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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina A&T

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.460
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.470
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477 0.00240
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477 0.00240
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477 0.00240
East Carolina East Carolina 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461 0.00210
Albany North Carolina A&T 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331 -0.00031
Albany North Carolina A&T 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331 -0.00031
Albany North Carolina A&T 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331 -0.00031
Gardner-Webb North Carolina A&T 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439 0.00169
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00225
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00225
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00225
East Tennessee State North Carolina A&T 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 0.00001
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439 0.00169
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
Appalachian State North Carolina A&T 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00103
Winthrop North Carolina A&T 28 26 0.519 0.479 0.379 0.00058
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 0.00049
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 0.00049
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 0.00049
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00201
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00201
Winthrop Winthrop 28 26 0.519 0.479 0.379 0.00058
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 0.00001
Elon North Carolina A&T 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 0.00029
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351 0.00006
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00047
Presbyterian North Carolina A&T 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359 0.00021
North Carolina State North Carolina A&T 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00247
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00247
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359 0.00021
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00075
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00103
Elon Elon 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 0.00029
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00221
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00131

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 107.28 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292
Campbell 74.48 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 71.67 25 24 0.510 0.481 0.375
Duke 46.89 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446
East Carolina 139.07 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461
East Tennessee State 145.12 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Elon 15.18 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Gardner-Webb 120.90 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439
High Point 14.17 31 23 0.574 0.517 0.416
Liberty 94.04 29 27 0.518 0.524 0.390
Longwood 113.54 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394
North Carolina 42.75 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina Central 49.15 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 64.65 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Charlotte 75.84 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 2.20 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Radford 84.43 17 38 0.309 0.540 0.289
South Carolina-Upstate 143.94 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
VMI 119.80 21 35 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia Tech 86.47 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 26.74 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435
Winthrop 104.93 28 26 0.519 0.479 0.379
Wofford 143.75 30 26 0.536 0.475 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 214.56 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306
Clemson 198.25 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Coastal Carolina 171.24 41 15 0.732 0.557 0.505
College of Charleston 227.01 29 24 0.547 0.560 0.414
Coppin State 270.50 14 38 0.269 0.370 0.227
Eastern Kentucky 274.81 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Furman 169.92 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
George Mason 233.29 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 241.16 23 31 0.426 0.494 0.337
Georgetown 249.56 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 251.79 27 30 0.474 0.628 0.394
Georgia Southern 276.92 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420
James Madison 170.92 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Kentucky 293.03 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419
Marshall 186.86 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland 253.98 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 275.94 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 269.18 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 248.40 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 281.81 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 269.55 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 202.34 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 159.66 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259
North Carolina-Wilmington 167.43 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 257.89 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 200.51 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Presbyterian 162.32 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359
Richmond 161.31 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
Savannah State 289.64 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 161.40 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522
Tennessee 232.21 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
The Citadel 227.46 17 40 0.298 0.502 0.274
Towson 286.93 20 35 0.364 0.496 0.306
Virginia 152.67 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 164.32 36 17 0.679 0.493 0.463
West Virginia 247.02 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 198.42 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
William and Mary 188.26 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation