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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.515
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.508
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3845


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00028
St. John's North Carolina-Wilmington 27 24 0.529 0.487 0.386 0.00003
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385 0.00001
South Dakota State North Carolina-Wilmington 18 34 0.346 0.494 0.296 -0.00170
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 24 31 0.436 0.477 0.337 -0.00091
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465 0.00155
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00172
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00001
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00001
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 0.00001
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00126
North Florida North Florida 38 17 0.691 0.516 0.474 0.00172
North Florida North Florida 38 17 0.691 0.516 0.474 0.00172
North Florida North Florida 38 17 0.691 0.516 0.474 0.00172
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00237
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00305
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00305
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00305
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00172
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00059
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00059
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00134
Northeastern Northeastern 30 26 0.536 0.454 0.382 -0.00005
Northeastern Northeastern 30 26 0.536 0.454 0.382 -0.00005
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00020
William and Mary William and Mary 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00034
William and Mary William and Mary 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00034
William and Mary William and Mary 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00034
High Point High Point 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420 0.00068
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00078
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00078
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00078
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00020
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306 -0.00151
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306 -0.00151
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306 -0.00151
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00145
High Point North Carolina-Wilmington 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420 0.00068
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00228
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00228
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00228
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418 0.00064
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418 0.00064
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418 0.00064
North Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00145
James Madison James Madison 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353 -0.00061
James Madison James Madison 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353 -0.00061
James Madison James Madison 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353 -0.00061
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00237
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.477 0.412 0.00053
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.477 0.412 0.00053
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.477 0.412 0.00053
James Madison neutral 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353 -0.00061

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Coastal Carolina 67.85 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
Duke 136.76 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
East Carolina 98.97 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
North Carolina 133.84 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina Central 136.09 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 117.35 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Charleston Southern 152.53 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Clemson 285.21 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
College of Charleston 152.90 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Davidson 190.14 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
East Tennessee State 291.50 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Elon 159.69 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
Furman 264.39 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
Gardner-Webb 226.79 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
Georgia Southern 257.35 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
High Point 170.46 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
James Madison 297.19 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Liberty 228.42 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Longwood 214.23 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
Norfolk State 202.65 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina A&T 167.43 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
Old Dominion 203.82 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Presbyterian 228.28 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
Radford 250.88 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Richmond 232.66 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
Savannah State 239.14 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 182.09 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
The Citadel 155.72 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
VMI 261.74 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia 266.59 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
Virginia Tech 251.62 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 188.20 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
William and Mary 221.37 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Winthrop 185.79 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374
Wofford 236.35 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation