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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Asheville

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.528
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427 0.00101
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427 0.00101
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427 0.00101
East Tennessee State neutral 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00197
Miami, Ohio neutral 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00376
Wofford Wofford 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00117
Canisius neutral 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327 -0.00132
Morehead State neutral 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00059
New Jersey Tech neutral 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379 -0.00011
New Jersey Tech North Carolina-Asheville 17 14 0.548 0.419 0.379 -0.00011
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Asheville 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00197
LaSalle North Carolina-Asheville 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00060
LaSalle North Carolina-Asheville 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00060
LaSalle North Carolina-Asheville 18 20 0.474 0.486 0.358 -0.00060
Furman North Carolina-Asheville 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00074
Furman Furman 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00074
Charleston Southern North Carolina-Asheville 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00039
Charleston Southern North Carolina-Asheville 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00039
Charleston Southern North Carolina-Asheville 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00039
Appalachian State North Carolina-Asheville 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00260
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00233
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00233
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Asheville 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00233
Tennessee Tech North Carolina-Asheville 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 -0.00067
Wofford Wofford 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00117
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00092
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00092
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00092
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355 -0.00067
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00273
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00273
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00273
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00197
Wofford North Carolina-Asheville 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00117
Presbyterian Presbyterian 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 0.00033
Presbyterian Presbyterian 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 0.00033
Presbyterian Presbyterian 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398 0.00033
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00182
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00182
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00182
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Asheville 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 -0.00139
Longwood North Carolina-Asheville 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 -0.00088
Longwood North Carolina-Asheville 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 -0.00088
Longwood North Carolina-Asheville 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 -0.00088

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 64.01 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Clemson 66.73 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 97.51 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Tennessee State 49.24 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Furman 48.61 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 56.93 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 124.62 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
High Point 146.40 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
North Carolina-Charlotte 105.27 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
Presbyterian 89.27 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Carolina 142.16 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 54.23 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 79.54 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Wake Forest 134.54 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Western Carolina 40.71 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Winthrop 99.05 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 58.03 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 233.54 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama-Birmingham 281.88 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Auburn 267.10 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Austin Peay State 274.65 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 238.60 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Campbell 216.12 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Charleston Southern 231.36 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Cincinnati 265.07 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Coastal Carolina 247.38 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 247.48 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Dayton 298.14 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Duke 204.87 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 292.24 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Eastern Kentucky 174.97 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Elon 174.82 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Georgia Southern 224.84 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Georgia State 164.93 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 164.01 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 220.16 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
James Madison 282.34 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kennesaw State 158.05 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 197.74 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Liberty 223.27 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Lipscomb 239.13 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Longwood 259.24 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Louisville 251.11 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Marshall 195.81 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Mercer 202.38 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Miami, Ohio 294.04 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Middle Tennessee State 213.49 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Morehead State 184.14 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
North Carolina 198.75 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 159.66 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 207.23 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 218.62 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Greensboro 157.50 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 283.00 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Northern Kentucky 257.61 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 257.39 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Radford 154.26 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Samford 282.79 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Savannah State 262.69 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
Tennessee Tech 169.19 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
The Citadel 245.69 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
VMI 229.44 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Vanderbilt 239.97 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia 280.10 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Tech 162.72 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Western Kentucky 236.28 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Wright State 299.05 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 265.57 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation