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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:43 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.485
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00090
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00090
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00090
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00169
Arkansas State neutral 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 0.00020
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.471 0.368 -0.00011
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.471 0.368 -0.00011
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332 -0.00073
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00305
Siena Morehead State 25 31 0.446 0.421 0.328 -0.00080
Siena Morehead State 25 31 0.446 0.421 0.328 -0.00080
Longwood Morehead State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00025
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00031
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00031
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00031
Marshall Marshall 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446 0.00124
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453 0.00136
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453 0.00136
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453 0.00136
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418 0.00075
Belmont Morehead State 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00032
Belmont Morehead State 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00032
Belmont Morehead State 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00032
Miami, Ohio Morehead State 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00030
Marshall Morehead State 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446 0.00124
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337 -0.00064
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337 -0.00064
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337 -0.00064
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 0.00032
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00022
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00022
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00022
Ohio State Ohio State 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00156
Ohio State Ohio State 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465 0.00156
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294 -0.00138
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294 -0.00138
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294 -0.00138
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331 -0.00075
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00273
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00273
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00273
Austin Peay State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00086
Austin Peay State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00086
Austin Peay State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00086
Ohio Morehead State 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331 -0.00075
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00235
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00235
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00235
Jacksonville State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00093
Jacksonville State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00093
Jacksonville State Morehead State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00093
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502 0.00220
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00030
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00030
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00030
Tennessee Tech neutral 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00031
Belmont neutral 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00032
Southeast Missouri State neutral 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453 0.00136

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 114.39 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294
East Tennessee State 142.61 27 30 0.474 0.432 0.345
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Kentucky 59.42 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418
Louisville 126.86 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Marshall 98.29 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446
Miami, Ohio 115.15 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 80.47 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Ohio 105.57 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 127.31 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Wright State 114.94 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487
Xavier 87.10 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 0.000
Alabama A&M 293.64 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Appalachian State 166.84 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291
Austin Peay State 244.23 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Ball State 176.00 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Belmont 232.83 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Bowling Green State 220.50 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 186.24 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Clemson 244.94 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491
Davidson 234.38 28 25 0.528 0.489 0.386
Duke 289.82 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
Eastern Illinois 270.84 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Michigan 281.06 22 35 0.386 0.498 0.318
Elon 259.42 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Evansville 223.85 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
Furman 232.54 29 29 0.500 0.529 0.382
Gardner-Webb 225.82 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
Georgia 293.82 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392
High Point 243.36 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
IPFW 220.94 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Illinois 289.00 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Indiana 180.06 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 232.36 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
James Madison 247.22 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Kennesaw State 294.54 29 27 0.518 0.490 0.382
Kent State 231.57 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501
Liberty 238.99 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398
Lipscomb 235.29 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Longwood 281.70 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Michigan 282.02 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Murray State 289.50 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
North Carolina 288.71 34 21 0.618 0.597 0.458
North Carolina A&T 248.40 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 291.57 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 23 32 0.418 0.541 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Notre Dame 283.89 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Pittsburgh 241.65 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Presbyterian 272.05 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354
Purdue 243.61 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Radford 173.92 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 157.50 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 180.54 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Toledo 238.40 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
VMI 218.78 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Valparaiso 295.89 29 27 0.518 0.488 0.381
Vanderbilt 233.92 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Virginia 267.17 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467
Virginia Tech 177.38 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304
Wake Forest 225.51 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434
West Virginia 210.58 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Western Carolina 200.28 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376
Western Kentucky 185.99 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356
Winthrop 261.09 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 238.33 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377
Youngstown State 252.65 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation