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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.574
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.550
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4245


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seton Hall North Carolina 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00092
Seton Hall North Carolina 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00092
Seton Hall North Carolina 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00092
UCLA neutral 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00261
UCLA neutral 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00261
UCLA neutral 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00261
Rhode Island neutral 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00096
Rhode Island neutral 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00096
Rhode Island neutral 16 16 0.500 0.534 0.384 -0.00096
Liberty Liberty 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00058
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 -0.00035
Duke North Carolina 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00008
Duke North Carolina 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00008
Duke North Carolina 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 -0.00008
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00142
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00192
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00242
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00242
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00242
Davidson North Carolina 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 -0.00085
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00063
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00063
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00063
Appalachian State North Carolina 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00363
Miami, Florida North Carolina 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00192
Miami, Florida North Carolina 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00192
Miami, Florida North Carolina 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00192
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00077
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00056
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00056
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00056
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00142
Liberty North Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00058
North Carolina State North Carolina 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 -0.00046
North Carolina State North Carolina 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 -0.00046
North Carolina State North Carolina 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 -0.00046
High Point North Carolina 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 -0.00073
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00127
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00127
Campbell North Carolina 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00008
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00182
Boston College North Carolina 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00037
Boston College North Carolina 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00037
Boston College North Carolina 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00037

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 38.34 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 104.63 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 8.39 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 96.40 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Elon 29.48 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
High Point 53.48 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 100.31 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 102.37 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina A&T 42.75 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 10.33 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 21.97 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Radford 118.90 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Richmond 142.38 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
VMI 132.17 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
Virginia Tech 118.71 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 69.30 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 129.50 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 230.74 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 151.88 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 220.42 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 258.07 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Delaware State 296.61 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
East Tennessee State 187.46 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Furman 203.13 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 154.51 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
George Mason 223.42 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 229.65 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 239.56 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 280.68 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 286.66 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
James Madison 175.81 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Marshall 220.69 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 242.15 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Morehead State 288.71 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 254.61 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 167.76 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Ohio 289.68 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 166.38 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 187.96 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Savannah State 292.09 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 174.43 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 273.36 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
The Citadel 221.51 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 275.24 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Virginia 150.71 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
West Virginia 263.81 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 236.16 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 159.88 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Wofford 175.24 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation