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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Murray State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.429
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00213
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00213
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00213
IPFW neutral 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381 0.00104
IPFW neutral 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381 0.00104
IPFW neutral 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381 0.00104
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00223
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00206
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00206
Dayton neutral 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00206
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00249
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00249
Tennessee-Martin neutral 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00220
Tennessee-Martin neutral 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00220
Tennessee-Martin neutral 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245 -0.00220
Northern Illinois neutral 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00108
Northern Illinois neutral 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00108
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00039
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00039
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321 -0.00039
Evansville Evansville 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 0.00158
Austin Peay State Murray State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00139
Austin Peay State Murray State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00139
Austin Peay State Murray State 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396 0.00139
Arkansas State Murray State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 0.00027
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00280
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00280
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00280
Southern Illinois Murray State 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00223
Jacksonville State Murray State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00092
Jacksonville State Murray State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00092
Jacksonville State Murray State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00092
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00189
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00189
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00189
Lipscomb Lipscomb 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455 0.00280
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 0.00149
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00042
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00042
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 0.00042
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 0.00027
Southeast Missouri State Murray State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00223
Southeast Missouri State Murray State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00223
Southeast Missouri State Murray State 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00223

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas State 141.68 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Austin Peay State 53.68 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 91.56 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Evansville 102.92 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Lipscomb 91.82 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Memphis 138.39 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Middle Tennessee State 121.11 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Southeast Missouri State 82.47 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 89.76 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Tennessee-Martin 36.35 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Vanderbilt 90.28 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 105.68 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 240.24 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama A&M 160.35 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama-Birmingham 231.44 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Arkansas-Little Rock 260.45 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.49 18 15 0.545 0.413 0.376
Ball State 293.66 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bradley 289.19 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Butler 251.35 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Central Arkansas 255.20 20 15 0.571 0.501 0.411
Cincinnati 270.19 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Eastern Illinois 197.42 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Kentucky 234.10 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Georgia Tech 296.15 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Illinois 240.07 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 271.43 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Indiana 201.88 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 203.30 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Jacksonville State 240.71 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kennesaw State 276.29 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 231.15 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 177.79 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 279.04 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Mississippi 170.45 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 220.01 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Missouri 271.51 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446
Missouri State 277.07 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516
Morehead State 289.50 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 267.93 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Purdue 273.84 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Samford 234.66 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 176.74 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 173.93 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Tennessee 248.76 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 158.95 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Western Illinois 295.17 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270
Xavier 272.63 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation