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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Mon Jun 27 06:47:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.502
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.372


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00088
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00088
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00088
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.620 0.472 0.00172
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00016
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00010
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00010
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00071
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00281
Siena Morehead State 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00081
Siena Morehead State 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325 -0.00081
Longwood Morehead State 32 27 0.542 0.474 0.390 0.00031
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00034
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00034
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00034
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439 0.00116
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00133
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00133
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00133
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00076
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00028
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00028
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00028
Miami, Ohio Morehead State 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00026
Marshall Morehead State 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439 0.00116
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00062
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00062
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00062
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00031
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00036
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00036
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00036
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.511 0.472 0.00172
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.511 0.472 0.00172
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00138
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00138
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00138
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00071
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00271
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00271
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00271
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00086
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00086
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00086
Ohio Morehead State 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00071
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00233
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00233
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00233
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00084
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00084
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00084
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00200
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00028
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00028
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 -0.00028
Tennessee Tech neutral 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00034
Belmont neutral 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 0.00028
Southeast Missouri State neutral 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00133

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 114.39 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
East Tennessee State 142.61 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Kentucky 59.42 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 126.86 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Marshall 98.29 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Miami, Ohio 115.15 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 80.47 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 105.57 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 127.31 44 20 0.688 0.511 0.472
Wright State 114.94 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 87.10 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 0.000
Alabama A&M 293.64 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Appalachian State 166.84 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 244.23 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Ball State 176.00 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Belmont 232.83 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 220.50 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 186.24 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Clemson 244.94 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Davidson 234.38 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 289.82 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
Eastern Illinois 270.84 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 281.06 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Elon 259.42 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Evansville 223.85 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Furman 232.54 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 225.82 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 293.82 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
High Point 243.36 32 24 0.571 0.514 0.414
IPFW 220.94 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 289.00 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Indiana 180.06 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 232.36 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
James Madison 247.22 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kennesaw State 294.54 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kent State 231.57 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Liberty 238.99 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Lipscomb 235.29 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Longwood 281.70 32 27 0.542 0.474 0.390
Michigan 282.02 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 289.50 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina 288.71 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 248.40 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 291.57 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Notre Dame 283.89 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Pittsburgh 241.65 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Presbyterian 272.05 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Purdue 243.61 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 173.92 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 157.50 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 180.54 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Toledo 238.40 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
VMI 218.78 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 295.89 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 233.92 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia 267.17 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Tech 177.38 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 225.51 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
West Virginia 210.58 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 200.28 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Western Kentucky 185.99 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Winthrop 261.09 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 238.33 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Youngstown State 252.65 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation