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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.494
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State neutral 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00111
Wright State neutral 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00111
Wright State neutral 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00111
Utah neutral 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00156
Oregon State neutral 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00364
Washington neutral 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00278
Eastern Illinois neutral 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00153
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00178
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00178
Eastern Illinois neutral 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00153
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00087
Texas Christian Texas Christian 34 13 0.723 0.567 0.503 0.00284
Texas Christian Texas Christian 34 13 0.723 0.567 0.503 0.00284
Texas Christian Texas Christian 34 13 0.723 0.567 0.503 0.00284
Harvard neutral 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259 -0.00258
Harvard neutral 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259 -0.00258
Harvard neutral 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259 -0.00258
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00073
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00073
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00073
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00029
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00029
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00029
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00233
Oakland Michigan State 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235 -0.00311
Siena Michigan State 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300 -0.00167
Siena Michigan State 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300 -0.00167
Siena Michigan State 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300 -0.00167
Central Michigan Michigan State 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00067
Western Michigan Michigan State 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00100
Purdue Michigan State 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00218
Purdue Michigan State 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00218
Purdue Michigan State 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00218
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00067
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00287
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00287
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00287
Toledo Michigan State 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00091
Northwestern Michigan State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00238
Northwestern Michigan State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00238
Northwestern Michigan State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00238
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Western Michigan neutral 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00100

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 60.17 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Eastern Michigan 53.90 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
IPFW 115.86 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Michigan 49.74 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Notre Dame 114.21 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 64.98 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Toledo 88.17 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Michigan 64.63 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Ball State 180.30 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bradley 298.92 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Buffalo 289.56 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Butler 217.63 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Canisius 285.66 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Chicago State 174.32 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Cincinnati 248.90 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 207.63 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Illinois 295.71 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Illinois 265.87 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 278.75 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 267.46 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 271.53 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kent State 195.69 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Miami, Ohio 222.77 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Niagara 277.58 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Northern Illinois 225.95 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northern Kentucky 255.91 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Northwestern 169.77 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Ohio 266.07 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 202.81 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Pittsburgh 282.04 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 202.95 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Valparaiso 157.25 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Wright State 204.89 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 247.47 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388
Youngstown State 218.40 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation