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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:03 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.516
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386 0.00004
St. John's North Carolina-Wilmington 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 -0.00015
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00031
South Dakota State North Carolina-Wilmington 14 26 0.350 0.482 0.295 -0.00218
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338 -0.00113
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456 0.00175
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00309
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00053
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00053
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00053
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00241
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.540 0.461 0.00187
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.540 0.461 0.00187
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.540 0.461 0.00187
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00263
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 31 0.205 0.469 0.220 -0.00401
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 31 0.205 0.469 0.220 -0.00401
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 31 0.205 0.469 0.220 -0.00401
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00309
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00037
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00037
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00180
Northeastern Northeastern 22 19 0.537 0.449 0.381 -0.00008
Northeastern Northeastern 22 19 0.537 0.449 0.381 -0.00008
Campbell Campbell 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 -0.00008
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00003
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00003
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00003
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00151
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00140
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00140
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00140
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 -0.00008
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310 -0.00181
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310 -0.00181
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310 -0.00181
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00219
High Point North Carolina-Wilmington 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00151
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.504 0.277 -0.00262
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.504 0.277 -0.00262
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.504 0.277 -0.00262

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Coastal Carolina 67.85 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
Duke 136.76 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423
East Carolina 98.97 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
North Carolina 133.84 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina Central 136.09 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 117.35 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Charleston Southern 152.53 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 285.21 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
College of Charleston 152.90 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Davidson 190.14 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Tennessee State 291.50 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Elon 159.69 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
Furman 264.39 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 226.79 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
Georgia Southern 257.35 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
High Point 170.46 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
James Madison 297.19 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Liberty 228.42 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 214.23 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Norfolk State 202.65 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina A&T 167.43 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
Old Dominion 203.82 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Presbyterian 228.28 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Radford 250.88 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Richmond 232.66 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Savannah State 239.14 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238
South Carolina 182.09 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
The Citadel 155.72 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
VMI 261.74 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 266.59 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 251.62 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 188.20 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
William and Mary 221.37 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 185.79 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 236.35 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation