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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.456
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.477
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34725


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
George Mason neutral 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00162
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00235
George Mason neutral 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00162
Wofford Wofford 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 0.00044
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00396
Grambling State Grambling State 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00205
Grambling State Grambling State 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00205
Grambling State Grambling State 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00205
Fairleigh Dickinson Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00132
Fairleigh Dickinson Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00132
Fairleigh Dickinson Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00132
Murray State Murray State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00043
Murray State Murray State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00043
Murray State Murray State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00043
Marshall Morehead State 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00058
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00268
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00268
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00268
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00096
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00096
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00204
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00204
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00204
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00165
Belmont Morehead State 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00032
Belmont Morehead State 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00032
Belmont Morehead State 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00032
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00001
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00001
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00001
Kentucky Kentucky 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00233
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00348
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00348
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00348
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00294
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00294
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00294
Ohio Ohio 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00252
Louisville Louisville 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00393
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00067
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00067
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00067
Austin Peay State Morehead State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00061
Austin Peay State Morehead State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00061
Austin Peay State Morehead State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00061

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 114.39 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
East Tennessee State 142.61 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Kentucky 59.42 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 126.86 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 98.29 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Miami, Ohio 115.15 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Northern Kentucky 80.47 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 105.57 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 127.31 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Wright State 114.94 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 87.10 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Alabama A&M 293.64 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Appalachian State 166.84 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Austin Peay State 244.23 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Ball State 176.00 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Belmont 232.83 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 220.50 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 186.24 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Clemson 244.94 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 234.38 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 289.82 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
Eastern Illinois 270.84 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 281.06 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Elon 259.42 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Evansville 223.85 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Furman 232.54 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 225.82 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 293.82 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
High Point 243.36 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
IPFW 220.94 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 289.00 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Indiana 180.06 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 232.36 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
James Madison 247.22 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kennesaw State 294.54 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kent State 231.57 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Liberty 238.99 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 235.29 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Longwood 281.70 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Michigan 282.02 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 289.50 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina 288.71 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 248.40 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 291.57 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Notre Dame 283.89 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Pittsburgh 241.65 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Presbyterian 272.05 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Purdue 243.61 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 173.92 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 157.50 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 180.54 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Toledo 238.40 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
VMI 218.78 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Valparaiso 295.89 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 233.92 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia 267.17 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Tech 177.38 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 225.51 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
West Virginia 210.58 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 200.28 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Kentucky 185.99 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Winthrop 261.09 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 238.33 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367
Youngstown State 252.65 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation