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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:49 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.489
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Presbyterian neutral 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00037
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378 0.00007
Fordham neutral 29 29 0.500 0.453 0.363 -0.00020
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00020
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18 31 0.367 0.479 0.303 -0.00130
Central Florida neutral 26 33 0.441 0.541 0.356 -0.00033
Southern Mississippi neutral 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480 0.00192
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348 -0.00048
Troy neutral 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 0.00061
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.511 0.285 -0.00162
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 27 32 0.458 0.551 0.367 -0.00013
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.497 0.240 -0.00244
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00063
North Dakota State neutral 24 25 0.490 0.467 0.362 -0.00022
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00057
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00057
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.531 0.343 -0.00057
Central Michigan Michigan State 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00111
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Oakland Michigan State 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340 -0.00062
Oregon Michigan State 29 26 0.527 0.537 0.398 0.00043
Eastern Michigan Michigan State 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322 -0.00095
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00020
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00020
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00020
Michigan Michigan State 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447 0.00132
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00111
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00275
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00275
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00275
Notre Dame Michigan State 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 0.00021
Western Michigan Michigan State 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312 -0.00113
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00065
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00065
Indiana Michigan State 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00065
Toledo Michigan State 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293 -0.00148
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447 0.00132
Michigan Michigan State 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447 0.00132
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447 0.00132
Nebraska Michigan State 37 20 0.649 0.517 0.454 0.00145
Nebraska Michigan State 37 20 0.649 0.517 0.454 0.00145
Nebraska Michigan State 37 20 0.649 0.517 0.454 0.00145
Eastern Michigan neutral 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322 -0.00095
Iowa Iowa 27 25 0.519 0.560 0.400 0.00047
Iowa Iowa 27 25 0.519 0.560 0.400 0.00047
Iowa Iowa 27 25 0.519 0.560 0.400 0.00047
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00111
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405 0.00056
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405 0.00056
Maryland Michigan State 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405 0.00056
Nebraska neutral 37 20 0.649 0.517 0.454 0.00145
Maryland neutral 30 27 0.526 0.569 0.405 0.00056
Ohio State neutral 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472 0.00178
Ohio State neutral 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472 0.00178

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Central Michigan 60.17 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313
Eastern Michigan 53.90 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322
IPFW 115.86 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Michigan 49.74 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447
Notre Dame 114.21 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Oakland 64.98 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Toledo 88.17 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293
Western Michigan 64.63 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 0.000
Ball State 180.30 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Bradley 298.92 25 21 0.543 0.487 0.393
Buffalo 289.56 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315
Butler 217.63 12 40 0.231 0.497 0.240
Canisius 285.66 32 27 0.542 0.432 0.379
Chicago State 174.32 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Cincinnati 248.90 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 207.63 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Eastern Illinois 295.71 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Illinois 265.87 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Illinois State 278.75 17 37 0.315 0.511 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Indiana 267.46 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 271.53 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Kent State 195.69 43 13 0.768 0.446 0.495
Miami, Ohio 222.77 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Niagara 277.58 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265
Northern Illinois 225.95 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 255.91 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302
Northwestern 169.77 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263
Ohio 266.07 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Ohio State 202.81 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472
Pittsburgh 282.04 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Purdue 202.95 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Valparaiso 157.25 29 28 0.509 0.493 0.378
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 29 26 0.527 0.477 0.383
Wright State 204.89 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 247.47 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387
Youngstown State 218.40 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation