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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.500
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.496
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00068
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00068
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00068
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00034
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403 0.00049
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403 0.00049
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403 0.00049
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00164
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288 -0.00146
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288 -0.00146
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288 -0.00146
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476 0.00173
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00063
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00234
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411 0.00063
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00234
Maryland-Eastern Shore North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260 -0.00193
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00056
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00056
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00056
North Carolina A&T neutral 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00237
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00039
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00039
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00039
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00237
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373 -0.00002
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00115
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00115
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00115
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00120
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00176
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00176
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00176
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00095
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00095
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 0.00007
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00034
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00051
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00051
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00051
Campbell North Carolina-Greensboro 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373 -0.00002
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00061
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00061
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00061
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00005
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00005
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00005
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00197
Western Carolina Western Carolina 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386 0.00020
Western Carolina Western Carolina 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386 0.00020
Western Carolina Western Carolina 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386 0.00020
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00100
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00100
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433 0.00100
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00061
Wofford neutral 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00005
Furman neutral 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378 0.00007

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Campbell 75.59 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373
Davidson 69.52 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
Duke 48.82 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
East Carolina 140.87 34 21 0.618 0.549 0.446
East Tennessee State 143.21 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Elon 17.32 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Gardner-Webb 118.71 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 12.00 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Liberty 95.54 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Longwood 115.52 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 44.49 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458
North Carolina A&T 2.20 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 51.10 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 66.35 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
Radford 84.16 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
VMI 120.95 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia Tech 86.41 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 24.85 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Winthrop 102.95 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 141.58 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 196.07 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
Coastal Carolina 171.07 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512
College of Charleston 226.12 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411
Coppin State 272.39 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Furman 167.73 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
George Mason 235.13 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 243.04 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 251.40 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Georgia 249.64 27 30 0.474 0.620 0.392
Georgia Southern 275.31 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427
James Madison 172.30 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345
Kentucky 291.65 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Marshall 186.48 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Maryland 255.86 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 247.28 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 271.51 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Norfolk State 204.52 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476
Ohio 257.64 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Old Dominion 202.69 32 24 0.571 0.522 0.416
Presbyterian 160.27 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Richmond 163.40 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Savannah State 288.32 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228
South Carolina 159.75 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
Tennessee 230.16 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392
The Citadel 226.55 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Towson 288.80 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305
Virginia 154.34 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 247.77 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Western Carolina 196.24 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386
William and Mary 190.45 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation