Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Murray State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.475
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio neutral 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00291
Ohio neutral 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00291
Bowling Green State Murray State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00025
Bowling Green State Murray State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00025
Bowling Green State Murray State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 0.00025
North Dakota State Murray State 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00119
North Dakota State Murray State 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00119
North Dakota State Murray State 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00119
Morehead State Murray State 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 0.00023
Morehead State Murray State 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 0.00023
Morehead State Murray State 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 0.00023
Arkansas State Murray State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00155
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00335
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00335
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00335
Memphis Memphis 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00067
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00098
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00098
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Murray State 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317 -0.00098
Southern Illinois Murray State 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00022
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00091
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00091
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00091
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00022
Eastern Illinois Murray State 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00124
Eastern Illinois Murray State 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00124
Eastern Illinois Murray State 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00124
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00320
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00099
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00099
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00099
Evansville Murray State 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00218
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00113
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00113
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00113
Evansville Evansville 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00218
Tennessee Tech Murray State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00253
Tennessee Tech Murray State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00253
Tennessee Tech Murray State 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00253
Arkansas State Arkansas State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00155
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00185
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00185
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00185

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 141.68 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Austin Peay State 53.68 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 91.56 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Evansville 102.92 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Lipscomb 91.82 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Memphis 138.39 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Middle Tennessee State 121.11 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Southeast Missouri State 82.47 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 89.76 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Tennessee-Martin 36.35 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Vanderbilt 90.28 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Kentucky 105.68 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 240.24 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 160.35 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama-Birmingham 231.44 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Arkansas-Little Rock 260.45 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.49 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Ball State 293.66 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bradley 289.19 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Butler 251.35 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Central Arkansas 255.20 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Cincinnati 270.19 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Eastern Illinois 197.42 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 234.10 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Georgia Tech 296.15 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Illinois 240.07 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 271.43 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Indiana 201.88 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 203.30 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Jacksonville State 240.71 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kennesaw State 276.29 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kentucky 231.15 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 177.79 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 279.04 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Mississippi 170.45 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 220.01 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Missouri 271.51 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Missouri State 277.07 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Morehead State 289.50 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 267.93 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Purdue 273.84 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Samford 234.66 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 176.74 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 173.93 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee 248.76 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 158.95 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Western Illinois 295.17 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Xavier 272.63 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation