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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.603
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.529
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.43375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446 0.00030
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508 0.00181
Kent State neutral 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490 0.00137
Morehead State North Carolina State 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416 -0.00043
Wright State North Carolina State 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471 0.00091
Wright State North Carolina State 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471 0.00091
Wright State North Carolina State 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471 0.00091
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497 0.00154
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503 0.00169
Niagara North Carolina State 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00382
Alabama neutral 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420 -0.00034
Bucknell North Carolina State 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283 -0.00368
Fairfield North Carolina State 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00160
Fairfield North Carolina State 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00160
Boston College North Carolina State 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 -0.00043
Boston College North Carolina State 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 -0.00043
Boston College North Carolina State 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 -0.00043
Indiana State North Carolina State 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435 0.00003
Indiana State North Carolina State 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435 0.00003
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00015
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00015
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00015
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503 0.00169
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.623 0.515 0.00198
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352 -0.00199
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00054
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00054
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00054
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352 -0.00199
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Elon Elon 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 -0.00182
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00103
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00103
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00103
East Carolina East Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453 0.00047
North Carolina A&T neutral 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00485
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00485
East Carolina North Carolina State 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453 0.00047
Duke North Carolina State 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 -0.00029
Duke North Carolina State 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 -0.00029

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Coastal Carolina 143.86 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
Davidson 122.94 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Duke 20.75 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
East Carolina 74.82 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453
Elon 51.36 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
High Point 74.81 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
Liberty 111.76 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Longwood 105.29 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
North Carolina 21.97 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 64.65 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 19.46 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Radford 139.22 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
Richmond 138.94 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401
VMI 144.81 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 29 14 0.674 0.493 0.460
Virginia Tech 138.44 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 91.08 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
William and Mary 149.86 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381
Winthrop 144.04 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Charleston Southern 209.24 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Clemson 247.42 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
College of Charleston 218.14 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
Coppin State 256.31 10 31 0.244 0.348 0.209
Delaware State 290.84 10 30 0.250 0.436 0.234
East Tennessee State 208.97 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Furman 220.30 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 172.27 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
George Mason 223.48 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282
George Washington 228.73 19 24 0.442 0.476 0.340
Georgetown 239.33 19 24 0.442 0.490 0.344
Georgia 295.41 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
Georgia Southern 292.01 26 18 0.591 0.472 0.413
James Madison 184.12 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Marshall 240.18 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Maryland 240.90 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 19 18 0.514 0.438 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 13 28 0.317 0.369 0.251
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224
Navy 251.48 34 11 0.756 0.419 0.483
Norfolk State 153.16 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
Old Dominion 152.14 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446
Presbyterian 201.91 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
Savannah State 293.71 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235
South Carolina 182.83 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Tennessee 294.12 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
The Citadel 219.55 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
Towson 273.72 16 27 0.372 0.475 0.305
Virginia 156.35 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
West Virginia 276.34 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Western Carolina 255.26 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Wofford 191.90 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation