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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:25 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.593
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.432


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UCLA UCLA 20 21 0.488 0.557 0.383 -0.00114
UCLA UCLA 20 21 0.488 0.557 0.383 -0.00114
UCLA UCLA 20 21 0.488 0.557 0.383 -0.00114
Oklahoma State North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00079
Oklahoma State North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00079
Oklahoma State North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00079
Winthrop North Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382 -0.00116
Fairfield North Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366 -0.00153
Fairfield North Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366 -0.00153
Fairfield North Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366 -0.00153
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438 0.00014
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00035
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00035
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00035
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00060
Elon North Carolina 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00147
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00021
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00021
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00021
Western Carolina North Carolina 22 21 0.512 0.519 0.386 -0.00107
Georgia Tech North Carolina 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484 0.00121
Georgia Tech North Carolina 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484 0.00121
Georgia Tech North Carolina 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484 0.00121
Davidson North Carolina 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 -0.00147
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00265
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00265
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00265
High Point North Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00033
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00358
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00305
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00305
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00305
South Carolina neutral 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541 0.00253
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00086
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00086
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00086
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00140
William and Mary North Carolina 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00114
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00037
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00037
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00037
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507 0.00174
Campbell North Carolina 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 -0.00119

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Campbell 38.34 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Davidson 104.63 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Duke 8.39 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
East Carolina 96.40 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
Elon 29.48 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
High Point 53.48 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Liberty 100.31 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 102.37 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
North Carolina A&T 42.75 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina Central 10.33 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 21.97 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Radford 118.90 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Richmond 142.38 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
VMI 132.17 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 118.71 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 69.30 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448
Winthrop 129.50 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 230.74 27 15 0.643 0.594 0.470
Coastal Carolina 151.88 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 220.42 23 19 0.548 0.554 0.413
Coppin State 258.07 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Delaware State 296.61 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Tennessee State 187.46 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Furman 203.13 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 154.51 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
George Mason 223.42 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 229.65 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 239.56 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
Georgia 280.68 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 286.66 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
James Madison 175.81 18 26 0.409 0.499 0.329
Marshall 220.69 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland 242.15 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Morehead State 288.71 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 254.61 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Norfolk State 167.76 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
Ohio 289.68 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Old Dominion 166.38 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Presbyterian 187.96 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Savannah State 292.09 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238
South Carolina 174.43 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee 273.36 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
The Citadel 221.51 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Towson 275.24 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
Virginia 150.71 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
West Virginia 263.81 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 236.16 22 21 0.512 0.519 0.386
William and Mary 159.88 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 175.24 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation