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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.558
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.523
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00107
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00107
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00107
Xavier North Carolina 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00046
Xavier North Carolina 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00046
Xavier North Carolina 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 -0.00046
Appalachian State North Carolina 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00212
North Florida North Carolina 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00129
North Florida North Carolina 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00129
North Florida North Carolina 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00129
Davidson North Carolina 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00086
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00093
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00093
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00093
George Mason North Carolina 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00022
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00168
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00064
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00064
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00064
West Virginia North Carolina 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00077
Georgia Tech North Carolina 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00069
Georgia Tech North Carolina 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00069
Georgia Tech North Carolina 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00069
Winthrop North Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00131
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00066
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00066
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00066
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00036
Boston College Boston College 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00157
Boston College Boston College 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00157
Boston College Boston College 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00157
North Carolina A&T North Carolina 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00278
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00121
Wake Forest North Carolina 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 -0.00010
Wake Forest North Carolina 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 -0.00010
Wake Forest North Carolina 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 -0.00010
Elon North Carolina 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 -0.00006
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00284
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00284
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00284
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00020
Liberty North Carolina 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00226
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00140
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00140
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00140
East Carolina North Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00020
Campbell North Carolina 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00092

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Campbell 38.34 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 104.63 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 8.39 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 96.40 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Elon 29.48 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 53.48 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 100.31 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 102.37 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina A&T 42.75 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 10.33 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 21.97 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Radford 118.90 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 142.38 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
VMI 132.17 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 118.71 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 69.30 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 129.50 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 230.74 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 151.88 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 220.42 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 258.07 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware State 296.61 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 187.46 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 203.13 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 154.51 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 223.42 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 229.65 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 239.56 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 280.68 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 286.66 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 175.81 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Marshall 220.69 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 242.15 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 288.71 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 254.61 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 167.76 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Ohio 289.68 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 166.38 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 187.96 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Savannah State 292.09 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 174.43 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 273.36 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 221.51 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 275.24 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia 150.71 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
West Virginia 263.81 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 236.16 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 159.88 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Wofford 175.24 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation