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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.616
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.539
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.44275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 -0.00030
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 41 15 0.732 0.557 0.505 0.00120
Kent State neutral 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00102
Morehead State North Carolina State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 -0.00086
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00075
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00075
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00075
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00025
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00081
Niagara North Carolina State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00342
Alabama neutral 32 24 0.571 0.549 0.423 -0.00038
Bucknell North Carolina State 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00292
Fairfield North Carolina State 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381 -0.00119
Fairfield North Carolina State 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381 -0.00119
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.544 0.440 -0.00005
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.544 0.440 -0.00005
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.544 0.440 -0.00005
Indiana State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00012
Indiana State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00012
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00109
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00109
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00109
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00081
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.593 0.469 0.00050
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351 -0.00176
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00072
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00072
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00072
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351 -0.00176
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435 -0.00015
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435 -0.00015
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435 -0.00015
Elon Elon 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 -0.00153
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 20 0.643 0.579 0.466 0.00045
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 20 0.643 0.579 0.466 0.00045
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 20 0.643 0.579 0.466 0.00045
East Carolina East Carolina 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461 0.00035
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00400
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00400
East Carolina North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461 0.00035
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00006
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00006
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00006
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00081
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00081
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00081
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00218
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00218
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00218
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00033
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00033
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00033
Florida State neutral 34 19 0.642 0.593 0.469 0.00050

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Coastal Carolina 143.86 41 15 0.732 0.557 0.505
Davidson 122.94 25 24 0.510 0.481 0.375
Duke 20.75 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446
East Carolina 74.82 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461
Elon 51.36 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
High Point 74.81 31 23 0.574 0.517 0.416
Liberty 111.76 29 27 0.518 0.524 0.390
Longwood 105.29 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394
North Carolina 21.97 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 64.65 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235
North Carolina Central 19.46 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 139.22 17 38 0.309 0.540 0.289
Richmond 138.94 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
VMI 144.81 21 35 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 36 17 0.679 0.493 0.463
Virginia Tech 138.44 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 91.08 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435
William and Mary 149.86 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Winthrop 144.04 28 26 0.519 0.479 0.379

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292
Charleston Southern 209.24 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306
Clemson 247.42 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
College of Charleston 218.14 29 24 0.547 0.560 0.414
Coppin State 256.31 14 38 0.269 0.370 0.227
Delaware State 290.84 13 37 0.260 0.446 0.241
East Tennessee State 208.97 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Furman 220.30 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 172.27 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439
George Mason 223.48 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 228.73 23 31 0.426 0.494 0.337
Georgetown 239.33 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 295.41 27 30 0.474 0.628 0.394
Georgia Southern 292.01 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420
James Madison 184.12 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Marshall 240.18 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland 240.90 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 251.48 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 153.16 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259
Old Dominion 152.14 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Presbyterian 201.91 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359
Savannah State 293.71 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 182.83 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Tennessee 294.12 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
The Citadel 219.55 17 40 0.298 0.502 0.274
Towson 273.72 20 35 0.364 0.496 0.306
Virginia 156.35 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
West Virginia 276.34 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 255.26 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Wofford 191.90 30 26 0.536 0.475 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation