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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.602
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.544
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.437


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UCLA UCLA 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376 -0.00111
UCLA UCLA 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376 -0.00111
UCLA UCLA 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376 -0.00111
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 18 0.667 0.527 0.465 0.00051
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 18 0.667 0.527 0.465 0.00051
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 18 0.667 0.527 0.465 0.00051
Winthrop North Carolina 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374 -0.00115
Fairfield North Carolina 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 -0.00093
Fairfield North Carolina 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 -0.00093
Fairfield North Carolina 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 -0.00093
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 -0.00005
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00098
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00098
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00098
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00031
Elon North Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00151
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00016
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00016
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00016
Western Carolina North Carolina 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00122
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00045
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00045
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00045
Davidson North Carolina 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00102
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00213
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00213
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00213
High Point North Carolina 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420 -0.00031
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259 -0.00324
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00242
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00242
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00242
South Carolina neutral 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00144
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00076
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00076
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00076
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00129
William and Mary North Carolina 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00127
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00011
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00011
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00011
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00087
Campbell North Carolina 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00115
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465 0.00051
Louisville North Carolina 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
Louisville North Carolina 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
Louisville North Carolina 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
East Carolina North Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00031
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00087
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00093
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00093
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00093
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00067
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00067
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00067

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Campbell 38.34 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Davidson 104.63 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
Duke 8.39 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
East Carolina 96.40 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
Elon 29.48 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
High Point 53.48 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Liberty 100.31 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Longwood 102.37 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
North Carolina A&T 42.75 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 10.33 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 21.97 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 118.90 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Richmond 142.38 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
VMI 132.17 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
Virginia Tech 118.71 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 69.30 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
Winthrop 129.50 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Clemson 230.74 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Coastal Carolina 151.88 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 220.42 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Coppin State 258.07 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware State 296.61 13 37 0.260 0.445 0.241
East Tennessee State 187.46 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Furman 203.13 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
Gardner-Webb 154.51 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
George Mason 223.42 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 229.65 24 32 0.429 0.496 0.339
Georgetown 239.56 24 29 0.453 0.501 0.352
Georgia 280.68 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia Southern 286.66 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
James Madison 175.81 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Marshall 220.69 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Maryland 242.15 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 288.71 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 11 37 0.229 0.438 0.224
Navy 254.61 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 167.76 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Ohio 289.68 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 166.38 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Presbyterian 187.96 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
Savannah State 292.09 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 174.43 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 273.36 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 221.51 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Towson 275.24 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
Virginia 150.71 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
West Virginia 263.81 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Western Carolina 236.16 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
William and Mary 159.88 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Wofford 175.24 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation