Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |
NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.588 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.545 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.43025 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
UCLA | UCLA | 25 | 31 | 0.446 | 0.563 | 0.364 | -0.00120 |
UCLA | UCLA | 25 | 31 | 0.446 | 0.563 | 0.364 | -0.00120 |
UCLA | UCLA | 25 | 31 | 0.446 | 0.563 | 0.364 | -0.00120 |
Oklahoma State | North Carolina | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00070 |
Oklahoma State | North Carolina | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00070 |
Oklahoma State | North Carolina | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00070 |
Winthrop | North Carolina | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | -0.00102 |
Fairfield | North Carolina | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | -0.00080 |
Fairfield | North Carolina | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | -0.00080 |
Fairfield | North Carolina | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | -0.00080 |
Gardner-Webb | North Carolina | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 | -0.00004 |
Pittsburgh | North Carolina | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00090 |
Pittsburgh | North Carolina | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00090 |
Pittsburgh | North Carolina | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00090 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00038 |
Elon | North Carolina | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 | -0.00139 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00007 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00007 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00007 |
Western Carolina | North Carolina | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | -0.00086 |
Georgia Tech | North Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00030 |
Georgia Tech | North Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00030 |
Georgia Tech | North Carolina | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 | 0.00030 |
Davidson | North Carolina | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | -0.00090 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00192 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00192 |
Miami, Florida | Miami, Florida | 48 | 14 | 0.774 | 0.596 | 0.536 | 0.00192 |
High Point | North Carolina | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | -0.00030 |
North Carolina-Asheville | North Carolina | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00313 |
Virginia Tech | North Carolina | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00233 |
Virginia Tech | North Carolina | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00233 |
Virginia Tech | North Carolina | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 | -0.00233 |
South Carolina | neutral | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00129 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00056 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00056 |
Virginia | Virginia | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 | 0.00056 |
Coastal Carolina | North Carolina | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00165 |
William and Mary | North Carolina | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | -0.00082 |
Wake Forest | Wake Forest | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | -0.00011 |
Wake Forest | Wake Forest | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | -0.00011 |
Wake Forest | Wake Forest | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | -0.00011 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00076 |
Campbell | North Carolina | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | -0.00104 |
Virginia Commonwealth | North Carolina | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00047 |
Louisville | North Carolina | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00190 |
Louisville | North Carolina | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00190 |
Louisville | North Carolina | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00190 |
East Carolina | North Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00038 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00076 |
Notre Dame | North Carolina | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | -0.00082 |
Notre Dame | North Carolina | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | -0.00082 |
Notre Dame | North Carolina | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | -0.00082 |
North Carolina State | North Carolina State | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00074 |
North Carolina State | North Carolina State | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00074 |
North Carolina State | North Carolina State | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00074 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 149.50 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Campbell | 38.34 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Davidson | 104.63 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Duke | 8.39 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 96.40 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
Elon | 29.48 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
High Point | 53.48 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Liberty | 100.31 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 102.37 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
North Carolina A&T | 42.75 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina Central | 10.33 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 21.97 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 103.82 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 44.49 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 133.84 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Radford | 118.90 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 142.38 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
VMI | 132.17 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 144.55 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
Virginia Tech | 118.71 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 69.30 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
Winthrop | 129.50 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Charleston Southern | 210.19 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 |
Clemson | 230.74 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Coastal Carolina | 151.88 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
College of Charleston | 220.42 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 |
Coppin State | 258.07 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Delaware State | 296.61 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Tennessee State | 187.46 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Furman | 203.13 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Gardner-Webb | 154.51 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
George Mason | 223.42 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 229.65 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 239.56 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
Georgia | 280.68 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia Southern | 286.66 | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 |
James Madison | 175.81 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Marshall | 220.69 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland | 242.15 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 264.05 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 244.20 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Morehead State | 288.71 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Mount St. Mary's | 276.64 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 254.61 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 167.76 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 198.75 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
Ohio | 289.68 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Old Dominion | 166.38 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Presbyterian | 187.96 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
Savannah State | 292.09 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 |
South Carolina | 174.43 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 176.12 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
Tennessee | 273.36 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
The Citadel | 221.51 | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 |
Towson | 275.24 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
Virginia | 150.71 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
West Virginia | 263.81 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 236.16 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
William and Mary | 159.88 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Wofford | 175.24 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me
Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |