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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Asheville

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.482
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.364


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00027
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00098
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00098
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00098
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00038
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00038
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00038
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00038
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Asheville 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00180
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00133
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00120
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00120
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00120
Tennessee Tech North Carolina-Asheville 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00231
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Asheville 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00038
Presbyterian Presbyterian 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00156
Presbyterian Presbyterian 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00156
Presbyterian Presbyterian 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00156
Furman Furman 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00087
Gardner-Webb North Carolina-Asheville 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00073
Gardner-Webb North Carolina-Asheville 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00073
Gardner-Webb North Carolina-Asheville 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00073
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00204
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00133
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00036
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00036
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00036
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00231
Wofford North Carolina-Asheville 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 0.00007
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00024
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00024
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00024
Davidson North Carolina-Asheville 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00191
Western Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00231
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00198
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00198
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00198
Charleston Southern North Carolina-Asheville 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00042
Charleston Southern North Carolina-Asheville 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00042
South Carolina-Upstate North Carolina-Asheville 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00204
Furman North Carolina-Asheville 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00087
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00338
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00338
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00338
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00171

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 64.01 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Clemson 66.73 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 97.51 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 49.24 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 48.61 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 56.93 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 124.62 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
High Point 146.40 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
North Carolina-Charlotte 105.27 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
Presbyterian 89.27 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina 142.16 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 54.23 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 79.54 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Wake Forest 134.54 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Western Carolina 40.71 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Winthrop 99.05 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 58.03 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 233.54 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama-Birmingham 281.88 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Auburn 267.10 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Austin Peay State 274.65 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 238.60 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Campbell 216.12 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Charleston Southern 231.36 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Cincinnati 265.07 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Coastal Carolina 247.38 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 247.48 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Dayton 298.14 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Duke 204.87 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 292.24 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Eastern Kentucky 174.97 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Elon 174.82 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Georgia Southern 224.84 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Georgia State 164.93 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 164.01 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jacksonville State 220.16 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
James Madison 282.34 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kennesaw State 158.05 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kentucky 197.74 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Liberty 223.27 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 239.13 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Longwood 259.24 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Louisville 251.11 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 195.81 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Mercer 202.38 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Miami, Ohio 294.04 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Middle Tennessee State 213.49 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Morehead State 184.14 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
North Carolina 198.75 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 159.66 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 207.23 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 218.62 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Greensboro 157.50 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 283.00 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Northern Kentucky 257.61 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 257.39 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Radford 154.26 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Samford 282.79 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Savannah State 262.69 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
Tennessee Tech 169.19 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
The Citadel 245.69 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
VMI 229.44 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Vanderbilt 239.97 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia 280.10 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Tech 162.72 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Western Kentucky 236.28 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wright State 299.05 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 265.57 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation