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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.503
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.481
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00099
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00099
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00099
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00338
Arkansas State neutral 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370 -0.00004
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 21 21 0.500 0.460 0.365 -0.00016
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 21 21 0.500 0.460 0.365 -0.00016
St. Louis neutral 17 24 0.415 0.433 0.316 -0.00130
Louisville Louisville 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541 0.00394
Siena Morehead State 14 26 0.350 0.447 0.287 -0.00197
Siena Morehead State 14 26 0.350 0.447 0.287 -0.00197
Longwood Morehead State 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 0.00089
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372 0.00001
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372 0.00001
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372 0.00001
Marshall Marshall 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414 0.00098
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475 0.00240
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475 0.00240
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475 0.00240
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00184
Belmont Morehead State 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388 0.00038
Belmont Morehead State 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388 0.00038
Belmont Morehead State 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388 0.00038
Miami, Ohio Morehead State 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 -0.00018
Marshall Morehead State 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414 0.00098
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333 -0.00090
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333 -0.00090
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333 -0.00090
Tennessee Tennessee 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 0.00110
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327 -0.00104
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327 -0.00104
Xavier Xavier 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327 -0.00104
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445 0.00170
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445 0.00170
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00195
Ohio Ohio 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00116
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243 -0.00299
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243 -0.00299
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243 -0.00299
Austin Peay State Morehead State 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437 0.00152
Austin Peay State Morehead State 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437 0.00152
Austin Peay State Morehead State 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437 0.00152

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386
Dayton 114.39 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300
East Tennessee State 142.61 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333
Kentucky 59.42 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451
Louisville 126.86 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Marshall 98.29 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Miami, Ohio 115.15 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364
Northern Kentucky 80.47 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290
Ohio 105.57 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Ohio State 127.31 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445
Wright State 114.94 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471
Xavier 87.10 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 0.000
Alabama A&M 293.64 11 35 0.239 0.368 0.211
Appalachian State 166.84 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Austin Peay State 244.23 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437
Ball State 176.00 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413
Belmont 232.83 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388
Bowling Green State 220.50 15 26 0.366 0.430 0.290
Butler 186.24 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242
Clemson 244.94 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Davidson 234.38 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Duke 289.82 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
Eastern Illinois 270.84 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193
Eastern Michigan 281.06 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337
Elon 259.42 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
Evansville 223.85 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Furman 232.54 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 225.82 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
Georgia 293.82 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
High Point 243.36 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
IPFW 220.94 17 22 0.436 0.417 0.322
Illinois 289.00 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400
Indiana 180.06 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421
Indiana State 232.36 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435
James Madison 247.22 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Kennesaw State 294.54 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Kent State 231.57 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490
Liberty 238.99 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Lipscomb 235.29 22 21 0.512 0.443 0.367
Longwood 281.70 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
Michigan 282.02 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338
Murray State 289.50 20 21 0.488 0.468 0.361
North Carolina 288.71 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 248.40 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 291.57 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
Notre Dame 283.89 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Pittsburgh 241.65 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439
Presbyterian 272.05 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
Purdue 243.61 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219
Radford 173.92 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Tennessee 157.50 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
Tennessee Tech 180.54 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372
Toledo 238.40 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233
VMI 218.78 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Valparaiso 295.89 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389
Vanderbilt 233.92 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515
Virginia 267.17 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
Virginia Tech 177.38 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 225.51 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
West Virginia 210.58 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Western Carolina 200.28 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Western Kentucky 185.99 23 20 0.535 0.532 0.401
Winthrop 261.09 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 238.33 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Youngstown State 252.65 9 27 0.250 0.515 0.254

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation