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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Mississippi State

Last updated: Tue Jun 28 06:47:36 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.570
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.546
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4215


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Florida Atlantic Mississippi State 39 19 0.672 0.519 0.466 0.00072
Florida Atlantic Mississippi State 39 19 0.672 0.519 0.466 0.00072
South Dakota State Mississippi State 19 35 0.352 0.485 0.297 -0.00201
South Dakota State Mississippi State 19 35 0.352 0.485 0.297 -0.00201
Massachusetts-Lowell Mississippi State 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00172
Massachusetts-Lowell Mississippi State 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00172
Nicholls State Mississippi State 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00109
Nicholls State Mississippi State 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00109
Alcorn State Mississippi State 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00299
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00093
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388 -0.00054
South Alabama Mississippi State 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00060
Oregon Mississippi State 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00038
Oregon Mississippi State 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00038
Oregon Mississippi State 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00038
Eastern Kentucky Mississippi State 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00138
Oral Roberts Mississippi State 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00041
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00107
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00107
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00107
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi State 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00430
Georgia Mississippi State 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00051
Georgia Mississippi State 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00051
Georgia Mississippi State 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00051
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00085
Mississippi Mississippi State 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00114
Mississippi Mississippi State 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00114
Mississippi Mississippi State 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00114
Tennessee-Martin Mississippi State 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00209
Florida Florida 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00181
Florida Florida 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00181
Florida Florida 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00181
Memphis Mississippi State 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00185
Texas A&M Mississippi State 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00165
Texas A&M Mississippi State 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00165
Texas A&M Mississippi State 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00165
Louisiana-Monroe neutral 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00165
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00112
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00112
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00112
Mississippi neutral 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00114
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00014
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00014
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00014
Missouri Mississippi State 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00090
Missouri Mississippi State 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00090
Missouri Mississippi State 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00090
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 -0.00023
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00122
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00122
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00122
Arkansas Mississippi State 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00080
Arkansas Mississippi State 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00080
Arkansas Mississippi State 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372 -0.00080
Alabama neutral 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00014
Louisiana State neutral 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00112
Florida neutral 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00181
Southeast Missouri State neutral 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00044
Cal State Fullerton neutral 36 23 0.610 0.544 0.441 0.00031
Louisiana Tech neutral 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00073
Arizona neutral 48 22 0.686 0.567 0.485 0.00102
Arizona neutral 48 22 0.686 0.567 0.485 0.00102

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 74.64 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama-Birmingham 114.27 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Jackson State 114.69 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Memphis 130.38 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Mississippi 75.06 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Samford 115.16 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 156.06 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama State 164.10 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alcorn State 174.92 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Arkansas State 195.90 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Arkansas-Little Rock 220.41 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 190.67 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334
Auburn 200.44 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Austin Peay State 227.49 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 217.52 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Central Arkansas 237.33 29 27 0.518 0.525 0.390
Georgia State 260.36 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 254.08 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Grambling State 235.94 17 27 0.386 0.392 0.291
Jacksonville State 175.39 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Kennesaw State 245.20 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Lipscomb 214.66 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisiana State 253.48 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491
Louisiana Tech 232.60 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467
Louisiana-Lafayette 294.46 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478
Louisiana-Monroe 200.05 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Middle Tennessee State 215.09 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 220.01 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
New Orleans 248.33 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406
Nicholls State 280.15 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354
Northwestern State 276.88 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425
South Alabama 194.79 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459
Southeast Missouri State 269.30 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southeastern Louisiana 226.46 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458
Southern 246.81 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226
Southern Illinois 294.05 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Mississippi 150.51 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
Tennessee Tech 264.19 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 198.99 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Troy 201.36 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407
Tulane 255.09 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464
Vanderbilt 216.78 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 276.59 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation