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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Middle Tennessee State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.542
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.520
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.401


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00095
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00095
Jacksonville Jacksonville 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362 -0.00095
Western Illinois Middle Tennessee State 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270 -0.00320
Western Illinois Middle Tennessee State 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270 -0.00320
Western Illinois Middle Tennessee State 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270 -0.00320
New Orleans New Orleans 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286 -0.00280
New Orleans New Orleans 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286 -0.00280
New Orleans New Orleans 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286 -0.00280
Iowa Middle Tennessee State 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00166
Iowa Middle Tennessee State 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00166
Iowa Middle Tennessee State 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00166
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00163
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00163
Alabama-Birmingham Middle Tennessee State 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00063
Alabama-Birmingham Middle Tennessee State 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00063
Alabama-Birmingham Middle Tennessee State 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427 0.00063
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00039
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00280
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00280
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00280
Vanderbilt Middle Tennessee State 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00239
Lipscomb Middle Tennessee State 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00132
Old Dominion Middle Tennessee State 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00061
Old Dominion Middle Tennessee State 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00061
Old Dominion Middle Tennessee State 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376 -0.00061
Austin Peay State Middle Tennessee State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 -0.00012
Rice Rice 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00134
Rice Rice 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00134
Rice Rice 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00134
Tennessee Tech Middle Tennessee State 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 -0.00112
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 -0.00012
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee State 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00044
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee State 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00044
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee State 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00044
Tennessee Middle Tennessee State 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00110
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00178
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00178
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00178
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00239
Marshall Marshall 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00251
Marshall Marshall 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00251
Marshall Marshall 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00251

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 74.89 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Austin Peay State 72.76 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 30.84 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Jacksonville State 143.93 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Lipscomb 29.79 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Murray State 121.11 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Tennessee 136.56 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 52.73 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tennessee-Martin 143.88 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Vanderbilt 31.89 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 78.41 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 194.60 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama State 241.19 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Alabama-Birmingham 163.84 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Appalachian State 262.28 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Arkansas State 240.93 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Auburn 230.11 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Butler 276.21 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 248.24 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Clemson 214.31 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Dayton 293.14 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
East Tennessee State 225.70 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 269.55 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Kentucky 173.27 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Evansville 160.33 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Furman 230.15 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 267.34 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 214.58 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia State 190.70 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 181.79 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Indiana 229.94 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 257.13 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Kennesaw State 161.20 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 182.35 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 166.06 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Memphis 206.84 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mercer 259.92 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Miami, Ohio 268.31 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Mississippi 206.25 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 215.09 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Morehead State 229.09 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
North Carolina-Asheville 213.49 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Northern Kentucky 243.01 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Presbyterian 271.79 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Samford 166.78 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
South Carolina-Upstate 254.30 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Southeast Missouri State 202.82 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 203.35 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 285.86 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 286.53 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Troy 280.99 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399
Western Carolina 182.98 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Wofford 257.23 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434
Wright State 299.82 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 250.36 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation