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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Thu Jun 30 06:47:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.619
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.539
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.44425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 -0.00049
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00125
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00073
Morehead State North Carolina State 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00085
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00066
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00066
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00066
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00005
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472 0.00046
Niagara North Carolina State 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00299
Alabama neutral 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00052
Bucknell North Carolina State 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290 -0.00257
Fairfield North Carolina State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00097
Fairfield North Carolina State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00097
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00000
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00000
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00000
Indiana State North Carolina State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 -0.00007
Indiana State North Carolina State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 -0.00007
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00099
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00099
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00099
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472 0.00046
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00053
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00169
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00028
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00028
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00028
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00169
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00034
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00034
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00034
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00150
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00005
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00005
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00005
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00011
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00352
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00352
East Carolina North Carolina State 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00011
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00017
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00017
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00017
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00075
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00075
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00075
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00151
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00151
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00151
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00020
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00020
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00020
Florida State neutral 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00053
Miami, Florida neutral 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00153
Georgia Tech neutral 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00005
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00040
Coastal Carolina neutral 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00125
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00040
Coastal Carolina neutral 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00125
Coastal Carolina neutral 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00125

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Coastal Carolina 143.86 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519
Davidson 122.94 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 20.75 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 74.82 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Elon 51.36 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 74.81 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Liberty 111.76 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 105.29 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 21.97 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 64.65 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 19.46 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472
Radford 139.22 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 138.94 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
VMI 144.81 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 138.44 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 91.08 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
William and Mary 149.86 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Winthrop 144.04 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Charleston Southern 209.24 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 247.42 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
College of Charleston 218.14 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411
Coppin State 256.31 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware State 290.84 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 208.97 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Furman 220.30 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 172.27 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 223.48 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 228.73 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 239.33 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 295.41 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 292.01 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 184.12 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Marshall 240.18 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 240.90 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 251.48 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 153.16 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Old Dominion 152.14 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 201.91 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 293.71 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 182.83 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 294.12 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 219.55 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Towson 273.72 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia 156.35 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
West Virginia 276.34 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 255.26 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 191.90 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation