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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina A&T

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.451
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.472
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3435


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Radford North Carolina A&T 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00159
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00178
Marshall North Carolina A&T 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00047
Marshall North Carolina A&T 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00047
Marshall North Carolina A&T 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00047
Elon North Carolina A&T 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00132
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00178
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00222
Massachusetts neutral 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264 -0.00166
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00222
Bryant North Carolina A&T 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488 0.00301
Bryant North Carolina A&T 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488 0.00301
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 0.00009
High Point High Point 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00182
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00068
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00132
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00068
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00126
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00197
Marist North Carolina A&T 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259 -0.00176
Marist North Carolina A&T 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259 -0.00176
Marist North Carolina A&T 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259 -0.00176
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00016
Radford Radford 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00159
High Point North Carolina A&T 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00182
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00076
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00228
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00026

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 107.28 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Campbell 74.48 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 71.67 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 46.89 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 139.07 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
East Tennessee State 145.12 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 15.18 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Gardner-Webb 120.90 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 14.17 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 94.04 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 113.54 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 42.75 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina Central 49.15 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 64.65 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 75.84 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 2.20 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Radford 84.43 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 143.94 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
VMI 119.80 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Tech 86.47 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 26.74 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 104.93 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 143.75 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 214.56 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 198.25 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 171.24 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 227.01 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 270.50 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Eastern Kentucky 274.81 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Furman 169.92 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
George Mason 233.29 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 241.16 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 249.56 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 251.79 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 276.92 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 170.92 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kentucky 293.03 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Marshall 186.86 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 253.98 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 275.94 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 269.18 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 248.40 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 281.81 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 269.55 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 202.34 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 159.66 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Wilmington 167.43 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 257.89 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 200.51 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 162.32 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Richmond 161.31 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Savannah State 289.64 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 161.40 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
Tennessee 232.21 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 227.46 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 286.93 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia 152.67 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 164.32 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 247.02 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 198.42 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 188.26 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation