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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:05 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.557
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.558
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.418


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seton Hall North Carolina 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00542
Seton Hall North Carolina 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00542
Seton Hall North Carolina 5 8 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00542
UCLA neutral 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00589
UCLA neutral 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00589
UCLA neutral 14 5 0.737 0.645 0.530 0.00589
Rhode Island neutral 2 6 0.250 0.672 0.293 -0.00658
Rhode Island neutral 2 6 0.250 0.672 0.293 -0.00658
Rhode Island neutral 2 6 0.250 0.672 0.293 -0.00658
Liberty Liberty 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449 0.00163
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364 -0.00284
Duke North Carolina 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504 0.00453
Duke North Carolina 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504 0.00453
Duke North Carolina 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504 0.00453
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466 0.00253
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406 -0.00063
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 -0.00226
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 -0.00226
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375 -0.00226

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Campbell 38.34 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Davidson 104.63 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
Duke 8.39 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504
East Carolina 96.40 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465
Elon 29.48 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363
High Point 53.48 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Liberty 100.31 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 102.37 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
North Carolina A&T 42.75 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina Central 10.33 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
North Carolina State 21.97 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Radford 118.90 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Richmond 142.38 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
VMI 132.17 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
Virginia Tech 118.71 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Wake Forest 69.30 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440
Winthrop 129.50 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 10 6 0.625 0.366 0.404
Clemson 230.74 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411
Coastal Carolina 151.88 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466
College of Charleston 220.42 10 6 0.625 0.627 0.469
Coppin State 258.07 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
Delaware State 296.61 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182
East Tennessee State 187.46 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Furman 203.13 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
Gardner-Webb 154.51 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
George Mason 223.42 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 229.65 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 239.56 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
Georgia 280.68 12 8 0.600 0.502 0.425
Georgia Southern 286.66 12 9 0.571 0.503 0.411
James Madison 175.81 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Marshall 220.69 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Maryland 242.15 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Morehead State 288.71 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 254.61 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
Norfolk State 167.76 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
Ohio 289.68 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Old Dominion 166.38 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Presbyterian 187.96 14 5 0.737 0.458 0.483
Savannah State 292.09 9 11 0.450 0.462 0.341
South Carolina 174.43 17 3 0.850 0.494 0.548
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
Tennessee 273.36 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
The Citadel 221.51 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
Towson 275.24 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
Virginia 150.71 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
West Virginia 263.81 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Carolina 236.16 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321
William and Mary 159.88 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444
Wofford 175.24 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation