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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Navy

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.418
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.472
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.327


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235 -0.00167
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235 -0.00167
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235 -0.00167
Air Force neutral 27 25 0.519 0.455 0.373 0.00084
Air Force neutral 27 25 0.519 0.455 0.373 0.00084
Air Force neutral 27 25 0.519 0.455 0.373 0.00084
Delaware State Navy 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242 -0.00155
Central Connecticut State Navy 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336 0.00016
Central Connecticut State Navy 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336 0.00016
Central Connecticut State Navy 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336 0.00016
Maryland-Eastern Shore Navy 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260 -0.00122
Yale Navy 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318 -0.00016
Yale Navy 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318 -0.00016
Yale Navy 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318 -0.00016
Buffalo Navy 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00022
Towson Towson 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00038
Rutgers Navy 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 0.00095
New Jersey Tech Navy 16 36 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00096
New Jersey Tech Navy 16 36 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00096
Maryland-Baltimore County Maryland-Baltimore County 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399 0.00131
Princeton Navy 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00140
Princeton Navy 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00140
Princeton Navy 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00140
Princeton Navy 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00140
Maryland-Eastern Shore Maryland-Eastern Shore 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260 -0.00122
Holy Cross Navy 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Holy Cross Navy 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Holy Cross Navy 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Holy Cross Navy 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 0.00045
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279 -0.00087
Delaware State Delaware State 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242 -0.00155
Lehigh Navy 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332 0.00009
Lehigh Navy 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332 0.00009
Lehigh Navy 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332 0.00009
Lehigh Navy 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332 0.00009
Maryland-Baltimore County Navy 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399 0.00131
Army Navy 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00069
Army Navy 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00069
Army Navy 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00069
Army Navy 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00069
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell Bucknell 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell Bucknell 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell Bucknell 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell Bucknell 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell neutral 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell neutral 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Bucknell neutral 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00065
Holy Cross neutral 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Holy Cross neutral 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084
Holy Cross neutral 28 27 0.509 0.475 0.373 0.00084

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bucknell 137.42 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291
Coppin State 16.52 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
Delaware 61.50 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
Delaware State 52.70 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242
George Mason 45.46 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 34.02 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 35.31 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
James Madison 133.67 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
LaSalle 101.90 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255
Lafayette 138.18 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 125.75 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Maryland 24.12 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 21.50 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 69.12 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 65.95 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Norfolk State 148.41 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
Old Dominion 145.64 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Penn State 145.22 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pennsylvania 95.88 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Princeton 135.93 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404
Richmond 112.60 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
Rider 129.11 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
St. Joseph's 96.44 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
Temple 106.84 0.000
Towson 28.91 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Villanova 101.46 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
Virginia 127.02 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 110.96 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
William and Mary 117.95 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 290.80 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331
Army 213.58 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289
Binghamton 216.45 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389
Campbell 276.12 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Canisius 298.44 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Central Connecticut State 271.50 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336
Columbia 188.88 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Connecticut 295.80 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429
Cornell 238.90 14 22 0.389 0.450 0.307
Duke 246.32 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Carolina 239.29 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
Elon 258.39 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Fairfield 227.80 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381
Fairleigh Dickinson 185.97 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 189.58 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367
Hartford 278.28 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467
High Point 283.02 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Hofstra 194.81 15 37 0.288 0.491 0.267
Iona 196.49 11 39 0.220 0.464 0.226
Kent State 296.18 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
LIU Brooklyn 178.01 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292
Liberty 184.38 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 156.05 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
Manhattan 190.32 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331
Marist 231.96 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351
Marshall 280.17 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Monmouth 159.53 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383
New Jersey Tech 173.20 16 36 0.308 0.481 0.274
New York Tech 198.42 17 26 0.395 0.403 0.298
North Carolina 254.61 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 269.55 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina Central 244.75 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 251.48 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Greensboro 271.51 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Pittsburgh 210.19 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Quinnipiac 253.82 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317
Radford 254.37 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Rutgers 152.34 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Sacred Heart 230.99 29 26 0.527 0.453 0.377
Seton Hall 170.01 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449
Siena 295.08 23 30 0.434 0.418 0.322
St. Bonaventure 237.89 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
St. John's 186.96 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386
St. Peter's 175.10 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 223.16 24 25 0.490 0.478 0.364
VMI 179.55 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia Tech 246.04 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wagner 172.07 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298
Wake Forest 285.08 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
West Virginia 192.10 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Yale 246.19 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318
Youngstown State 272.83 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation