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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.531
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.391


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411 0.00053
Ball State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00097
Wake Forest North Carolina-Wilmington 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00026
George Mason North Carolina-Wilmington 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00179
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00121
Wake Forest North Carolina-Wilmington 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00026
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00303
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00303
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00303
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Wilmington 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 -0.00176
Maryland North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00229
Maryland North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00229
Maryland North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00229
Toledo North Carolina-Wilmington 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00205
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00116
Columbia North Carolina-Wilmington 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00139
Columbia North Carolina-Wilmington 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00139
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00097
Northeastern North Carolina-Wilmington 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00132
Northeastern North Carolina-Wilmington 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00132
Northeastern North Carolina-Wilmington 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00132
East Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00168
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00313
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00313
Towson Towson 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00313
Tulane North Carolina-Wilmington 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445 0.00142
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Wilmington 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00129
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Wilmington 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00129
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Wilmington 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00129
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 -0.00176
William and Mary North Carolina-Wilmington 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00079
William and Mary North Carolina-Wilmington 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00079
William and Mary North Carolina-Wilmington 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00079
Hofstra Hofstra 15 23 0.395 0.474 0.316 -0.00197
Hofstra Hofstra 15 23 0.395 0.474 0.316 -0.00197
Hofstra Hofstra 15 23 0.395 0.474 0.316 -0.00197
North Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00195
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00003
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00003
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00003

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Coastal Carolina 67.85 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
Duke 136.76 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 98.97 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
North Carolina 133.84 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina Central 136.09 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 117.35 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Charleston Southern 152.53 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 285.21 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
College of Charleston 152.90 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Davidson 190.14 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Tennessee State 291.50 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 159.69 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Furman 264.39 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 226.79 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia Southern 257.35 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
High Point 170.46 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
James Madison 297.19 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Liberty 228.42 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 214.23 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Norfolk State 202.65 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina A&T 167.43 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Old Dominion 203.82 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 228.28 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Radford 250.88 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Richmond 232.66 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 239.14 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 182.09 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
The Citadel 155.72 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
VMI 261.74 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 266.59 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
Virginia Tech 251.62 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 188.20 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
William and Mary 221.37 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Winthrop 185.79 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 236.35 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation