Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.466
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.480
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.353


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Diego San Diego 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00163
San Diego San Diego 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00163
San Diego San Diego 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00163
San Diego San Diego 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00163
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00249
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00249
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00249
New Jersey Tech neutral 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379 0.00063
North Carolina-Asheville neutral 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00027
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00005
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00005
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00005
Tennessee Tennessee 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 0.00007
Southeast Missouri State Morehead State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00190
Southeast Missouri State Morehead State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00190
Southeast Missouri State Morehead State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00190
East Tennessee State Morehead State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00132
Marshall Marshall 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00134
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00078
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00078
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00078
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00163
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00217
Eastern Kentucky Morehead State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00137
Eastern Kentucky Morehead State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00137
Eastern Kentucky Morehead State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00137
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00132
LaSalle Morehead State 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 0.00012
LaSalle Morehead State 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 0.00012
Alabama A&M Morehead State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00012
Alabama A&M Morehead State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00012
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00263
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00263
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00263
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00137
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Morehead State 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00078
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Morehead State 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00078
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Morehead State 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00078
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00373
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00373
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00105
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00105
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00105

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 114.39 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
East Tennessee State 142.61 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Kentucky 59.42 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 126.86 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Marshall 98.29 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Miami, Ohio 115.15 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Northern Kentucky 80.47 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 105.57 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 127.31 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Wright State 114.94 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 87.10 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Alabama A&M 293.64 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Appalachian State 166.84 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Austin Peay State 244.23 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Ball State 176.00 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Belmont 232.83 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bowling Green State 220.50 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 186.24 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Clemson 244.94 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 234.38 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 289.82 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
Eastern Illinois 270.84 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Michigan 281.06 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Elon 259.42 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Evansville 223.85 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Furman 232.54 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 225.82 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 293.82 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
High Point 243.36 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
IPFW 220.94 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 289.00 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Indiana 180.06 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 232.36 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
James Madison 247.22 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kennesaw State 294.54 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kent State 231.57 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Liberty 238.99 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Lipscomb 235.29 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Longwood 281.70 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Michigan 282.02 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 289.50 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
North Carolina 288.71 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 248.40 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 291.57 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Notre Dame 283.89 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Pittsburgh 241.65 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Presbyterian 272.05 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Purdue 243.61 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Radford 173.92 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 157.50 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 180.54 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Toledo 238.40 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
VMI 218.78 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Valparaiso 295.89 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 233.92 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia 267.17 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Tech 177.38 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 225.51 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
West Virginia 210.58 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 200.28 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Western Kentucky 185.99 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Winthrop 261.09 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 238.33 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434
Youngstown State 252.65 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation