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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina Central

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.419
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.463
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.32525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius North Carolina Central 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00293
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00083
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00083
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00083
Niagara North Carolina Central 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00083
High Point High Point 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00235
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00134
Longwood North Carolina Central 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 0.00013
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Coppin State Coppin State 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237 -0.00196
Coppin State Coppin State 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237 -0.00196
Savannah State North Carolina Central 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00041
Savannah State North Carolina Central 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00041
Savannah State North Carolina Central 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00041
Furman Furman 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00001
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00068
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00068
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00208
Alabama State Alabama State 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00226
Alabama State Alabama State 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00226
Alabama State Alabama State 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00226
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00103
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00257
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina Central 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00151
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 0.00024
Duke North Carolina Central 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00257
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00041
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00041
Longwood Longwood 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 0.00013
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00068
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00068
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 0.00068
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00049
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00049
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00049
Presbyterian North Carolina Central 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 41.99 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 114.04 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 2.36 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 90.54 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Elon 34.57 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 61.13 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 94.59 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 93.49 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 10.33 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 49.15 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina State 19.46 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 113.72 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 51.10 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.09 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Radford 119.96 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 132.39 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
VMI 127.15 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 142.77 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 134.49 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 119.04 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 75.88 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
William and Mary 149.56 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Winthrop 139.69 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 156.43 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Charleston Southern 218.91 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 240.48 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 158.31 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 228.81 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 248.43 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware State 286.46 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 194.27 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 212.75 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 164.00 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 214.10 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 220.14 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 230.19 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 290.77 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 296.62 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 168.88 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Marshall 220.73 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 232.59 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 254.45 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 233.87 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 291.57 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 267.79 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 244.75 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 157.89 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 207.23 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Ohio 288.79 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 156.46 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 198.17 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina 184.65 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 185.83 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 281.07 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 229.99 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 265.65 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
West Virginia 258.88 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 245.03 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Wofford 185.02 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation