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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Charlotte

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.544
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.523
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
William and Mary North Carolina-Charlotte 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381 -0.00049
William and Mary North Carolina-Charlotte 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381 -0.00049
William and Mary North Carolina-Charlotte 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381 -0.00049
Toledo North Carolina-Charlotte 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00386
Toledo North Carolina-Charlotte 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00386
Toledo North Carolina-Charlotte 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00386
Toledo North Carolina-Charlotte 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00386
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357 -0.00104
Kent State North Carolina-Charlotte 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490 0.00198
Kent State North Carolina-Charlotte 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490 0.00198
Kent State North Carolina-Charlotte 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490 0.00198
Georgia North Carolina-Charlotte 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 0.00032
Georgia North Carolina-Charlotte 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 0.00032
Fairfield North Carolina-Charlotte 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00079
Fairfield North Carolina-Charlotte 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00079
Fairfield North Carolina-Charlotte 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00079
Wake Forest North Carolina-Charlotte 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00105
Florida International North Carolina-Charlotte 21 23 0.477 0.560 0.379 -0.00054
Florida International North Carolina-Charlotte 21 23 0.477 0.560 0.379 -0.00054
Florida International North Carolina-Charlotte 21 23 0.477 0.560 0.379 -0.00054
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00105
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 25 13 0.658 0.513 0.457 0.00123
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 25 13 0.658 0.513 0.457 0.00123
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 25 13 0.658 0.513 0.457 0.00123
North Carolina State North Carolina-Charlotte 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00260
Southern Mississippi North Carolina-Charlotte 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485 0.00187
Southern Mississippi North Carolina-Charlotte 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485 0.00187
Southern Mississippi North Carolina-Charlotte 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485 0.00187
Winthrop Winthrop 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 -0.00049
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00260
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 29 11 0.725 0.515 0.491 0.00201
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 29 11 0.725 0.515 0.491 0.00201
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 29 11 0.725 0.515 0.491 0.00201
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Charlotte 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00381
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338 -0.00147
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338 -0.00147
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338 -0.00147
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00094
Marshall North Carolina-Charlotte 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414 0.00026
Marshall North Carolina-Charlotte 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414 0.00026
Marshall North Carolina-Charlotte 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414 0.00026
The Citadel North Carolina-Charlotte 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304 -0.00224
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00146
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00146
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00146

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 82.21 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Campbell 113.08 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Clemson 127.10 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Davidson 14.71 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Duke 111.44 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
East Tennessee State 114.39 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Elon 88.47 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
Furman 99.92 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 52.67 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
High Point 62.17 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
North Carolina 103.82 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 75.84 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 113.72 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina State 120.40 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517
North Carolina-Asheville 105.27 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
North Carolina-Greensboro 73.81 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
Presbyterian 86.53 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
Radford 126.87 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
South Carolina 92.97 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 72.66 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Virginia Tech 133.14 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 63.00 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Western Carolina 137.70 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Winthrop 29.61 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 71.56 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 165.16 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Coastal Carolina 152.68 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
College of Charleston 180.08 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
East Carolina 190.75 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453
Eastern Kentucky 259.28 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333
Georgia 177.42 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
Georgia Southern 207.68 26 18 0.591 0.472 0.413
Georgia State 230.58 18 21 0.462 0.460 0.346
Georgia Tech 233.37 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476
James Madison 240.05 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Kennesaw State 235.43 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Kentucky 280.52 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451
Liberty 165.83 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Longwood 189.28 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
Marshall 215.73 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Mercer 239.10 26 17 0.605 0.489 0.425
Morehead State 248.70 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
Norfolk State 271.57 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362
North Carolina-Wilmington 179.12 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Ohio 287.52 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Old Dominion 270.17 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446
Richmond 237.04 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401
Savannah State 227.56 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235
Tennessee 184.56 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
Tennessee Tech 274.38 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372
The Citadel 179.54 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
VMI 186.16 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Virginia 225.77 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 239.98 29 14 0.674 0.493 0.460
William and Mary 261.70 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation