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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina Central

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:03 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.400
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.472
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.318


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412 0.00200
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412 0.00200
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412 0.00200
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00043
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00043
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00043
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00043
Appalachian State North Carolina Central 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00098
Norfolk State Norfolk State 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368 0.00106
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296 -0.00047
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296 -0.00047
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296 -0.00047
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302 -0.00034
Norfolk State North Carolina Central 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368 0.00106
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
Presbyterian Presbyterian 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378 0.00128
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Campbell North Carolina Central 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 0.00134
Savannah State North Carolina Central 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170
Savannah State North Carolina Central 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170
Savannah State North Carolina Central 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170
High Point North Carolina Central 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00272
Appalachian State Appalachian State 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00098
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00194
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00194
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 0.00194
Longwood Longwood 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 0.00170
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00085
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00085
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00085
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423 0.00223
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00194
Longwood North Carolina Central 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 0.00170
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 23 22 0.511 0.475 0.374 0.00119
Elon Elon 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 0.00109
Duke North Carolina Central 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423 0.00223
Savannah State Savannah State 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170
Savannah State Savannah State 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170
Savannah State Savannah State 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00170

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 41.99 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Davidson 114.04 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Duke 2.36 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423
East Carolina 90.54 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
Elon 34.57 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
High Point 61.13 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Liberty 94.59 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 93.49 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
North Carolina 10.33 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 49.15 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina State 19.46 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Charlotte 113.72 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 51.10 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.09 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Radford 119.96 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Richmond 132.39 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
VMI 127.15 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 142.77 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Commonwealth 134.49 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 119.04 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 75.88 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
William and Mary 149.56 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 139.69 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 156.43 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Charleston Southern 218.91 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 240.48 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Coastal Carolina 158.31 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 228.81 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Coppin State 248.43 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Delaware State 286.46 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Tennessee State 194.27 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Furman 212.75 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 164.00 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
George Mason 214.10 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 220.14 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 230.19 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
Georgia 290.77 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 296.62 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
James Madison 168.88 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Marshall 220.73 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland 232.59 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 254.45 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 233.87 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Morehead State 291.57 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Mount St. Mary's 267.79 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 244.75 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Norfolk State 157.89 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina-Asheville 207.23 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
Ohio 288.79 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Old Dominion 156.46 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Presbyterian 198.17 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
South Carolina 184.65 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 185.83 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee 281.07 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
The Citadel 229.99 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Towson 265.65 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
West Virginia 258.88 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 245.03 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386
Wofford 185.02 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation