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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Murray State

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.486
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.488
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.365


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00043
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00043
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00043
Northern Illinois Murray State 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00049
Northern Illinois Murray State 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00049
Northern Illinois Murray State 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00049
Northern Illinois Murray State 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00049
Creighton Murray State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00213
Creighton Murray State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00213
Creighton Murray State 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00213
IPFW Murray State 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 0.00000
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419 0.00102
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00136
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00136
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00136
Kansas Kansas 17 35 0.327 0.539 0.298 -0.00126
Kansas Kansas 17 35 0.327 0.539 0.298 -0.00126
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00281
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00281
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00281
Memphis Murray State 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295 -0.00132
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00113
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00113
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00113
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00085
Eastern Illinois Murray State 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00240
Eastern Illinois Murray State 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00240
Eastern Illinois Murray State 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00240
Southern Illinois Murray State 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00085
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00111
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00111
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00111
Evansville Murray State 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00032
St. Louis St. Louis 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00045
Mississippi Mississippi 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505 0.00264
Tennessee Tech Murray State 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00072
Tennessee Tech Murray State 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00072
Tennessee Tech Murray State 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00072
Alabama A&M Murray State 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00296
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00162
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00162
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00162
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00032
Belmont Murray State 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00045
Belmont Murray State 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00045
Belmont Murray State 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00045
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00051
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00051
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00051
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419 0.00102
Morehead State Murray State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00062
Morehead State Murray State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00062
Morehead State Murray State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00062

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 141.68 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Austin Peay State 53.68 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425
Belmont 91.56 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Evansville 102.92 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Lipscomb 91.82 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Memphis 138.39 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295
Middle Tennessee State 121.11 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320
Southeast Missouri State 82.47 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 89.76 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Tennessee-Martin 36.35 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Vanderbilt 90.28 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509
Western Kentucky 105.68 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 240.24 32 24 0.571 0.549 0.423
Alabama A&M 160.35 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama-Birmingham 231.44 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331
Arkansas-Little Rock 260.45 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.49 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Ball State 293.66 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bradley 289.19 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Butler 251.35 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Central Arkansas 255.20 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396
Cincinnati 270.19 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Eastern Illinois 197.42 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 234.10 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Georgia Tech 296.15 36 20 0.643 0.579 0.466
Illinois 240.07 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 271.43 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292
Indiana 201.88 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416
Indiana State 203.30 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Jacksonville State 240.71 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kennesaw State 276.29 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Kentucky 231.15 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419
Louisville 177.79 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 279.04 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Mississippi 170.45 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505
Mississippi State 220.01 40 14 0.741 0.570 0.513
Missouri 271.51 26 30 0.464 0.548 0.369
Missouri State 277.07 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440
Morehead State 289.50 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
Northern Kentucky 267.93 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Purdue 273.84 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Samford 234.66 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 176.74 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 173.93 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Tennessee 248.76 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
Tennessee Tech 158.95 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Western Illinois 295.17 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259
Xavier 272.63 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation