17 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237
Western Michigan 64.63 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 0.000
Ball State 180.30 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Bradley 298.92 17 16 0.515 0.474 0.376
Buffalo 289.56 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281
Butler 217.63 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Canisius 285.66 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388
Chicago State 174.32 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
Cincinnati 248.90 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Dayton 207.63 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Eastern Illinois 295.71 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Illinois 265.87 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 278.75 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana 267.46 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 271.53 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Kent State 195.69 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Miami, Ohio 222.77 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Niagara 277.58 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298
Northern Illinois 225.95 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326
Northern Kentucky 255.91 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Northwestern 169.77 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243
Ohio 266.07 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 202.81 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Pittsburgh 282.04 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Purdue 202.95 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Valparaiso 157.25 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354
Wright State 204.89 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 247.47 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339
Youngstown State 218.40 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation